Printable View
[QUOTE=Trifecta68;2967922]Wood, Love your Patriotic Post! Just hoping Trump & His Team can execute thru the criminal cartel of Democrat governance. I could go on with hundreds of other issues, but this board is not for that.[/QUOTE]Thats exactly what this thread is for.
[QUOTE=Sirioja;2967702]Shame on you. You claim to love Russia and you don t know Russians and Ukrainians are brothers, with many mixed families, children who have parents Russian and Ukrainian. And more than 1 million dead and misery, Putin even killing babies and children. Urgent to erase him.[/QUOTE]I don't support the war, I only support the Russians winning it!!
I am Anti-War unless it directly involves Xi Jinping.
[URL]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/provoked-long-train-abuses-culminated-ukraine-war[/URL]
[URL]https://www.rt.com/news/609361-trump-eu-nightmare-punishment/[/URL]
[URL]https://www.rt.com/russia/608809-trenin-russia-win-ukraine/[/URL]
I want you to send your sons when Macron conscripts them.
[QUOTE=Tiny12;2967936]Tiny's heroes:
[URL]https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Portrait_of_Milton_Friedman.jpg[/URL]
[URL]https://www.britannica.com/biography/Margaret-Thatcher[/URL]
[URL]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kUYPNsTpO4Y[/URL]
Tooms' heroes:
[URL]https://people.com/politics/jimmy-carter-life-in-pictures/[/URL]
[URL]https://x.com/econjared?lang=en[/URL]
[URL]https://sandersinstitute.org/fellows/dr-stephanie-kelton[/URL]
Sirioja's heroes:
[URL]https://www.thenation.com/article/culture/thomas-piketty-interview-inequality-book-covid/[/URL]
[URL]https://eml.berkeley.edu/~saez/Saez_photopage_8_1.html[/URL]
[URL]https://gabriel-zucman.eu/bio/[/URL]
Two of Sirioja's three heroes moved moved to the USA because the economy in France sucked. Kind of like California progressives who move to Austin, Texas.
The Marquis' heroes:
[URL]https://www.theguardian.com/artanddesign/2022/nov/30/bernie-sanders-mittens-viral-biden-inaugu-brendan-smialowskis-best-photograph[/URL]
[URL]https://www.britannica.com/biography/Juan-Peron[/URL]
[URL]https://www.britannica.com/biography/Karl-Marx[/URL][/QUOTE][URL]https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/14/opinion/china-trump-us-rivalry.html[/URL]
Trump's Way Could Win the Contest With China Once and for All.
Nov. 14,2024.
An image shows the arms of then-president Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping extended for a handshake against a backdrop representing the Chinese and American flags.
Credit. Damir Sagolj / Reuters.
Share full article.
418.
By Craig Singleton.
Mr. Singleton is a China analyst and senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies in Washington.
Donald Trump's first term signaled a historic shift in USA Policy toward China. His strategic blend of economic pressure, unpredictability, sanctions and tariffs knocked Beijing off balance. It was a turning point: Washington moved from passive acceptance of China's revisionist ambitions to assertive opposition. The Biden administration has wisely maintained and in some cases expanded on this framework.
Mr. Trump's second term could help America to win this strategic contest altogether.
China faces an array of challenges, especially a stagnating economy, making it vulnerable to the president-elect's assertive tactics. If Mr. Trump can couple the blustery style of his first term with a more focused strategy and tighter discipline, the next four years are a golden opportunity to keep Beijing on the defensive and permanently transform the rivalry in America's favor.
For China, the ideal outcome in the USA Election would have been another four years of the Biden-Harris administration's cautious approach. Although President Biden maintained targeted pressure on Beijing, his emphasis on theétente and aversion to escalation would have afforded China's leader, Xi Jinping, the predictability he needs to address his domestic troubles and advance China's ambitions in critical areas such as technology, trade and the future of Taiwan.
But Mr. Trump isn't content with merely managing the competition with Beijing. He aims to win it. His zero-sum approach and unconventional tactics — as well as an emerging cabinet of China hawks — are likely to deny Mr. Xi the breathing room he desperately needs and push the Chinese leader into a high-stakes test of wills he cannot easily control or predict.
Advertisement.
SKIP ADVERTISEMENT.
