Thread: Rio de Janeiro Reports
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07-06-22 16:21 #26810
Posts: 2041Originally Posted by Nounce [View Original Post]
Without getting into the economic weeds, the bottom line is export-driven economies cannot and will not allow other countries to accumulate reserves in their currencies. So scratch China and Russia as reserve candidates in the intermediate term. They want to criticize the USA Dollar. They don't want to take its place.
For those that will counter, that the Saudis and the Chinese will just accumulate Bitcoin and Gold. First, there's not enough of Bitcoin and Gold in the world. Second, they are essentially pass-throughs. Ultimately, someone who receives monetary compensation for the Bitcoin and Gold has to find a country destination for their funds. That country is the United States and to a lessor extent Europe.
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07-06-22 08:50 #26809
Posts: 2888Brics
Originally Posted by Xpartan [View Original Post]
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07-06-22 06:54 #26808
Posts: 2193Correction: Buenos Aires 21 not Rio Branco 21.
Further, Perola Negra was really good later that night. Wingman sessioned twice. New girls, and good talent.
Originally Posted by Vagabundo1 [View Original Post]
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07-06-22 06:18 #26807
Posts: 1925Originally Posted by PahllusMaximus [View Original Post]
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07-05-22 21:03 #26806
Posts: 39Appreciated
Originally Posted by JimmyBoy99 [View Original Post]
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07-05-22 19:29 #26805
Posts: 1329Originally Posted by Walshy [View Original Post]
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07-05-22 06:54 #26804
Posts: 39First time visit
Been hoping to visit Rio since before shut down but no luck. Anyway, a window has opened up later in July. I've been RTFF and noted tons of excellent advice. I got my membership recently so hopefully will be able to message and meet up with anyone who will be in Rio at the time and would enjoy a laid back beer a wing man who's keen to learn.
Can I quickly run a couple of questions past you? It seems as a first timer I would be best to stay around Copacabana to also enjoy being a tourist. I have been looking at the Ibis Posto 5 and Posto 2, are these girl friendly provided they leave ID at reception? I looked at the Pestana but it had dreadful reviews? All the Airbnb places I looked at seem to have 'no visitor' rules. Also, as I speak little or no Portuguese, am I better to stick to places like Eden or agencies like Barravip? I would love to experience some of the Termas discussed on here or 4 x4 & Mosaico etc but wondered if only speaking English would ruin it?
Anyway, any advice would be very gratefully received. I know there are a lot of guys out there asking similar questions but, if you want to know something. Go to the experts!
Thanks for your time gentlemen, hope to see you soon.
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07-05-22 02:50 #26803
Posts: 2193Monday. Casa 15 Noemie Bilas, 4 x 4, Rio Branco 21/ Club 21, Perola Negra.
Monday, Vagabundo headed downtown from Transamerica on the 15 h30 bus, which of course is free, and a nice big luxury bus, with a ISG wingman. For those who are in Transamerica, Vagabundo also helps out with logistics like tests in Portuguese etc, and other things like loaner stun flashlights, for we few, we happy few, if we decide to go out and buddy up.
So we hit Rio Branco to get some computer gear at RB156, then Vagabundo found a regular, callsign Noemie Bilas, at Casa 15. Vagabundo had already banged homegirl at the love shack, so he was not too thirsty, but still, good to get that BBFS with a negra for 80 r for the half hour plus 50 r tip.
Then Vagabundo headed over to 4 x 4, 150 meters away. The talent was good as always. Vagabundo got numbers. Wingman did not pull the trigger.
We headed over to Rio Branco 21, Club 21. We were early. Only a few girls, but two super hot negras, young, no kids, spinners, and better than or at least as good as the talent over at the more expensive 4 x 4. Also within a block of 4 x 4 and 65.
We then walked over to Club Mix Bar where there is a swing night on Tuesdays, sometimes or perhaps often with real porn stars, and a live interactive show, basically a swing party. Cover depends on whether you reserve in advance and whether you bring a girl and other particulars. Also easy walk from the aforementioned Club 21.
