Thread: American Politics
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04-02-23 20:40 #12159
Posts: 1807Originally Posted by JustTK [View Original Post]
However, in the end, I believe the researchers came up with a spurious correlation, like Tooms' spurious correlations between Republican Presidents and recessions, lower GDP growth, higher unemployment, and a pandemic. Or mine between Democratic Presidents and the number of Americans who've died in wars that started when they were in office. There's no cause and effect.
Here's the paper in question:
https://www.preprints.org/manuscript...50/v1/download
The Norwegians performed a regression analysis between excess mortality (dependent variable), and vaccination uptake, month number, average 2020 to 2021 mortality relative to 2016 to 2019 mortality, and life expectancy (independent variables) and they came up with a correlation, which I believe is spurious, given their intent is to show the vaccines are killing lots of people. If they'd instead used deaths from heat waves and from COVID the disease, I suspect they would have come up with a better correlation. The heat deaths occurred mostly in France, Spain, Germany, and Portugal, countries with high vaccination uptake rates. There were virtually none in the low vaccination uptake rate countries, which are mostly in Eastern Europe.
I'm too lazy to look at COVID deaths by month and country quantitatively, in an Excel spreadsheet, but have looked at graphs of deaths versus time during 2022 for the highest and lowest vaccination uptake countries in the Norwegians' paper. And it looks to me like COVID deaths per capita were lower for whatever reason in the lower uptake countries in 2022, which were all in Eastern Europe. Furthermore, after the winter of 2021/2022, that is, after the worldwide Omicron wave, the death rates from COVID went down to really low levels in the lowest vaccination countries, while they did not in the highest vaccination countries. So, again, I'd attribute part of the Norwegian's findings to higher death rates from COVID in the low vaccination countries.
Despite what Fauci, the CDC, and other health authorities would tell you on one hand and what the anti-vaxxers would tell you on the other, both vaccines and past infection provide good immunity against severe disease. And also COVID did not move through Europe uniformly. You may recall that initially in 2020, Eastern Europe (low vaccination uptake countries) had low rates of COVID infection, but later caught up and in some instances surpassed western European countries in per capita COVID deaths. So anyway I don't think the fact that the Eastern European countries had lower per capita death rates from COVID, the disease, in 2022 is an argument for superiority of getting immunity through disease instead of vaccines. In fact, for people my age anyway, I think that's a stupid argument.
Now I'm weak in statistics. The only info I see in their paper that gives me an idea of whether their correlations are statistically significant is Figure 1 C on page 5, which shows their data fits (the straight lines) and actual data (yellow or orange line) for percentage excess deaths by month. They emphasize the fact that the % excess deaths is increasing 2022. The reason is that you expect that % excess deaths in January and February should be higher, because of the Omicron wave. But why are they higher still in July? Why, it must be the aftereffects of the vaccines! Again, I'd chalk that up to heatwave deaths. The excess deaths fall off a lot in subsequent months.
The excess death rates go down after July. Without the July data, the Norwegian's correlation looks a lot less impressive.
Finally, there's other research, which looks to be better quality to me, that contradicts the Norwegian's hypothesis. Here are a couple of links. The first is particularly good and more comprehensive than the Norwegian study -- see Figure 6 in particular.
https://healthfeedback.org/what-can-...urope-in-2022/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9319484/
Now, you will see posts on social media showing a correlation between higher vaccination rates and higher mortality or hospitalization rates from COVID within single countries or counties or wherever. The UK and Israel probably account for the majority. They're bogus, as they fail to segment by age group. In parts of the UK, for example, a lot more old people got vaccinated than young people. And old people are mostly the ones who were hospitalized and died with COVID. Correct for age and it's obvious the vaccines prevented hospitalizations and death.
Also, if you look like a country like Taiwan, which was walled off from COVID through travel restrictions, you'll see higher all cause mortality in the vaccinated. Contrary to what Fauci, the CDC, the WHO and other health authorities would have you believe, thousands or tens of thousands of people have died from COVID vaccines. Millions however have died from COVID the disease. It's a numbers game. And for people my age, but perhaps not yours, the decision to get the vaccine was a no brainer.
