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  1. #2408
    Quote Originally Posted by Tiny12  [View Original Post]
    Theres got to be a way to stop the killing and insure the security of Ukraine.
    There was a way, but that ship sailed.

  2. #2407

    Military operation in ukraine 21 dec, 07:31

    https://tass.com/politics/1724847

    Russia's Chief of General Staff reports on Ukrainian failure, Russian rearmament.

    According to the report, this year, the Russian military focused on repelling the Ukrainian counteroffensive, which planned to deprive Russia of the land corridor to Crimea.

    MOSCOW, December 21. / TASS /. The Russian forces in the zone of the special military operation are engaged in active defense and constantly expand the zones of control in all directions, Chief of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov told a briefing for foreign military attaches.

    Kiev has failed the much-hyped counteroffensive despite a huge western support, he added.

    Standoff with US, NATO:

    The hegemony of the United States and its allies is going to the past, but Washington wants to keep the "western-centric world order" at any price. NATO annually holds close to 40 exercises at Russian borders and all of them focus on the fight against Russia.

    "Accelerated integration of Sweden and Finland into the alliance, the growing presence of NATO troops in Eastern Europe, Baltic and Black Sea regions, as well as the Arctic negatively affect the situation in Europe with prospects of increased confrontation. ".

    Western support to Kiev:

    The developments in Ukraine are a hybrid proxy war of the United States and its allies against the Russian Federation. Since February 2022, Kiev has received over 5. 2 thousand tanks and armored vehicles, close to 1. 5 thousand artillery guns and multiple launch rocket systems, 1. 3 thousand antiaircraft missile complexes, over 23 thousand antitank missile complexes, over a hundred airplanes and helicopters, and 23 thousand drones.

    Close to 100,000 Ukrainian military were trained in the West. Besides, Ukraine received over 200 long-range cruise missiles.

    Failed counteroffensive:

    This year, the Russian military focused on repelling the Ukrainian counteroffensive, which planned to deprive Russia of the land corridor to Crimea.

    "By early June, the enemy accumulated in the Zaporozhye direction an offensive force numbering up to 50 battalions, over 230 tanks and over a thousand armored vehicles. A half of them were modern foreign-made vehicles. The force was later increased to 80 battalions. ".

    "The enemy planned to block Melitopol in 15 days and advance to the Sea of Azov, Mariupol and the border with Crimea. ".

    Ukraine sustained huge losses, but could advance insignificantly and failed to break through the Russian tactical defense. In half a year, Ukraine lost in all directions close to 160 thousand men, over 3,000 tanks and armored vehicles, nearly 150 airplanes and helicopters.

    "The widely advertised counteroffensive by Ukraine and NATO allies has failed. ".

    Current situation:

    "The Russian forces are successfully engaged in active defense, hold the positions along the whole contact line, and constantly expand the areas of control in all directions. The enemy is constantly subject to strikes that deny it a chance to move forward. ".

    The Russian air defense has destroyed over 6,300 aerial targets, including over 4,600 drones since the beginning of the year.

    The Russian military delivered strikes with long-range precision weapons at 1,500 objects, including defense enterprises and critically important facilities. "One of the results of the strikes was a considerable decrease in the output of the Ukrainian military-industrial complex. ".

    Ukrainian terrorism:

    As Ukraine fails to achieve success on the battlefield, it resorts to terrorist methods. In the DPR, over 4,700 civilians, including 140 children, have been killed since February 2022. Over 16 thousand residential houses and nearly 3,500 civilian infrastructure objects have been damaged or destroyed.

    "Ukraine does not abandon attempts of nuclear terrorism and systematically launches unmanned aerial vehicles with explosives to the Zaporozhye NPP and the town of Energodar. ".

    Military development:

    The Ground Forces have formed two combined arms armies and 14 formations. The Aerospace Forces formed three formations.

    The military received over 1,500 new and upgraded tanks, close to 3,000 armored vehicles, over 230 airplanes and helicopters and over 20,000 drones. Four submarines and eight warships joined the Navy.

    Partnerships:

    The Defense Ministry continues to develop military and military-technical cooperation with foreign military agencies. Over 600 important events have been implemented this year.

    In particular, all-round strategic partnership is developed with China and India and all-round interaction is maintained with North Korea.

    TAGS.

    Military operation in Ukraine.

  3. #2406

    Ceasefire

    Quote Originally Posted by JohnClayton  [View Original Post]
    How would a ceasefire ensure the security of Ukraine?
    In my humble opinion I think that is the viable option at this juncture. The only way Ukraine can ensure its security is to commit to no EU and no NATO membership and remove the current government. That is just the Red pill they need to take. When you live next to a superpower it is a hard reality that you have to succumb to the wishes of your bigger Brother. Look at Cuba, look at Mexico. Do you think Mexico will survive a day if it becomes a Russian Satellite state with Nukes planted in its territory? No.