Wingman wanted to check out 116, so we did. Lots of good talent. Even for a winter night. Vagabundo having shot two loads, did not do anything, and neither did wingman. We headed over to the luxury bus final pickup at 20 h20. Saving the $50 reais fare to and fro Centro adds up to some fucking at the prives and certainly at VM, so it's worth it to catch the bus, which is worth it anyway as it is a luxury bus and a great hack for the wide divide between rich and poor in Rio, Brazil. Happiness is relative, especially in the things that money can buy.
So we chilled at Transamerica, and are now heading out to Perola Negra.
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07-04-22 18:22 #26802
Posts: 539Real report
As you can see from the forex rates the real is fairly stable, allowing for a major hike in FED rates that drove it down. Nevertheless, Brazil offers many quality companies such as Petrobas and JBS with fundamentally strong, diversified business and great yield and have pricing power. The play these days is currency swaps and good companies with strong business and pricing power. The bigger companies can often offer a low cost collar that is less than yield, leading to some neat plays in currency and some well thought out derivatives. Surprisingly, the mythical brains trust on wall street does not even have the math to track their position in real time, and we all saw in 2009 (and what will soon happen) their stunning lack of insight. These guys run much of the US financial system as well as a bunch of ideologues dressed up as economists fooling around with monetary policy rather than good social policy. Naturally it regularly blows up. Behind the Fed pillars and flags are career butt lickers mostly without brains or a spine. Just wait for Freddie / Fannie Mac to implode, having bought all this paper (risk) at record low interest and future increased, unhedged funding costs and/or defaults about to scream. The banks are merely retail mortgage brokers, they stopped lending from their balance sheet decades ago. It's pretty much the same as 2006.
Who will buy all this hyped up, unproductive real estate? The millennials with student debt working three gig economy jobs? It's a Ponzi scheme, and that's the truth. The last 30 years will not be like the next. Incomes, that pay the coupons, have collapsed. The systemic risks are huge.
There is nothing wrong with investing in developing countries, yes, there could be a coup and nationalization, but not all places in South America and Africa are the same risk. The USA has many risks and parochialism that many don't take into account with assets there, such as divorce, seizure by the state under various excuses and the ever present risk of legal extortion by lawyers making up bullshit for quick payday. The USA has major internal decay, insane levels of debt predicated on the notion the USD cannot be toppled as trade settlement currency. Just ask Iran, Russia, China and India about their future near term plans and dependency on the USD. Ross Perot correctly called that in 1991, and he was a genuine, educated and successful entrepreneur able to act against personal self interest for longer term national goals and a robust supply chain. We all see how COVID treated all the low inventory / complex supply chain management consultant boys theories. When the nostalgic rose tinted glasses are removed, Brazil looks pretty good and has untapped potential, educated population, resources and a growing manufacturing economy.
The USA is not a safe haven, either with debt or property laws that is totally undermined by a plethora of hidden / indirect transaction costs. Nor has it been a haven for decades. If that were the case then all the offshore manufacturing, wealth management, medical, sex and lifestyle tourism and so on would not be the major and ever growing force that is. Just look at the exponential growth in Chinese IP and know how per capita.
Brazil is fine. It's people are mostly hard working, practical, and lack the mad, puritanical religious bullshit, being more rationally focused on roof over head and food on table rather than who is sleeping with who. Yeah, currencies fluctuate. I was up a few months ago, now I am back or even down a bit. So what? I'm betting against the USD. And like all quality assets and commodities, it is going up in absolute value against this stuff called money that is thoroughly debased and volatile. Compared to the true risk of other stores of wealth, it's fine.
You cannot take money with you. Everyday is a fluid risk, it's part of the fabric of life. One day will be my last, and yours too. Embrace life. My biggest improvement was to stop comparing social and monetary status. I have everything I need and more than enough to live as a thoughtful playboy, though I draw the line at bullshit like fancy watches, cars, first class airfares and other crap. Converting cash at a sustainable rate for here and now living pleasure and joy for myself, friends and family is the smart play. Hoarding and imagining an imaginary safe haven or future is the fool in the trade.
