Stupid Shit in Kyiv

[Riina]

News report today on a single older Ukrainian that got blasted in the field after saying slava ukraina. They didn't torture him.

Where was the media when a dozen young Russians got shot through legs? Efing brutal and no outrage.

[Jmsuttr]

Interesting analysis of China's 'peace plan' that argues it's more of a window into China's concerns about Taiwan than it is about Ukraine or Russia.

https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/03/06...plan-xi-putin/

After reading the article, it's my sense China won't be able to deter or intimidate the West. Which means, if they decide to invade Taiwan, they'll need to take extraordinary steps to sanction-proof themselves. I don't know if they'll be able to pull it off, but I'll be watching closely to see what moves they make in that direction.

I've mentioned before that China tends to move cautiously, rather than impulsively. And I think Russia's debacle in Ukraine has made that even more true, as it's shown how many things can go wrong and how preconceived assumptions can be wildly off base.

P.S. Although the article doesn't make this specific assertion, it seems to me that the analysis + my point about China's cautious nature = very likely that China continues with its tightrope walk. To me that means, no matter what the rhetoric, they probably won't provide Russia with significant military aid.

[VinDici]

If you're a mercenary we are tracking you.

The Russkiy Mir, it is everyone else who is a threat, what a clown.

[Jmsuttr]

If you're a mercenary we are tracking you.

Or like Palestinians recruited from refugee camps in Lebanon?

Or like Syrians who might sign up to fight for money to escape the shit-hole hellscape Putin has created in that country?

Those kinds of mercenaries?

[Questner]

If you're a mercenary we are tracking you.

[VinDici]

An escort gets a state medal...

Yes, keep up the good work.

[Jmsuttr]

An escort gets a state medal https://www.instagram.com/maneken007/.

Her 2020 interview: https://youtu.be/uu9TbLLaydQ as an escort.

You're obviously beating off to these vids, since no one is watching them other than you, and maybe a few others with a Putin fetish. So, since this is a monger forum, you might as well post a review. I'm sure your fellow RussoFanBoyz would enjoy hearing which parts get you really excited.

[Questner]

An escort gets a state medal https://www.instagram.com/maneken007/.

Her 2020 interview: https://youtu.be/uu9TbLLaydQ as an escort.

[Beijing4987]

For anyone seriously interested in the issue with Russia, look up the history of its invasions of Finland and defeat of both Finland & Sweden in battle. It will not happen again, as Finland has universal military conscription, with 20% active or in reserves. The invasion of Ukraine convinced them that neutrality was no longer tenable. Finland's entrance to NATO is CHECKMATE for Russia. Checkmate for St Petersburg & Murmansk.

[VinDici]

The Cook v. The Clown.

The Clown is Lavrov, and he has the raucous laughs of the whole of India to prove it.

[Jmsuttr]

The Cook v. The Clown. Take a look at the clowns' volkssturm at the second part of the video: https://rutube.ru/video/1e7806c6ecf1...ef2a56ad/?r=wd.

(youtube is actively taking down this video).

- Was it you lover's husband back home unexpectedly?

- Much worse, it was a drafting officer!

What kind of moron thinks that this shit has any effect, or any relevance, to an actual war in which people are dying?

Do you masturbate when you watch these? Wouldn't PornHub be a more efficient option? At least that way you wouldn't be parading your cretinism for all the forum to see.

[Questner]

The Cook v. The Clown. Take a look at the clowns' volkssturm at the second part of the video: https://rutube.ru/video/1e7806c6ecf1...ef2a56ad/?r=wd.

(youtube is actively taking down this video).

- Was it you lover's husband back home unexpectedly?

- Much worse, it was a drafting officer!

[Jmsuttr]

You only care about the pussy in Ukraine. No biggie for you if all the men die.

He started the war and he can stop it any time he wants.

[Jmsuttr]

You might be right, But sooner or later Ukraine will run out of men and resources, they can just not keep it up.

The next couple of months will determine who wins the war. Ukraine has done an amazing job, but I am afraid they are about done. I just want the war to end, I do not care who wins.

If I had a dollar for every prediction that Ukraine was "about done," I'd have a shitload of dollars. Even those who supposedly have good expertise and information sources have been wrong more often than right. And pretty much every pundit who underestimated Ukraine now has egg on their face.

As I've posted multiple times, rather than make predictions I prefer to observe the facts on the ground and then use those facts as a starting point for the various ways things could play out, and which paths might be more or less probable. Here's an observation I think is significant that I'm not seeing discussed anywhere:

We've just passed the 1 year anniversary of the war. One thing we know about Russia and Putin is that they hold anniversaries, and other special dates, in high regard. So, what I find HUGELY significant is that this notable anniversary passed without so much as a whimper from the Russian military. No giant barrage of missiles, no major offensive operation, nothing. It's hard for me to believe that, if Putin had the resources and ability, he wouldn't have ordered some large-scale show of force. The fact that he hasn't means (IMO) that he most likely couldn't. And this conclusion is supported by two other facts. First, missile barrages targeting infrastructure have largely stopped. There may be one or a few here and there, but nothing like before. Second, Russian forces have been trying to take Bakhmut for about 10 months. Nearly everywhere else they've been either on the defensive or not doing much offensively. Bakhmut is of little strategic value but politically important (to Russia) which explains why they keep trying. If Russia loses thousands of men to gain a few hundred meters, or even a kilometer, it still shows that they have offensive capability. And, if they can make some incremental gains, those can be trumpeted as "successful" and serve as a distraction from their lack of gains elsewhere.

All of the above would seem to indicate that it's Russia that's feeling the strain, more so than Ukraine. Meanwhile, Western support continues at a good pace, and tens of thousands of Ukrainian soldiers are being trained in Western countries. I won't make a prediction here, but the probabilities are not trending favorably for Russia. And I would argue their performance (lack thereof, actually) and their current behavior are evidence that they're not doing well.

BTW, I also want the war to stop. But I care who wins because, if Ukraine wins, Russia will be deterred from future aggression. If Russia wins, not only will they become more aggressive but the clock will start ticking for the next conflict. The Baltics, Nordics, and Poland all know this, which is why they're 100% in support of Ukraine.

[VinDici]

Look who's getting more laughs than Zelensky at the height of his comedy career. It's the king of the Circus, Clown Chief in Waiting, Lavrov.

The whole of India is laughing at him.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y5VFSCEZDtQ&t=1712s