Thread: Stupid shit in Medellin
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05-04-22 08:19 #4131
Posts: 1643You are correct to disagree and for many more reasons than you listed
Originally Posted by DontSayMuch [View Original Post]
The authors feel they proved the benefit in their title. I can't find enough fault with their preliminary findings to say further study is not warranted.
In fact, overall the paper is a "plus" or a win for supporting vaccination because the adenovirus-vector arm showed a clear, statistically significant reduction in all-cause mortality.
The Original Poster (OP) commits one of the classic, all-time pitfalls when he poses an argument or evidence that actually supports the opposite viewpoint. Comical, really, and I never cease to be amazed at this how common this intellectual blunder occurs.
You are correct to point out that the death numbers are very small which makes all conclusions suspect, especially considering that data collection was taken from multiple trials with different methodologies, one of the inherent weaknesses in all Review Papers. Did you notice the authors resorted to calling the authors of the original papers to figure out who died from what? While I admire that tenacity, that speaks volumes to the tenuous nature of the data.
That there was not a reduction in overall mortality in the mRNA arm of the study (code for Pfizer and Moderna) is not a surprise. The majority of the individuals in the trials were healthy volunteers. In real-life, COVID-19 vaccines are administered to highly vulnerable populations with high COVID-19-dependent mortalities. The "real world" outcomes are probably significantly different, and I expect would show such a reduction.
In spite of these limitations, the authors concluded that all the vaccines, including Pfizer and Moderna were associated with a lower risk of Covid-19 death, a point that seems to have been lost by the anti-vaxers.
No matter what side of the fence you are on, it only hurts your cause when you take an original scientific research paper that shows the opposite of your beliefs, and then try to co-opt and warp the results to support your viewpoint. That is intellectual laziness caused my emotional zealousness, and creates an instant loss of credibility.
I will not respond to any additional additional posts about this unless by some minor miracle, someone here for the first time has something more advanced to say compared to the sum total of all the prior posts here on Covid. I don't even know why I submit myself to this extra energy other than I think it's intellectual heresy to make the kind of uninformed conclusions the OP made from this paper.
DontSayMuch ShouldSayMore because he is the first person I have seen her in a long time who knows how to think critically without an obvious unfounded bias.
I have no axe to grind. Everything I have predicted about Covid so far has come true. The vaccines are medically becoming a moot point, and all restrictions are easing up. Let's hope a new more virulent strain doesn't pop up somewhere.
Don't try to engage me on these issues. I will not choose to waste my time like that. This post is just about the paper and its misinterpretation.
If I were one of the original journal reviewers who decided whether or not the paper gets published, which was one of the many hats I wore, I would have said the paper was in need of a major rewrite and reorganization before publication.
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05-04-22 06:05 #4130
Posts: 5494Originally Posted by DontSayMuch [View Original Post]
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05-04-22 05:13 #4129
Posts: 46Originally Posted by JustTK [View Original Post]
If you look at figure1 in the study it shows that the vaccines have a strong correlation on deterring COVID-19 death. And even though it weakens my point LOL, I have to point out that even though there is a very strong effect shown it's really the difference of 5 people.
The study is a quick read if anyone wants to look:
SSRN-id4072489. Pdf.
That's the file referenced.
Even though we disagree I enjoyed the discussion and hope you have a nice night.
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05-04-22 05:02 #4128
Posts: 1816Originally Posted by Nounce [View Original Post]
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05-04-22 04:59 #4127
Posts: 1816Originally Posted by DontSayMuch [View Original Post]
Agreed, the sample sizes are small. But these are the same RCT samples that governments decided it was a great idea to lock the entire wolrd down for 2 years. They re the only ones that we have, and they show no conclusive effect of mRNA vaccines on all-cause mortality. Watch the video, the guy explains it all very well.
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05-04-22 03:07 #4126
Posts: 46Originally Posted by JustTK [View Original Post]
"Randomised clinical trials of COVID-19 vaccines: do adenovirus-vector.
Vaccines have beneficial non-specific effects?