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04-01-23 15:42 #12158
Posts: 32Originally Posted by Elvis2008 [View Original Post]
And if a number of your readers fail to understand your point, perhaps the problem lies not with the reader but your poor writing?
Originally Posted by Elvis2008 [View Original Post]
As for your claim that I am misrepresenting her position, I would like to point out that I did no such thing. I suggested that it is possible that she may have had a change of mind between the surgery and now; if she feels aggrieved now, she is perfectly entitled to. But to sue her doctors because she had a change of heart, that's problematic.
And, by the way, what would you call the conservative's action on this matter? You yourself used the words "attack on abortion rights" to describe to it; so does that mean that you agree with the LA Times' description?
Finally, why are you so angry? Are things in the real world not going your way and one way that you feel better is by blasting your vitriol here to make yourself feel better about yourself?
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04-01-23 07:24 #12157
Posts: 5472Watch The Dumb Hillbilly Wingers Ramp Up The Diversionary Topics
Originally Posted by TheCane [View Original Post]
This first Trump indictment might in and of itself be less legally threatening than the idictments he has earned for worse crimes. However, this one is critical in that it was the gateway crime that allowed him and his Repub supporters and partners to inflict historic levels of economic disaster, death and destruction on America and most of the world.
Sure, Repub FBI Director Comey's contribution likely shifted enough votes to Trump at the last minute in 2016 to put him in the White House. Russia's extraordinarily high level of collusion with Camp Trump, the RePutinKlan Party and winger media like Fux News certainly shifted just enough votes to do it.
But there was nothing illegal about those pro Trump campaign moves. They were merely unethical and Anti-American.
However, this Trump campaign election rigging move to put him in the White House was illegal.
And without any one of those bits of election interference or this illegal one, Repub Icon and current 2024 RePutinKlan Party prez nominee frontrunner Trump could not have flushed Trillions in American taxpayer dollars down the shitter with nothing to show for it except a million fewer jobs created with their economic "stimulus" legislation than without it.
He couldn't have golfed through 3-4 non existant Infrastructure Weeks over the golf course of 4 miserable years.
He couldn't have done so much to weaken American democracy, alienate our pro democtratic allies and strengthen his Masters Putin, Xi, Kim and other authoritarian dictatorships around the world.
He couldn't have pulled the key Pandemic Prevention and Response agents out of China to make Xi feel better and against all expert advice not to do something so stupid and dangerous many months before the first coronavirus cases emerged in secrecy when only a couple of months' heads up about it to responsible parties would have easily averted Trump's Pandemic and all the problems that followed.
Therefore, 1,000,000+ Americans and many more people around the world would not have been mass murdered.
Worldwide economies would not have crashed and millions upon millions of jobs destroyed amid neccessary Trump's Pandemic mitigation closures.
We would never have suffered those monumental losses and the lingering Supply-Chain destruction-based Inflation.
America and the world would have definitely been better off in ways beyond words had Trump not illegally rigged the 2016 election in his favor with this Original Sin crime for which he has now been indicted.
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04-01-23 02:22 #12156
Posts: 3266Originally Posted by JustTK [View Original Post]
Rand Paul was on Fox and made the point people were smarter than many thought. Like 99% of seniors who vaxxed but rates for children were miniscule. This is the Democrats biggest nightmare: people thinking for themselves.
But the real kicker of a video was this. Sorry, TK, your video was more informative but this one was more fun. Only Russell Brand can make the end of the world and science seem funny.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=paOGVy8TYHI
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04-01-23 01:56 #12155
Posts: 3266Originally Posted by Elusive [View Original Post]
Two things that will never be in peer reviewed journals regardless of the evidence:
1. Covid vaccines kill people.
2. Opioids are under prescribed.
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04-01-23 01:27 #12154
Posts: 1803Originally Posted by Elusive [View Original Post]
The study may not have taken place? What evidence do you have of that? The url is in the video, look it up.
False title? What false title?
It must be truly scary to have so much cognitive dissonance that you just shoot out the first wildest accusations you can come up with.
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03-31-23 18:47 #12153
Posts: 3266Originally Posted by PVMonger [View Original Post]
Originally Posted by PVMonger [View Original Post]
Of course, there are no links to these studies with 1 and 2% dissatisfaction rates.
