Thread: Rants and WTF are you talking about and Coronavirus!
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07-03-20 19:07 #807
Posts: 6686Originally Posted by RockyV [View Original Post]
- There are already probably thousands of mutations of the virus. On the Faroe Islands alone, a tiny island, there were 40 different mutations among a small sample base!
- The chances foe the FURIN cleavage and the ACE2 receptor to mutate away is still extremely small. So the transmittance rate will still stay at the same rate.
- Even if half the mutations mutates away, the remaining half does not mutate away. So you will still have the original virus at some places.
- Some mutations may be even deadlier than what we have had now. Covid-19 is far from the deadliest version seen of corona viruses when looking at history. It just spreads alot more efficient among humans! (Read the modified FURIN cleavage and Ace2 receptor added in a lab).
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07-02-20 16:34 #806
Posts: 537Originally Posted by Oregon97 [View Original Post]
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07-02-20 04:35 #805
Posts: 970Originally Posted by Sirioja [View Original Post]
We are closing in on 1% infected. Depending on the study, this means in another 19-89% we will reach heard immunity. A few weeks ago the Swedish government was being praised for their free range approach to managing the infection. So, as long as you are there, watch for loose rocks and water in the corners when descending on your bike, watch for bottomless crevices while you free ride, keep an eye on the Coyote so you don't get tickets in Switzerland and keep a close watch for prostitutes with runny noses.
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07-02-20 00:42 #804
Posts: 811Originally Posted by Oregon97 [View Original Post]
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07-02-20 00:31 #803
Posts: 250Pack 'them in there like sardines
American Airlines announcing today that they will begin stuffing passengers into the middle seats again until the planes burst with capacity. And you wonder why the EU wants to keep Americans the hell out? I won't be flying to EU or anywhere else unless they have a vaccine or effective therapeutic. Thanks China.
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07-01-20 23:13 #802
Posts: 2073Based on an Italian town where they tested most of the inhabitants, they found that among the positive cases, 40 percent were asymptomatic: https://globalbiodefense.com/2020/06...ovid-19-cases/.
Asymptomatic people seem to lose their antibodies much faster:
"The results, while preliminary, suggest that survivors of SARS-CoV-2 infection may be susceptible to reinfection within weeks or months."
"These reports highlight the need to develop strong vaccines, because immunity that develops naturally during infection is suboptimal and short-lived in most people, Akiko Iwasaki, a viral immunologist at Yale University who was not involved in either study, tells The New York Times. We cannot rely on natural infection to achieve herd immunity.
https://www.the-scientist.com/news-opinion/studies-report-rapid-loss-of-covid-19-antibodies-67650
We are still in the early stages, so I am not sure if death rates alone tell the full story. From a quality of life perspective, we do not know the long term outcomes for "survivors". Many people never develop symptoms. Many people experience nothing worse than a normal flu. But I believe there are reports of people who contracted the virus back in March, and while technically they "beat the virus" (meaning they are still alive), they still continue to have difficulties breathing three months later.
TBH, I will probably choose to not take an overly cautious approach, but I wouldn't criticize those that have lower risk tolerance. A few mongers who live in France, Germany, and Benelux told me they will either continue to abstain from WGs or just see WGs privately in hotels, believing the clubs to be petri dishes. Another monger friend is not concerned about health risks, but he is concerned that the LU will be at half strength and that some WGs may upsell for DFK, so he will wait for the first batch of reports to flow in before committing to a visit. If we all rush back right away, it might embolden those WGs with upselling tendencies.
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07-01-20 21:15 #801
Posts: 76Better to contract CV19 now than later in life
I have watched many interviews with epidemiologists and various experts and based on that trying to avoid CV19 is futile; it will be around for many years and may resurge in 3, 5, 10 or 100 years, like most viruses. Key points: (I) CV19 likely to be around for at least 3 years this time, (ii) mortality rate around 0. 3% and 90% of deaths are 70+ yrs, (iii) large parts of the population is not susceptible to CV19 based on possible earlier Corona virus or simply strong immune system, (iv) heard immunity likely to be at 20-30% due to p. (iii) above, (v) the older you are the more difficult symptoms, and (vi) although vaccin may come next year there may be risks of side effects (like for the 2009 vaccin). As a result it is likely better for most people to contract CV19 now than later in life.
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07-01-20 11:32 #800
Posts: 6686Originally Posted by TeaInTheSun [View Original Post]
If so, think again! We will be in this corona situation for 2-3 years. So we will just have to live with it. On and off lockdowns wherever.
I just hope they restrict air travels to a wider number of countries where they slack at monitoring and testing people. Testing should be everyone's number 1 priority. And making it globally transparent. Not like in China for example where a study recently found that 1.3 million people in Hubei province alone had been infected, and then the government keeps lying about it. And then maybe 100 other regimes around the world are following in China's footsteps.
So when we have all these fascist ego governments who likes to show the world how much greater they are at handling it than the rest, that is when we get resurgence of the pandemic. Unfortunately there are too many, and that is why we will not get rid of this ever unless something changes, and ego's goes away. But lets say in 2 years, all the fascists come to their senses.
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07-01-20 09:20 #799
Posts: 49Originally Posted by ExpatLover [View Original Post]
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06-29-20 18:31 #798
Posts: 4759Zurich Night Club
Just now 300 people who visited a night club in Zurich the 21 of June where ask to quarantine at home due to 1 positive case detected, I still believe it is not the good time to visit prostitutes or FKK, the risk is high to catch something just because their customers are probably the less careful guys not able to control their libido or they will not go.
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06-25-20 21:53 #797
Posts: 45Sweepstake?
Originally Posted by MaxSquatter [View Original Post]
Sounds like winning a 10,000,000 $ lottery.
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06-25-20 21:19 #796
Posts: 22245I really don't understand US with many southern states under virus, but no confined, and even many quite young infected. For the record for death. Worrying from Europe, where even French could be confined.
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06-25-20 21:08 #795
Posts: 2073Originally Posted by Pessimist [View Original Post]"European officials said the list would be revised every two weeks to reflect new realities around the world as nations see the virus ebb and flow."
"The E.U. cant force members to adopt it, but European officials warn that failure of any of the 27 members to stick to it could lead to the reintroduction of borders within the bloc."
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06-24-20 20:40 #794
Posts: 160That's your call of course. Just remember that 500 cases amongst a population of 83,000,000 is pretty tiny.
Originally Posted by Tp273 [View Original Post]
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06-24-20 14:07 #793
Posts: 97Originally Posted by MaxSquatter [View Original Post]