Thread: German FKK Clubs - Lounge and chat area
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03-24-20 09:53 #15355
Posts: 7321Originally Posted by Sirioja [View Original Post]
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03-24-20 04:36 #15354
Posts: 1385Originally Posted by Pistons [View Original Post]
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03-23-20 23:31 #15353
Posts: 1385Originally Posted by Milfotronic [View Original Post]
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03-23-20 23:26 #15352
Posts: 2073Eye-opening NYT article on the containment approaches in Asia that are effective but may not be palatable to Westerners. For instance, use of drones, offering bounties, and how fever checks and chlorinated handwashing were commonplace even before COVID-19. It also seems to suggest that strict measures need to be taken before it is too late.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/22/h...ctions-us.html
The next priority, experts said, is extreme social distancing.
If it were possible to wave a magic wand and make all Americans freeze in place for 14 days while sitting six feet apart, epidemiologists say, the whole epidemic would sputter to a halt.
The virus would die out on every contaminated surface and, because almost everyone shows symptoms within two weeks, it would be evident who was infected. If we had enough tests for every American, even the completely asymptomatic cases could be found and isolated.
The crisis would be over.
Obviously, there is no magic wand, and no 300 million tests. But the goal of lockdowns and social distancing is to approximate such a total freeze.
To attempt that, experts said, travel and human interaction must be reduced to a minimum..
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03-23-20 21:28 #15351
Posts: 6730Originally Posted by McAdonis [View Original Post]
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03-23-20 18:50 #15350
Posts: 435McAdonis,
I think that you are smart enough to understand what I wrote in my previous posts since I know you for quite a while. The following is how I explain to Mursenary:
Originally Posted by Mursenary [View Original Post]
For a hypothetical example:
If there is no lockdown, day one will have 20% increase of new infection on the basis of 6000 infected people, so at the end of day one, total infected will be 7200 (6000 + 6000 X 20%). If day two with same 20% increase, at the end of day two, total infected will be 8640 (7200 + 7200 X 20%).
If there is lockdown, day one will only have 10% (instead of 20% because of lockdown) increase of new infection on the basis of 6000 infected people, so at the end of day one, total infected will be 6600 (6000 + 6000 X 10%). If day two with same 10% increase, at the end of day two, total infected will be 7260 (6600 + 6600 X 10%).
As you can see, at the end of day two, totol number of infected people is 8640 without lockdown and 7260 with lockdown. So lockdown does slow the spread of virus even through total number of infected people still rises with lockdown.
I know what you are thinking: why still have new infections. That is because 1) measures of lockdown are still not severe enough. 2) it takes time to lower new infections to zero even if the lockdown measures are severe enough.
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03-23-20 18:04 #15349
Posts: 2073Originally Posted by Bfsie [View Original Post]
Originally Posted by TheCane [View Original Post]
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03-23-20 17:27 #15348
Posts: 2732Seeking Browsing
Originally Posted by BlueSwede [View Original Post]
That said I am also happy to answer any questions if you want to PM me. Never done Germany but did browse Munich recently and it seemed a few hotties. I've had plenty of success in the US plus London and Argentina.
PM me if I can help or ask in the SA thread.
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03-23-20 16:25 #15347
Posts: 2344Originally Posted by Bfsie [View Original Post]
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03-23-20 15:22 #15346
Posts: 167Corona a bad joke?
Originally Posted by Bfsie [View Original Post]
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03-23-20 15:07 #15345
Posts: 435McAdonis,
I just saw the following. Maybe it starts to reverse the trend.
https://us.yahoo.com/news/italy-sees...201654253.html
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03-23-20 14:26 #15344
Posts: 6730I am all for this lockdown. The world has been under-supplied of respirators and other emergency equipment for a long time. And this effort will help on that front. In the end, it is all about lowering those spikes in cases, so the health systems doesn't completely falter.
But, this will be the new norm I fear, and we will have to start living with new and more dangerous forms of corona viruses on a more permanent basis. Simply because the virus mutates. It is already at least two different versions of this virus floating around in the same populations, and due to the global spread of this virus, and its reach, the chances of getting additional mutations also grows. And then the same person can get sick two, three, four or even more times. And we have no ideas on how dangerous these new mutations of the virus will turn out to be. The more we also close down at this early stage, the likelier we might increase people's long term awareness on certain health issues. While global, and even personal monitoring for these viruses will increase. For example, this can usher in an explosion of new devices such as IBM Watson. And then we can monitor our own health at all times, thus automate away large parts of the health related workforce. And the health sector is turning into a complete brain drain in terms of funding with people getting older and sicker. The health sector is also the largest spender on lobbying globally. Worse than oil. Worse than anything else. And it needs to stop. Doctors are overpaid too. It needs automation. Large scale! So this is a corona crisis is a complicated war. But unless we do something about it now, hundreds of millions of people might die within a year or two. So for the health sector, it could turn out to be a double edged sword. And like I said, this is just the beginning, and will be the new norm. Question is just how the world can go on living with the virus alongside it.
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03-23-20 11:43 #15343
Posts: 1138Nobel laureate predicts a quicker coronavirus recovery
Why this Nobel laureate predicts a quicker coronavirus recovery: 'We're going to be fine'.
https://www.latimes.com/science/stor...nobel-laureate
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03-23-20 10:33 #15342
Posts: 22344Originally Posted by MrHo [View Original Post]
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03-23-20 10:29 #15341
Posts: 22344Originally Posted by McAdonis [View Original Post]