"Proponents of these bans assert that puberty blockers and hormones used in such care endanger the lives of adolescents. They say the youths may be going through a phase that they'll soon outgrow and the treatments are based on overly indulgent diagnoses of "gender dysphoria".
The truth is just the opposite. Gender dysphoria diagnosis is neither novel nor a fad, as some partisan critics assert. Instead, it's recognized by professionals as a serious medical condition. ".
No, the truth is no one knows and the first rule of medicine is do no harm.
This is the same kind of reckless "expert" driven bullshit as the Covid vaccines. They were claimed to be safe and effective and now two years later, we all know (well maybe not you Democratic douches) that they were anything but.
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03-31-23 18:29 #12152
Posts: 3266Originally Posted by ErsatzJulian [View Original Post]
Originally Posted by ErsatzJulian [View Original Post]
For a Democratic douche like you, that is not one sided bias.
As for your claim that the Daily Mail did not present both sides, that was impossible to do.
"Kaiser, for the moment, can't discuss Cole's case without her express permission because of federal and state patient privacy laws. That might change when Kaiser files a formal response to the lawsuit, which could be weeks or months from now. ".
Originally Posted by ErsatzJulian [View Original Post]Originally Posted by ErsatzJulian [View Original Post]
And then you blasted the Daily Mail because they reported on this lawsuit and called it shoddy journalism. No, that is what is called news. The LA Times calling it a "right wing attack" like the attack on abortion rights is not news but Democratic douche opinion that you consider news.
I will make you a deal. Quit being a stupid fool and I will quit calling you one.
I would also ask that you quit being a closed minded Democratic douche but it is best to take one step at a time.
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03-31-23 17:29 #12151
Posts: 49Originally Posted by JustTK [View Original Post]
What kind of scientist would release a study that is not peer reviewed.?
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03-31-23 15:50 #12150
Posts: 1803COVID vaccines cause excess deaths
More evidence that COVID vaccines cause excess deaths. This is really for Tiny, who appears at least open to reading / watching new evidence:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6G1SWjL7gmQ
Of course, this will get zero coverage by the corporat ecaptured mainstream media since they are sponsored by Big Pharma too.
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03-31-23 15:03 #12149
Posts: 32Originally Posted by Elvis2008 [View Original Post]
As for my assertion that citing The Daily Mail does not prove anything, I stand by it because the proof of its shoddy journalism is self-evident in the article because there is no attempt to present the other side's position. And citing the other alleged failings of the media does not excuse the The Daily Mail of shoddy journalism. The failing of one side does not excuse the failing of the other side, so stop with the what-aboutism.
Finally, just knock it off with the insults. It makes you sound like a petulant child and nobody respects that.
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03-31-23 08:31 #12148
Posts: 6441Oh yeah!
Comeuppance time is finally here! And we're just getting started. Bust his balls! His former attorney went to jail for the same stuff. And what goes around comes around. Next!
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/politics/liv...els/index.html
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03-31-23 01:07 #12147
Posts: 1803Originally Posted by Elvis2008 [View Original Post]
The one thing the authoritarian propagandists have got going for them is that the main stream media wer compliant in these lies and cover ups, so will continue to bury it as best they can. They are bought out just as much as the government is. Its just one big corruption mill.
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03-31-23 00:57 #12146
Posts: 1803Originally Posted by Elvis2008 [View Original Post]
"A woman is an adult female. ".
Well, that's one definition of the word, from a biological perspecive. BUt we both know words have multiple definitions. Look up "Male-Female Studded Rod end Joint" for a good example.
"adult male who thinks they are a woman are the same is insane".
Its far from insane if one's definition includes such people.
"Trans men need a name, and they can pick whatever name they want to call themselves, but woman is off limits. ".
Trans men call thmselves men, not women. So yes, I can see how you example would cause confusion.
"The problem with when you go fooling around with existing definitions of words is tyranny is so easily accomplished".
Its hard to keep up at times, I know. I remember when 'woke' simply meant being ethically aware of injustices, but I now learn it means a whole long list things that I never knew I was guity of.
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03-31-23 00:31 #12145
Posts: 1803Originally Posted by ChrisP [View Original Post]
Originally Posted by ChrisP [View Original Post]