Stupid shit in Medellin

[Osteoknot]

The relatively few people who are either celebrating, or lamenting the Colombian election can no more move the market than a guy with a bucket can empty a lake.

No direct offense to anyone in particular, but it is one of the easiest things in the world to assign reasons for movement of a market like this after the fact. Show me someone who can predict it accurately and consistently in the future, well, then you have yourself a multi-billionaire. There are too many moving parts for any one to know what is truly happening. Of as the saying goes, shit happens, jeje.

Any single reasonably intelligent person can make his analysis fit the situation with superficial plausibility, after the fact. There are as many different versions of that as there are analysts. Hate to break it to ya' gently but this is just another form of mental masturbation.

[Elvis 2008]

I don't want to intrude, but there's one factor to consider.

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/16/eu-r...x-rigging.html

This isn't the first time.

https://www.reuters.com/article/bank...0O50MG20150521

Or the second time.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forex_scandal

The relatively few people who are either celebrating, or lamenting the Colombian election can no more move the market than a guy with a bucket can empty a lake. The forex market is a $5 trillion per day market.

Just for perspective, from June 2008 to May 2009 COP went from about 1700 to 2450. By October 2009 it was back near 1800. From February to June 2006 it went from about 2250 to 2550. More recently, it went from 3204 on January 10,2020 to 4118 on March 20,2020. The current trend isn't unprecedented.

It may continue, it may reset.

Yeah, it could. Things is the COP is not traded much on Forex, and the party that can change the falling COP is the Colombian central bank.

If you look at Colombia and Peru, you can see the two management styles used with currencies. The Peruvian Central Bank keeps a tight control on the currency market and the Colombian Central bank keeps its hands off and lets the COP move freely. Which style is best is an endless argument between economists.

However, I do not think there is much debate that a central bank should step in when there are huge moves down in a currency like we have seen with the COP if they can. This exchange rate creates an even more horrific inflation rate for Colombia.

Point is this is a fire. The Central Bank has the hose and they are letting the fire burn. Why?

[Elvis 2008]

You swear she wasn't a cheap street-walker in El Centro. OK I'll take your word for this one thing (everything else you say requires verification) but the difference between a street-walker and an escort is really only volume.

Well, you would know the centro slums and escort market better than I would. You tried to show me that you were my equal by putting up a bunch of the escorts you had been banging and then covered their faces so other guys would not recognize them. LOL. My woman is major league and you had worn out AA types at best.

I know, I know, you think you've found your own "pretty woman" but from what I hear you're no Richard Gere. More like Chris Farley.

That is close, but I think my gal is a little prettier than Julia Roberts, and Chris Farley picking her up is more impressive than Richard Gere doing so.

Trading is often based on sentiment.

As to whose sentiment has been right so far? What are you talking about?

Sentiment is emotions, fear and greed typically. My gal was afraid of Gustavo, and you are not. She was right, and you are wrong.

I live here.

Yeah, and maybe you should talk to people who are not WGs. You might learn something.

You are so bad at analysis. Did you ever go to college? Ever take statistics or any kind of analytical courses?

Uh, let's see. You are down 10% in your portfolio on the year, and I am up 40%. I did an analysis of S&P earnings and said they were coming down a month ago. Every day now, analysts are lowering projected earnings and downgrading stocks. And then there is this.

Looks like it's 4,388 for tomorrow.

And COP closed at 4624 today. Maybe you should ask your college for a refund.

My point is that there are a bunch of factors involved and only a simpleton thinks that it is all about Petro's election. I know this will come as a shock. But currency trading doesn't mean someone is selling assets and converting them into dollars. Sure there may be some of that. But what drives this rate is traders are buying dollars and selling pesos. I would bet a fair amount of those traders haven't even been to Colombia. Like I've said before. There are a lot of factors involved.

Before I get into the explanation of why you are wrong, I predict you will do the same as before, not admit you are wrong and slither away to come back another day with another shot.

You are right in that is the way currencies are set with USD-Euro and USD-Yen. The exchange rate is set mostly by traders, but when I went to Brazil, I looked to buy puts and they were so expensive and thinly traded they were not worth even buying. I assumed the COP was the same and verified the COP-USD market was not heavily traded. It was just set up in 2021, and I cannot find anything on futures prices or even one contract trading, but there was more to it than that.

Much of technical analysis is looking at charts and their patterns. I am not a big TA guy but there is going to be a different pattern when something like the USD-COP ratio goes higher and it has little to no futures contracts as compared to currencies where there are huge hedges. The pattern without hedges is like what we are seeing with the COP, a line straight to the sky. When there are futures involved, the spike up will be jagged as those who are short a currency have to buy the currency when they get out of their position.

So the real question is why did you make this up crap about traders? Is it you did not know? Maybe, but I think part of is that you are such a Democratic dumb shit douche that you did not want to believe your guy was such a fucking disaster before he stepped foot into office. So this is not USA interest rates are all the other bullshit, it is almost all people who hold real Colombian assets converting them into USD. THAT is what causes the COP to move lower.

Oh, and one last thing, I was wrong about when Q2 earnings come out. It is not July 21. Did you sell your positions and move into the things I told you to? Nah. You are too stupid to do that. All you are going to do is get stressed out from what I post and try to burn me on some stupid petty bullshit like this. Calling my woman a WG is not going to help your portfolio douche.

