Thread: Stupid Shit in Kyiv
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05-02-22 13:37 #583
Posts: 1056American Analysis
Originally Posted by Jmsuttr [View Original Post]
You mention China and India like they were tiny places. The Great Satan aka USA is now interested in human rights in India (not Saudi) because of Russia. The answer is an all out fatwa on America and Americans. Fat, lazy, stupid and they even defecate in bed, something a dog would not do.
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05-02-22 13:30 #582
Posts: 1056Red Bull
Originally Posted by WyattEarp [View Original Post]
As this is a European thread, you and XPartan should really FK off as you have zilch to contribute, being Americans and therefore being stupid.
I am very busy these days. I have a choice of three local providers. I am amazed prices have not dropped, what with all these Ukrainian hookers fleeing West.
I posted in AW about the Johnny Depp-Amber Heard gig. Heard crapping in the bed, real American class. I find it hard to get around the psychologist, Dr Curry, American, good looking (gym rat?) and intelligent. I guess there's always one.
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05-02-22 09:04 #581
Posts: 1969Originally Posted by WyattEarp [View Original Post]
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05-02-22 09:03 #580
Posts: 1969Rogue elements? Well, that's specific!
Originally Posted by Kozerog [View Original Post]
What gives? New instructions from the Internet Research Agency coming in?
Shit, you people are relentless.
Transparent too.
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05-02-22 06:12 #579
Posts: 516Russia is being diminished while US-led NATO is being enlarged
Originally Posted by PedroMorales [View Original Post]
Finland and Sweden are therefore giving LilliPutin the middle finger and calling his bluff. It seems to me they're betting that Vlad's trembling finger won't be able to find the red button, much less push it. And, even if he is a deranged and suicidal psychopath, it's unlikely that everyone in the launch chain of command will be willing to follow him off the nuclear cliff. It's just as likely that someone will give him a classic Stalin-style retirement.
Oh, and about corruption having losers, that's a perfect description of Putin, the uber-kleptocrat, and how he's raped his own country and population. He's losing in every conceivable way someone can lose. And, when he finally crashes and burns, it will be EPIC!
P.S. You know what else will be fun to watch? With all the new NATO bases and European deployments, there are going to be a lot of American soldiers shacking up with and shagging the local women. So that means, in about 9 months to a year, we should start seeing a bumper crop of Finnish-American, Swedish-American, and Baltic-American babies. Yep, thanks to Comrade Putin, NATO is enlarging and is stronger than ever.
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05-01-22 20:26 #578
Posts: 2041Originally Posted by PedroMorales [View Original Post]
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05-01-22 19:08 #577
Posts: 516A perennial problem of prognosticators & pundits
Originally Posted by Kozerog [View Original Post]
With respect to pre-Feb 24th realities, all of that was mooted by Russia's invasion. With that single act Putin took a situation that was many shades of gray and turned it into one that's starkly black and white. In Europe, the West, and arguably much of the world, Ukraine is perceived as the victim and Russia, personified in Putin, as the villain and aggressor.
I use the word "personified" because it's particularly apt, as Putin's leadership is as much a cult of personality as anything else. But that becomes problematic when the leader weakens or fails. Putin's health is clearly failing, as several videos released by Russian media have shown. And his military is desperately trying to avoid failure and gin up something that can be proclaimed as a victory, esp by the symbolic date of May 9th.
If Putin dies, or becomes unable to function, it's your assumption that another hard-liner will seamlessly take over and continue as before. I would argue that, in a "Royal Court" environment in which Putin has ruthlessly eliminated and suppressed any potential rival, it's equally likely that a bloodbath could break out as possible successors fight among each other. And there's also the question of how well, in a population conditioned to revere and idolize (only) Putin, any successor would be accepted. Any successive leader will be viewed, and evaluated, through Putin-colored glasses.
BTW, it's also worth noting that some strange shit is going on in Russia:
https://pjmedia.com/vodkapundit/2022...ussia-n1593602
Events like mysterious fires and bridge collapses indicate either an extraordinary level of bad luck (or incompetence?) or perhaps an ongoing campaign of sabotage by either internal or external actors. Whatever the explanation, Mother Russia is experiencing a significant case of indigestion. I'm not making any specific predictions, simply observing that any analysis that ignores internal Russian difficulties is flawed.