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07-04-22 04:24 #26801
Posts: 2193Where to stay in Rio or anywhere
Where to stay in Rio or anywhere.
The question of where to stay in Rio comes up often. The answer is simply: 1) pick the best top escort site (barravipsrio.com.br, or maybe riosexsite.com), 2) then ask all the girls where they prefer to meet at their own location, 3), then stay there. Right now, it appears to be out near Condominium Novo Leblon, in Barra. Close enough might be a place in Recreio, which is cheaper.
Posto 2 in Barra, ie, Classico Beach Club is pretty much tier 1 IMHO. Living there would be optimal.
You basically want a place where you, as a client of a Swiss Private Banker, can be compensated for your loyalty by the best hookers in the population.
Please do not disseminate this outside of the Government of Switzerland.
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07-03-22 15:47 #26800
Posts: 2193Did you look into getting a loan to buy the house in Brazil or did you pay cash?
Vagabundo prefers to bring as little capital onshore to Brazil as possible. He prefers to keep it somewhere in the Swiss Alps, all cyber accessible.
Originally Posted by PahllusMaximus [View Original Post]
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07-03-22 00:26 #26799
Posts: 6400Double amen!
Originally Posted by PahllusMaximus [View Original Post]
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07-03-22 00:17 #26798
Posts: 539Age old question
Mr Enternational is right on several fronts, and I still crack up at his Thai (insert farang here) meet the WG family. It's not really about sex. That takes you only a small way. A vagina is not a brain nor has language skills. For that you need a sentient person you can communicate with and have stuff in common for the other 95% of the time. Many, if not most of the girls don't have much on sale outside of selling their bodies, and I'd say that applies to many mongers who only have a wallet. The drunk cheap charlies of Thailand are an embarrassment. So many lonely and lost souls, and after they get "nutted out" , they think "what's the point" and are jaded out, meaning discover how empty they are without distractions. It is possible to find a lovely, smart and good person who happens to be a WG.
Possible but not probable. Same with "normal" females.
It's just that many WG have issues of poverty, abuse, drugs, pimps and / or obstacles and/or laziness at school or skilling up that puts them behind the eight ball more than normal girls. Parental income and commitment to education and setting good role models will make or break a child. Though I'm not a woman, getting fucked 5-10 times a day must be pretty numbing and hardens them up. Yet holding hands with some 20 year old is also fun, but it's just situational and pretending, so enjoy it, but know it will not last and don't try to control or possess it.
Street Life by Randy Crawford (1979)
I play the streetlife, because there's no place I can go
Streetlife, it's the only life I know
Streetlife, and there's a thousand parts to play
Streetlife, until you play your life away
You let the people see just who you wanna be
And every night you shine just like a super star
That's how the life is played, a ten cent masquerade
You dress, you walk, you talk
You're who you think you are....
Anything valuable usually takes hard work, persistence and patience. Instant gratification is very costly. That includes the care and feeding of good friends. Keep a small group of good, trusted friends (not the BS facebook definition), trust defined as keeping secrets, lending money, being prepared to take you in at 3 am and generally go out of their way such as helping you build a house or boat. If you have 2-3, you have already won the lottery. These real social connections are the stuff of life. So too is rejecting the lies and brainwashing of social status anxiety and expensive baubles like cars, clothes. Laugh at them.
Like Mr Enternational I live well below my means, shop at Ross and Goodwill and have no qualms about it. A fat and growing net wealth, houses in 3 countries, a group I talk to every day or two, and total freedom to travel, great food and good mental and physical health is what works for me.
And yes USA is sex prison with a pretty fucked system ranging from shitty health care, puritanical BS, guns, corruption, greed, the highest incarceration rate in the developed world and idiotic culture wars over bullshit rather than "why have glovbalization that fucks my basic housing and income security" real conversation. Just the way the elites like it. Divide, distract, keep em dumb and busy to see what is in their rational long term self interest
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07-01-22 17:37 #26797
Posts: 2041Originally Posted by Turgid [View Original Post]
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07-01-22 16:07 #26796
Posts: 5611Originally Posted by Xpartan [View Original Post]