Ok, you can slither away again. Better luck next time.

[JustTK]

I wondered if it is a new STD or tusi variant.

Humping putas disease. Haha.

[Fun Luvr]

I don't want to intrude, but there's one factor to consider.

Obviously JjBirdbrain has no self control if he does something he doesn't want to do.

[LoveItHere69]

https://www.healthline.com/health/hi...ality-disorder

Histrionic Personality Disorder.

"psychological disorder. Dramatic, emotional, or erratic. Distorted mental image of themselves. Base their self-esteem on the approval of others. Resort to dramatic antics. Uncomfortable in situations in which they are not the center of attention. Interactions with others characterized by inappropriate sexually seductive or provocative behavior. Rapidly shifting expression of emotions. Style of speech that is excessively impressionistic. Self-dramatization, theatricality..

Please look at me. I am over here. Too damn funny and too damn true!

[Villainy]

I don't want to intrude, but there's one factor to consider.

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/16/eu-r...x-rigging.html

This isn't the first time.

https://www.reuters.com/article/bank...0O50MG20150521

Or the second time.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forex_scandal

The relatively few people who are either celebrating, or lamenting the Colombian election can no more move the market than a guy with a bucket can empty a lake. The forex market is a $5 trillion per day market.

Just for perspective, from June 2008 to May 2009 COP went from about 1700 to 2450. By October 2009 it was back near 1800..

You make some very good points. But I doubt Elvis is interested in reality. He saw a chance to foment an argument. I think if I said it was sunny outside he would bluster quoting his call-girl (friend) that it was actually raining and only a Dem would think it was sunny and anyone who agreed that it was sunny was stupid and a partisan hack.

Isn't that called DFR? Divorced from reality.

[JjBee62]

Hey Elvis, you're the one who told all of us that you found your GF on Seeking Arrangement. What do those words mean? Seeking. Arrangement. What type of arrangement was she seeking?

You swear she wasn't a cheap street-walker in El Centro. OK I'll take your word for this one thing (everything else you say requires verification) but the difference between a street-walker and an escort is really only volume.

I know, I know, you think you've found your own "pretty woman" but from what I hear you're no Richard Gere. More like Chris Farley.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DHGmw7wFe5g.

I don't want to intrude, but there's one factor to consider.

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/16/eu-r...x-rigging.html

This isn't the first time.

https://www.reuters.com/article/bank...0O50MG20150521

Or the second time.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forex_scandal

The relatively few people who are either celebrating, or lamenting the Colombian election can no more move the market than a guy with a bucket can empty a lake. The forex market is a $5 trillion per day market.

Just for perspective, from June 2008 to May 2009 COP went from about 1700 to 2450. By October 2009 it was back near 1800. From February to June 2006 it went from about 2250 to 2550. More recently, it went from 3204 on January 10,2020 to 4118 on March 20,2020. The current trend isn't unprecedented.

It may continue, it may reset.

[JustTK]

What the hell is HPD?

https://www.healthline.com/health/hi...ality-disorder

Histrionic Personality Disorder.

"psychological disorder. Dramatic, emotional, or erratic. Distorted mental image of themselves. Base their self-esteem on the approval of others. Resort to dramatic antics. Uncomfortable in situations in which they are not the center of attention. Interactions with others characterized by inappropriate sexually seductive or provocative behavior. Rapidly shifting expression of emotions. Style of speech that is excessively impressionistic. Self-dramatization, theatricality. <*bold* considers relationships to be more intimate than they actually are <*bold* ".

Just saying.

[Fun Luvr]

What the hell is HPD?

Histrionic personality disorder (HPD) is a mental health condition marked by unstable emotions, a distorted self-image and an overwhelming desire to be noticed. People with HPD often behave dramatically or inappropriately to get attention.

[Paulie97]

You are so bad at analysis. Did you ever go to college? Ever take statistics or any kind of analytical courses?

Don't expect him to ever answer that question, but the answer is surely no. Higher education insists on vetted sources. He either leaps to conclusions with no sources or jumps on the latest wingnut blogosphere conspiracy theories. That's why he has to spend half his days arguing in a hooker forum. Trying to defend such horseshit, and with a total lack of debating skills requires a lot of time.

[Paulie97]

I'm only into chicas but I don't judge others for their sexual preferences my friend.

Though you are at least a bootlicker, and surely challenged in the matter of IQ if you find those childish, unoriginal rants funny. No comedy clubs would give them a second look.

[Osteoknot]

I grew up in a very industrial city and downtown is where we would go to to get blowjobs from the black girls working the street in those days. That was early 70's BTW. Listerine was always in their purses. It must have worked for them then and for you now. I got to laugh though thinking about those days with the sisters and now you doing the same rinse. One thing you should be aware of is giardia. Not sure if the Listerine help for that.

But a user here once posted a testimonial from a beauty queen who gave over ten-thousand blowjobs with never a single even slight problem from oral sexual disease, because she used Listerine. Very compelling. Also, don't brush your teeth immediately before or after oral sex, opens up the pores and crevices of your gums.

[Knowledge]

I wondered if it is a new STD or tusi variant.

What the hell is HPD?

[Surfer500]

Or perhaps some of us are desperate attention seekers with HPD, whilst others don't need to post graphic stories for self-validation. Which is the truly honest position?

What the hell is HPD?