I disagree with your take on the conclusions in the study. The paper clearly states that the vaccines had an effect on Covid-19 related deaths. They also have incredibly low numbers. When you are looking at 1/21926 vs 2/21926, the numbers are so small that just +1/-1 throws it all out of whack. Look at the chart in the study discussing AstraZeneca in South America.
The effect on all-cause mortality is that the placebo has a mortality rate three times as high as the vaccine. This is accurate but then you see that the number is 1/1011 (with vaccine) vs 3/1011 (without vaccine).
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05-04-22 02:34 #4125
Posts: 2958Originally Posted by Elvis2008 [View Original Post]
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05-04-22 01:35 #4124
Posts: 2579Originally Posted by JustTK [View Original Post]
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05-04-22 00:53 #4123
Posts: 1816Originally Posted by MrEnternational [View Original Post]
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05-04-22 00:50 #4122
Posts: 1816Originally Posted by Elvis2008 [View Original Post]
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05-04-22 00:11 #4121
Posts: 675Originally Posted by TheCane [View Original Post]
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05-03-22 23:32 #4120
Posts: 1680Yo Drama Twit
Originally Posted by DramaFree11 [View Original Post]
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05-03-22 21:59 #4119
Posts: 6447Pageants
Originally Posted by MrEnternational [View Original Post]
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05-03-22 21:57 #4118
Posts: 2816Originally Posted by MrEnternational [View Original Post]
, he could be a little more humble, but you guys are just so crazy. I see why he gets upset. Everyone pays, the hotter they are you usually pay more.
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05-03-22 21:13 #4117
Posts: 1643Originally Posted by JjBee62 [View Original Post]
Your stripper story makes sense. I would not want to be pressured into a snap decision to pay VIP rates unless I was already in the mood.
I generally agree with allowing a pair of X chromosomes to demonstrate some degree of the free will and choose to be with me instead of my having to bid for her affections. Obviously I pay fair market value, plus I don't mind paying a small premium for what I believe buys me improved perfomance.
Purrfekt Paisa (not to be confused with Purrfekt Piel) is a purrfekt example. She can get ten-times what I pay her for some of her high-priced escapades.
The first time I ever saw Purrfekt Paisa (PP) I paid her 70 mil COP because she came over uninvited as a tag-along with Scarlet, who is always looking to introduce me to new girls. I told her she would get nothing but then we had a 3-way where I did not penetrate her below the waist, so I ended up giving her 70 mil COP.
One look at Purrfekt Paisa and I knew it was simply a matter of time before she got snatched up by some high-roller. Now she routinely gets one-million just to show up. And for day and overnight trips, the sky's the limit. I'll post pics and maybe a few will appreciate her. She is one of the most phenomenal physical specimens I have ever seen if you like the tall, fashionista, model type. Her clamshell pussy is phenomenal, tight, smooth and she is always wet. Her face is every ethnic and uber-cute. My photography does not do her justice, she is long and lithe but with curves. The foto of her laying face down across the bed is the closest to how she really looks. I would give her an 8.66723. She catches me staring at her too often, jeje.
Now I pay her 150 plus taxi, if and when she is available and she never bats an eyelash. She is on the invite list for the upcoming 6-7 way at Scarlet's house. I guess we could simply say "orgy" at that point.
You could say I was "grandfathered" in at PP's introductory rate, but that is uncomfortably too accurate according to our ages, jeje. I always treated her with respect but at the same time no different from any other chica. I'm a big believe in treating all chicas the same, from the cheapest Ground Zero quickie to the "nines" of the world. I treat them with respect, honesty, humor, and even admiration without putting them on a pedestal.
The competition is very weak in Medellin, especially when you factor in the shiftless Colombian men on top the typical mongering tourists (of course, all the mongers here on this Website are stellar). Sorry if my comment about Colombian men is an offensive generalization, but my perception is that the women are the backbone of Colombia.
I guess I would say I pick my spots. I don't automatically default to not competing in every situation, but most times, yes. The other factor is these chicas invariably circle back around after they act like they are leaving me for good. I can't think of one example when a chica did not come back to me after saying the long goodbye and that she would never see me again. I have to admit, I assume it will happen because it is so common.
Ostee Out, Keep On Keepin' On. If the Cosmic Blueberry Muffin is willing I will have boots on the ground in nine days.