  4. #2405
    Quote Originally Posted by Tiny12  [View Original Post]
    https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/23/w...e=articleShare

    I pray this goes somewhere. Theres got to be a way to stop the killing and insure the security of Ukraine.
    How would a ceasefire ensure the security of Ukraine?

  5. #2404

    Putin Quietly Signals He Is Open to a Cease-Fire

    https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/23/w...e=articleShare

    I pray this goes somewhere. There’s got to be a way to stop the killing and insure the security of Ukraine.

  6. #2403
    Quote Originally Posted by DramaFree11  [View Original Post]
    You forgot to mention they are sending Females to the front now, that is how bad it is for Ukraine, yet some continue to want the war to continue.
    I see lots of young Ukrainian men in my home city and they are quality dudes certain to be successful. It's hard to believe governments want to destroy them.

  7. #2402
    Quote Originally Posted by Tiny12  [View Original Post]
    "The average Ukrainian soldier is 43-years-old, according to Time Magazine.

    When the war began in February 2022, the average Ukrainian soldier was between 30 and 35 years old.

    Ukraine is battling mounting manpower problems more than 20 months into the war. ".

    https://www.businessinsider.com/aver...0 years%20 old.
    You forgot to mention they are sending Females to the front now, that is how bad it is for Ukraine, yet some continue to want the war to continue.

  8. #2401
    Quote Originally Posted by Elvis2008  [View Original Post]
    Here is the latest piece from Taibbi:

    In a bold piece of agitprop, "USA Officials" blame Ukraine's bleak battlefield situation on. Pentagon leaker Jack Teixeira?

    If Teixeira hadn't let slip that officials were freaking out in private about Ukraine's prospects, members of Congress might not have been emboldened to filibuster Biden's spending bill as they did last week. Therefore, learning the truth was bad, and we can blame the leaks, not the factory-produced river of hogwash dumped on the world for the last 22 months, for the dilemma now facing Biden and Ukraine. How's that for Beltway bull-slinging?.
    Great post! I Hope Pres. Z days are numbered, you want to talk about war crimes, he should be on the top of the list. Hopefully they charge him with War Crimes. What joke. There will be nothing left. Biden, Pres. Z. And some Euros have no clue and have ruined Ukraine. It is time to wave the White Flag and save what they can, but I am afraid they are going keep going and Russia will have to take Pres. Z and his government out.

  9. #2400

    Beginning of the end, Thank God!

    Here is the latest piece from Taibbi:

    In a bold piece of agitprop, "USA Officials" blame Ukraine's bleak battlefield situation on. Pentagon leaker Jack Teixeira?

    If Teixeira hadn't let slip that officials were freaking out in private about Ukraine's prospects, members of Congress might not have been emboldened to filibuster Biden's spending bill as they did last week. Therefore, learning the truth was bad, and we can blame the leaks, not the factory-produced river of hogwash dumped on the world for the last 22 months, for the dilemma now facing Biden and Ukraine. How's that for Beltway bull-slinging?

    Now that the contracting orgy has stopped, however, pucker season is on. Volodymyr Zelensky was in DC Tuesday night and looked like he was doing a take for John Wick 9 when he walked out of Congress empty-handed. If that face is any indication, phones will start ringing all over soon, as unnamed "officials" give seething insider takes on how things got so FUBAR.

    If the White House is already sending up trial balloons like this Post story, that means the real blame game is about to start. Zelensky came here for $61 billion, got sent home with a handshake and $175 million from Biden's Presidential Drawdown Authority, and left with gritted teeth and the look of a man planning an as told to Kitty Kelley memoir. Unless this thing gets turned around, and it still could, we're about to learn some things. Was there ever a plan? What promises were made? From our side, how much of this was a pork party, really? If a little leak was intolerable, imagine how the whole truth would go over.

    End of that link.

    Then you have this story, https://www.racket.news/p/lying-was-...m_medium=email.

    What gets me is how many people, especially Democrats, fall for this bullshit like this below.

    These "savior weapons" pieces were cranked out like clockwork, usually just ahead of Ukraine-related appropriations decisions so "the legislator's already hearing about it, the narrative's already created," as one PR exec put it to me. Not dozens, but hundreds of sunny predictions were rolled out about how Ukraine would be steaming toward Moscow if they could just get more Patriot or Javelin or Stinger missiles or Leopard tanks (They "instill great fear," said Radio Free Europe!) or 155 mm artillery shells or Fortem F700 drones or whatever else.

    Advertorials of this type came mostly in two formats: in-field soldier endorsements ("The more of them we get the better!" an unnamed Ukrainian gushed to CBS, about cluster munitions).

