Thread: Medellin Reports
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08-13-20 15:46 #38810
Posts: 316Originally Posted by BlackPage [View Original Post]
With herd immunity, this is being achieved at approximately 20%. Most recent studies indicate that the burnout rate is between 15-20% before cases start dropping. This was the case in NY especially, and also in Sweden. In the coming days / weeks you'll see cases dropping in FL, TX, AZ, GA etc. And it will be due to this. The rest of the country will see the reductions in early September from my calculations, before it is basically a national burnout.
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08-13-20 15:34 #38809
Posts: 444Originally Posted by MMHikeus [View Original Post]
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08-13-20 15:26 #38808
Posts: 2514Originally Posted by ShooBree [View Original Post]
Epidemiology is a tough subject. I spent some time listening to colleagues who study epidemiology from the mathematical modelling standpoint, and I was astonished when I saw the number of parameters of the model ranging from 10 to 20, depending on the complexity and level of detail. ISG is not really the right venue where to discuss about such complex matters. It's a branch of math belonging to control theory, which is fascinating indeed.
70% is the most cited number for a so-called "herd immunity", assuming that such X% of persons is immune. Please note that X depends on how contagious is a disease: the more contagious it is, the higher is X. Last year, I read that for measles, which is way more contagious than COVID, the percentage of kids in schools that should be vaccinated, to protect those who cannot take a vaccine because of problems at their immune system, is above 90%.
Nobody knows for sure what is the threshold for "herd immunity" for COVID. You claim 40%? Or 70%? Whatever. One can speculate, but there are not enough empirical data. It is not even sure it may exist!
First of all, nobody knows what is the level of protection gained by those who recovered successfully out of COVID. Several people fell back, and nobody is sure if it was a new infection, or the same as before. Second, nobody knows how long such immunity lasts. Third, nobody knows for sure what is the real number of people in a region (even NY) who caught the virus and developed antibodies or some other type of "immunity". There are esteems, and all can be questioned.
Last but not least, it is true that the natural development of an epidemic shows a peak, but the reason why the count (be it of deaths, of sick, of positive, .) at some points starts to decrease is not necessarily that herd immunity has been reached. Otherwise, there should never be a "second wave" (Spanish Flu had 4 or 5? Such "second waves" do happen right because the first wave ended, but herd immunity is still far from being reached.
Herd immunity would be the only reason of going down after the peak only in a community with free circulation and no countermeasures, a huge pot where people freely mixes and randomly passes the virus. Fortunately, in most countries some people takes serious measures against infection, or mobility is limited.
Is herd immunity a target to aim at, at least for COVID? I would not say so, unless one would accept to see millions of deaths in a country with 300 millions of people potentially subject to be infected, not to mention the permanent effects left by the disease in some patients.
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08-13-20 14:27 #38807
Posts: 5466Originally Posted by JohnGault [View Original Post]
Colombia right now is in the "Oh Shit" zone with corona. I believe their current infection rate is the highest, per capita in the world. With everyone reporting that places like Botero Plaza are packed every day, it's easy to see why. Until they enforce a strict lockdown those numbers aren't going down. Until those numbers start going down, it's highly unlikely international flights will resume. Once they enforce a strict lockdown, and that will probably require the army and turn into a major shitshow, start your countdown.
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08-13-20 13:29 #38806
Posts: 1360The plight of the girls from Venezuela.
Originally Posted by JjBee62 [View Original Post]
A lot of the lower class girls mostly Vennies are sleeping on the street. Of course most of the customers these girls get are local hombres, but still the lack of the guys who most likely pay a little more than a local guy is really hurting these poor devils. There is nobody in Colombia handing out $1200 checks to people out of work.
The Colombia economy in general does not reflect the plight of the Vennies as for the most part they have no family to fall back on as the local girls do.
I for one was happy for all the hot girls from Venezuela when I was there in March, and now I can only wish them well.
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08-13-20 04:15 #38805
Posts: 101Originally Posted by Blakman [View Original Post]
Non Colombians need a passport. No exceptions. Generally rules out most venues.
No limit on the number of visitors per day or at a time. Like 2-4 guests at a time, or 2-4 per day. Not sure you can do 20 though.
I have personally done threesomes and foursomes, no problem.
I have stayed in the building many times. PM me if you have additional questions.
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08-13-20 04:00 #38804
Posts: 101Originally Posted by NilAdmirari [View Original Post]
They are chica friendly and keep a copy of the cedula. For Colombians they require a cedula and check it against the national police database. For non Colombians, they only accept passports. So venies are a no go, unless they have a passport. They even check ID for male visitors. No limit on the number of visitors etc. They ask for payment in USD or you can convert and pay in COP at current exchange rate. They always quote price in USD. It's a residential building, and regular families live there, so keeping a low profile in the public areas is prudent.
All this info is accurate as of March pre covid.
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08-13-20 03:13 #38803
Posts: 586I imagine it depends on which barrio. In Medellin, I used to go to Aranjuez and Manrique for night life. I would not do that now. I used to go see chicas I know in San Javier and in Popular. I would not do that now. I would walk on the street less. And not at night. In Bogota, I would never go to centro or the South, even before the virus. I would stay far north. My ex-wife's family say it would be OK with coming to their barrio. They are more concerned with COVID than with crime.