Equally flawed is the assumption that Putin's army is capable of a conventional military victory, or would be able to effectively hold any territory they might conquer. All the evidence from the battlefield indicates that any gains made by Russia have come at a huge cost in men and equipment. That doesn't mean Ukraine isn't paying a high price, but they're being backstopped and replenished by the West, while Russia remains isolated. So, if a conventional victory proves to be out of reach, nukes are arguably one of the few (only?) cards Putin has left. One possible scenario would be a low-yield strike at a strategic target. But is such a move possible in the context of a "special operation" or would Putin first need to declare war and move toward full mobilization? And would such a move cost Russia the last shred of support or neutrality by countries like China and India?
I don't pretend to know the answers to all the above questions, or the scores of additional variables (known and unknown) that undoubtedly exist. All I know is that most pundits and prognosticators, like those who predicted a quick capitulation by Ukraine, have been proven embarrassingly wrong. Reality tends to play by her own rules.
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05-01-22 17:53 #576
Posts: 1373Originally Posted by Kozerog [View Original Post]
As a child of the Kingdom of Galicia and Lodomeria, I know how complex the history of that area is.
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05-01-22 16:35 #575
Posts: 2802Originally Posted by Kozerog [View Original Post]
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05-01-22 15:02 #574
Posts: 242Originally Posted by Xpartan [View Original Post]
Ukrainians are even stupider than USA to have allowed themselves to be used by these USA rogue elements. I say rogue, because according to reports in NYTimes and elsewhere, CIA has been warning for years that Ukraine is a red line for Russia and was advising against arming Ukraine. Even former President Bush the first (previously head of CIA) warned Ukrainians about nationalism in 1990. His son, of course, was the idiot (along with arch warmongers Rumsfeld and Cheney) who insisted on opening NATO for Ukraine,-which is how this mess started. Rogue elements are State and Defense Department. Defense because they never met a war they didn't like, as long as no real risk to USA. State because populated by nsive idealists. In other words, contrary to the natural assumption of a devious CIA plot, CIA are the responsible grownups in this case, and State Department is who has been running amok.
Ukraine is not going to win as long as Putin is alive, because Russia can just escalate to nukes. Furthermore, even without Putin, there is a deep bench of military types behind Putin who are just as hawkish about Ukraine being a red line, so nukes still possible without Putin. Though I don't expect nukes, with or without Putin. Rather, I expect total devastation of southern and eastern Ukraine.
So yes, capitulation is and always has been the best option. If they want, split off west Ukraine and call it Galicia and send all the nationalists there.
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05-01-22 09:36 #573
Posts: 1056Yankee Yankee Go Home
You are American and so do not belong in Europe about which you should not comment because you know nothing about it.
World War Two in Europe was a win for the USA who gave the least and took the most.
NATO is an American controlled mafia gang that is fueling the Ukrainian war, just as Sweden and Finland fueled Hitler. If Sweden and Finland carry through and join NATO and thereby allow Russia's Northern fleet to be blocked and Russia's early warning nuclear defences to be countered, nuclear war heads will rain down on New York and Washington.
Corruption has losers, in this case the ordinary Ukrainians. Zelensky, a guy who plays the piano in the nude, is the world's richest comedian.
Ukraine should surrender. Eastern Ukraine is being liberated and the last twelve years of Kiev war crimes are being ended. Western Ukraine will be another Kosovo, another US controlled Kosovo. Victoria NuLand said Fuck the EU. Fuck America as well. And fuck off as well.
Originally Posted by Xpartan [View Original Post]
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05-01-22 06:23 #572
Posts: 1969So you'd like to see Ukraine capitulate?
Originally Posted by DramaFree11 [View Original Post]
I'm not sure what you're trying to say? Should Ukraine capitulate in your opinion now that they're winning?
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05-01-22 03:35 #571
Posts: 690Originally Posted by Ringudor [View Original Post]
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05-01-22 00:13 #570
Posts: 516Unconfirmed report: Putin to undergo cancer surgery
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...KGB-chief.html
As I noted in the post title, this is as yet unconfirmed. But it's certainly something to watch for over the next few days or weeks.
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04-30-22 23:04 #569
Posts: 516Originally Posted by WyattEarp [View Original Post]
Right now I think many countries, India included, are reevaluating their relationship with Russia. I'm sure India is happy, in the short term, to buy oil at a substantial discount. But I'm sure they're taking a look at long term scenarios.
And I absolutely agree that Indian generals and admirals must be positively horrified at the underperformance of Russian military eqp.