    In the mean time, Texiera was attacked because he let the truth slip about what the experts were saying in private that went against the official narrative. We saw the EXACT same thing with Covid. The experts had one set narrative in public where they were all knowing and in private were up in arms, scared shitless, and really knew nothing.

    I joked that we should all be thankful for Putin as he cured the world of Covid and apparently I was not the only one. We are in the repeat phase of wash, rinse, repeat. And for that, we go back to Taibbi talking to a colleague.

    Walter Kirn: Right. I mean, because to use the current thing term, what tends to happen at the end of some big initiative that isn't working is that a new frightening foe presents itself and we all shift our attention. I mean, the joke was Ukraine ended Covid and it did. So what's going to-.

    Matt Taibbi: Yeah, Hamas ended Ukraine.

    Walter Kirn: Yeah, Hamas ended Ukraine. Exactly. And so that seems to be the new strategy, or just let's not call it a conscious strategy, the new reality. Our attention is turned intensely toward new challenges when old disappointments evolve. And rather than let us sit around and be disappointed and have blame and be in this big muddle of bad feeling, I have a feeling, at least at the media level, if not the real one, we're going to be pointed towards something else. The coming dictatorship of Donald Trump.

    You would think the smugness of Democrats and always being wrong when listening to the "experts" who are just paid hacks with degrees or experience would end now but is has not. The smugness on Covid and Ukraine will now be replaced with smugness with regards to Trump and Hamas. To be a Democrat these days requires you to have a memory the length of your average gnat.

  10. #2399
    Quote Originally Posted by BloodRed  [View Original Post]
    Sooner rather than later, Ukraine will run out of men to put on the front line. Then what? They are already sending teenagers and old men. What's next? Women? Horrific.
    "The average Ukrainian soldier is 43-years-old, according to Time Magazine.

    When the war began in February 2022, the average Ukrainian soldier was between 30 and 35 years old.

    Ukraine is battling mounting manpower problems more than 20 months into the war. ".

    https://www.businessinsider.com/aver...0 years%20 old.

  11. #2398
    Quote Originally Posted by BloodRed  [View Original Post]
    Russia has over 3 x the population of Ukraine, probably more. Ukraine will run out of men and ammo much quicker than the Russians. That's reason enough to say the Russians will win.
    Unfortunately, you are wright. Look, what's actually going on in the USA right now. Will the USA still "help"next year? And look at all the help from Germany. Allthough a German citizen, I have to

    be ashamed regarding the amount of "help"the German government provided. Already last year I outed my opinion, that Germany (and the West?)

    want to bleed out the Ukraine, being so fast in providing "support'. Germany started with a few thousand helmets. Wow! At least, not from the Wehrmacht. And then the old, half (or completely?) rotten

    ?) rotten old anti-tank weapons from the former East German Army, thus antique Russian stuff. The USA, although, kept face. Until now.

    The West had a lot of sweet talks, mainly. And a few weapons. Until now. How could the West expect a successful offensive of the UA, without air superiotity? Without modern fighter aircrafts?

    And now, even in case F16 will be sent, finally. Still good UA-pilots available? Or did they shed their blood already flying old MIG-29 and SU-27 ?

    This writes somebody, who lived, worked and hunted 5 years in the RF. And 5 years in Nikolaev, Odessa and Cherson. And was partying multiple times in Kazantip, Crimea.
    Only chance for the UA to win: 5 Billion Dollar bounty for Putler.

  12. #2397
    Quote Originally Posted by Paulie97  [View Original Post]
    No NATO just wants Putin to stop prosecuting a genocidal war on Ukraine, murdering civilians with precision weapons, deporting their children to re-indoctrination camps, that kind of stuff. As to the Ukrainians, they want to fight to preserve their identity.
    NATO already threw Ukraine under the bus. Ukraine will never join NATO. The goal of NATO is to make Russia weak and to bleed. Lyold Austin said this over a year ago. He didn't say anything about Ukraine winning because he and the rest of NATO know that is not possible. May those NATO monsters rot in eternal hell for taking Ukraine down the primrose path.

    Quote Originally Posted by Paulie97  [View Original Post]
    Sooner rather than later Putin will run out of ethnic canon fodder from the poorer regions while having fewer and fewer from other regions willing to fight. Then what? We've already seen one exodus of 200,000 young Russian men as they fled for the border, and there's a rebellion among Russian mothers and wives.

    https://www.chathamhouse.org/2023/12...lized-soldiers
    This is a war of attrition. Don't you know how that works? Russia has over 3 x the population of Ukraine, probably more. Ukraine will run out of men and ammo much quicker than the Russians. That's reason enough to say the Russians will win.

    Quote Originally Posted by Paulie97  [View Original Post]
    This is propaganda and easy to say in a monger forum. Prove it with a reliable source, and go ahead include Russian state media. You are either in the camp directly or a far right isolationist. There's actually not much difference between the two though. Teenage adults yes, "old men" no outside of volunteers. Ukraine currently has 688,000 active troops, 650,000 in reserve and a larger pool to tap into. But yea, it's easy to talk. Link us to your sources.

    https://www.businessinsider.com/ukra...-of-war-2023-4
    Alright man, believe what you want.