Caveat for me. I first went to Medellin and Bogota more than 15 years ago when there were still FARC bombings and gringos were a lot less common. So I guess I take it with a grain of salt to some extent. But it is definitely different now than, say, 5 years ago.
Originally Posted by Combo [View Original Post]
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08-13-20 03:09 #38802
Posts: 3234Originally Posted by Combo [View Original Post]
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08-13-20 02:16 #38801
Posts: 24Zaza and Club Amigas
I haven't been to Club Amigas for a couple of weeks, last time I think there where about 3-4 girls there and they were also in the middle of doing some renovations so gave it a pass. Good to hear there is some new talent and you had a good session. If you feel like sharing details of the girl who doesn't mind CIM, that would be good info to know for sure. For me in the casas that's kind of rare. I haven't been to Zaza's in months, not sure if its still open, from memory that is the one that usually has older heavier women, if its the one I think it is where you go through like a beaded curtain on the way in, never actually sessioned there just visited once or twice. Just so few casas open in centro at the moment and several of them look like they are shut for good, with for rent signs in the windows. As you mentioned lots more action around Botero depending on the day, but also a bit hit and miss depending on your preferences.
Originally Posted by Orgasmico [View Original Post]
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08-13-20 02:15 #38800
Posts: 3801IF They Don't Swallow They Are Being Disrespectful
Originally Posted by Orgasmico [View Original Post]
If she had swallowed, would you have given her a larger tip?
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08-13-20 01:22 #38799
Posts: 1507Medellin Report:
Went by Zaza but the door was shut. I didn't knock or ring the bell because I was planning to circle back. Went through Botero and it was packed. A lot of nice talent and phat booties out there. I will definitely be back soon to grab something from out there.
Walked around and was passing by Club Amigas Sexy and I saw the manager outside the front door so I asked her if they were working and she said yes and if the door is closed just ring the bell. Went up and saw the lineup. Saw a lot of familiar faces and grabbed one I hadn't seen before.
The chica was very cool and told me she was new. Asked about a BBBJ and she said no problem as long as I give her a propina. She was giving very good head and I asked her if she wanted me to cum in her mouth. She said that was up to me and kind of giggled. I told her to suck some more, then asked her to put the rubber on and told her I wanted to finish in her mouth.
We stroked in several positions and she was surprisingly tight. After getting in a good workout, I told her to start sucking me again. She took the rubber off and was focusing on the head and I told her to suck the whole thing. When she stated sucking more aggressively, I was ready to cum and told her to keep sucking. I finished in her mouth. She didn't swallow but got up and spit it all into the sink.
I gave her a 20 mil propina. We got dressed and she gave me her number and said she would come see me if I hit her on WhatsApp. Today was a good day.
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08-13-20 01:07 #38798
Posts: 1749Originally Posted by ColombiaLover [View Original Post]
Caveat - every middle / upper class Colombian is hyper-concerned about danger in their cities, so I take what they say with a grain of salt. But Colombia's lockdown has been severe and the economy is in miserable condition.
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08-12-20 22:21 #38797
Posts: 54663.8%
That's the percentage of Colombia's GDP that tourism accounts for. 3.8%.
Opening up the borders, considering tourism will not immediately return to previous levels, is not going to do anything for the Colombian economy, even if they throw the doors wide open, no quarantine, no testing and no restrictions based on country of origin.
At best, restoring international travel would represent a tiny blip on the economic radar.
As much as you all want to try and rationalize why Colombia should make it easy for you to come back, it has no effect on when the borders will open.
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08-12-20 21:46 #38796
Posts: 5466Originally Posted by Blakman [View Original Post]
The reason why guys like you have to deal with annoying requests from internet girls to buy videos is that you haven't figured out how to handle annoying requests. Allow me to teach you.
Girl: Please buy my videos.
Guy: I'm not interested in buying videos, but if you're interested in meeting for sex, I will talk to you when I'm in Medellin.
Girl: okay, but will you buy my videos?
Guy: No. I don't buy videos. If you ask me again I will block you.
Or you can just shorten it and block them as soon as they ask.
Girl: Buy my videos.
WhatsApp or Messenger: You blocked this person.
See how easy that is?
Now let's cover the rest. 90% of mongers, judging by the guys who don't use Facebook, aren't getting those requests. Am I also to blame for all the guys who get requests from girls to send them money? Looking at the forum, it would appear that girls were hitting guys up for money on the internet 10 years before I ever set foot in Colombia.
I'm not the reason why Chicas are trying to sell videos, asking for handouts, going on webcams or trying to sell everything from booze to sex toys. When people get hungry, they try to find a way to get food. It's one of those basic needs and I didn't create it.
About the specific girls I paid for the videos, not only are they not asking you or anyone else to buy their videos, they aren't now and never will be available to you in any way. Buying videos from them has absolutely no negative effect on mongering in Colombia.
If anything, there's a tiny possibility that, by showing them how to capitalize on sex, one of them might decide that P4P is something to consider. However, I'm absolutely certain none of them would ever come down to your price point.