    Quote Originally Posted by Paulie97  [View Original Post]
    Your opinion and two dollars will buy you a cup of coffee. Putin has been very clear that he believes the Ukraine belongs to Russia, while he doesn't have any "new" territories. The occupations are illegal, while he ran from both Kyiv and Kharkiv with his tail between his legs and is on his heels in Kherson.

    What "started this whole thing" is Putin's imperialistic designs and decades long belly aching over the loss of the USSR, along with Ukraine's commitment to democracy which of course he sees as a threat. Also, before you go there, no promise against NATO expansion was ever made. That's another point here that has been covered at least a dozen times.

    https://hls.harvard.edu/today/there-...-enlarge-nato/
    When did Putin say he beleives Ukraine belongs to Russia? If he wanted to take over Ukraine, 2014 would've been a much better time, when Ukraine military was weak. Instead he tried 2 Minsk accords. There's no evidence to support what you just said. You live in a fantasy world if you're not willing to accept that this is all about NATO expansion (root cause). Even the PM of Georgia said the same thing a while back.

    Quote Originally Posted by Paulie97  [View Original Post]

    Hogwash, while this has been refuted at least a dozen times on this thread over the last 18 months. The democratically elected national legislature removed a corrupt Russian puppet leader, and all within the provisions of the Ukrainian constitution. NEXT.

    You know what they say about opinions, while that's all your prediction is. But the two situations are different on many grounds, primarily because we are talking about Russia, a country that habitually breaks agreements while they have expansionist ambitions. Ukraine is fighting against genocide and to preserve their identity, and as long as they are willing to do so the west should support them.
    Yeah, support them until the last Ukrainian. Or you could call for a ceasefire. You want the former. What a horrific tragedy that could've easily been avoided. God bless the Ukrainian people.

  13. #2396
    Arm wrestling matches do not end in a draw or tie. Same here: all the goals of the SMO are going to be accomplished. Crimea is a wonderful region, highly recommended to visit June to September.

  14. #2395

    ?

    Quote Originally Posted by Tiny12  [View Original Post]
    The polls actually weren't conducted by the occupiers, but did occur in occupied territory. Some were conducted by respected organizations like Gallup and Pew Research.
    Please say you are kidding us. LOL Who cares who the "respected organizations" are, as the polls were still conducted under occupation and under a cloud of intimidation.

    Quote Originally Posted by Tiny12  [View Original Post]
    See here for info about polls in Crimea.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_C...tus_referendum

    The pre-2014 polls are a mixed bag, but post referendum polls indicate a preference for being a part of Russia.
    Wikipedia isn't a source but a bathroom wall. Anyone can post content there, and though moderated, this can be sketchy and slow to come. The Tartar question is often ignored. These favor Ukraine, and have often been intimidated since Stalin purged them from Crimea in the early 1940's. But regardless, anyone in Crimea or the Donbass that wants to be part of Russia doesn't have far to travel. Irrespective of specious polls and votes at gunpoint, the annexations remain illegal.

    https://www.eeas.europa.eu/node/112989_fr

  15. #2394
    Quote Originally Posted by VinDici  [View Original Post]
    Polling data from the occupiers can be discarded.
    The polls actually weren't conducted by the occupiers, but did occur in occupied territory. Some were conducted by respected organizations like Gallup and Pew Research.

    We've discussed Donbas before:

    Quote Originally Posted by Tiny12  [View Original Post]
    Please see this article from 2019.

    https://www.kyivpost.com/post/7557

    "Only 5.1 percent of people living in the Russia-controlled parts of Donetsk and Luhansk regions want Ukraine to regain control over the territories. Half (50.9 percent) want a union with Russia and another 13.4 percent said the region should accede to Russia with a "special status." For the whole of Donbas, including its Ukraine-controlled areas, 49.6 percent want it to become part of Russia, with another 13.3 percent choosing such a scenario with a "special status" for Donbas. A fifth (19.2 percent) see Donbas as part of Ukraine."

    So apparently 50.9% wanted to live in a Russian oblast, and another 13.4% in something like a Russian territory (e.g. like Puerto Rico in the USA). Only 5.1% wanted to live in a Ukrainian controlled oblast.
    See here for info about polls in Crimea.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_C...tus_referendum

    The pre-2014 polls are a mixed bag, but post referendum polls indicate a preference for being a part of Russia.

    Quote Originally Posted by VinDici  [View Original Post]
    Russian as it is now, will never stop meddling in UA politics, they can't even stop meddling in US and EU politics.
    Good point. I believe you're probably right.

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