Despite a decade of projecting outward strength, China is, in fact, a declining power, its rise having been undone by Mr. Xi's mismanagement, heavy-handed repression and strategic blunders. The country faces crippling debt, record-high youth unemployment and a shrinking, rapidly aging population. His ideology-driven approach, which places the Chinese Communist Party at the heart of economic decision making, has eroded business confidence, spurred capital flight and led to unprecedented drops in foreign investment. China's era of sky-high growth is giving way to a stagnation reminiscent of Japan's so-called lost decade, a period of deflation and economic inertia from which Japan has yet to fully recover. Even Mr. Xi cautioned citizens last year to be prepared to "eat bitterness," a Chinese phrase signaling hard times ahead.
Sign up for the Opinion Today newsletter Get expert analysis of the news and a guide to the big ideas shaping the world every weekday morning. Get it sent to your inbox.
The USA Economy, meanwhile, is gaining momentum, and Mr. Trump — who views China's centrally planned, manufacturing-heavy model as predatory and harmful to American workers — seems ready to aggressively leverage USA Strength, as he did in his first term. He has proposed tariffs as high as 60 percent on Chinese imports, which, according to some estimates, could shave up to two percentage points off China's gross domestic product.
The bluster and brinkmanship of Mr. Trump's first term could also prove invaluable regarding Taiwan. Mr. Xi's goal is to bring the democratically ruled island under Chinese rule, by force if necessary. Mr. Trump, however, is threatening tariffs as high as 200 percent on Chinese goods if China takes military action. The president-elect summed up the situation best when he noted last month that Mr. Xi wouldn't dare provoke him over Taiwan because the Chinese leader knows that he's "crazy. ".
Chinese anxiety over Mr. Trump's return is already surfacing. During the Biden administration, Beijing often struck a defiant tone, accusing the United States of encirclement and containment. But after Mr. Trump's decisive election victory, Chinese leaders quickly struck a more conciliatory tone, calling for peaceful coexistence and a new era of cooperation.
But America must build on today's momentum, especially in the high-stakes contest with China over critical technologies such as semiconductors, artificial intelligence, autonomous vehicles and quantum computing — the engines of tomorrow's industrial revolution. Allowing China to seize the lead would dangerously tilt global power dynamics in its favor, undermining USA National security. Mr. Trump recognizes this risk and has signaled he would probably intensify tariffs, export controls and sanctions on China's tech and manufacturing sectors that have already hindered the country's economy and its potential for innovation. He may also champion tighter screening of USA Investments in China's tech sector, a strategy that has bipartisan support and could impede China's development and deployment of advanced military capabilities.
Editors' Picks.
What Is (or Was) 'Perks Culture'?
Superflares Erupt From Stars Like Our Sun Once Every 100 Years.
What 'Wicked' Has to Say About Our Current Political Moment.
SKIP ADVERTISEMENT.
Advertisement.
SKIP ADVERTISEMENT.
Mr. Xi is pinning China's economic hopes on an outdated, state-subsidized manufacturing-for-export model. But this strategy is highly vulnerable to USA Tariffs. Mr. Xi might appeal to Mr. Trump's deal-making instincts by offering selective concessions to blunt the impact of tariffs, but these are unlikely to sway Mr. Trump for long.
Mr. Xi has tools of his own that he can use, but nearly all of them are risky. He could shore up his economy by cutting interest rates, extending tax rebates or further subsidizing exporters. But these are short-term remedies that are likely to worsen long-term economic instability by inflating China's staggering debt, which is currently estimated to be nearly three times the size of the country's G. The. P. Striking back with his own tariffs could ignite a trade war that affects USA Consumers, but Mr. Trump has shown a readiness to absorb short-term political costs for strategic gain, and polls indicate that most Americans support his tariff threats.
Mr. Xi could retaliate by restricting USA Companies' access to Chinese markets, but that may further unsettle foreign investors already wary of China's economic trajectory. Curbing Chinese exports of minerals essential for high-tech manufacturing could also backfire by accelerating USA -led efforts to secure alternative sources. Devaluing the Chinese currency would make the country's exports cheaper, offsetting the impact of tariffs. But it is likely to accelerate capital flight and strain relations with other trade partners.
As a last resort, Mr. Xi could escalate tensions over Taiwan or in the South China Sea, but that risks galvanizing USA Alliances and inviting a stronger American military presence in the region.
To fully capitalize on China's current vulnerabilities and secure lasting American advantages, the next Trump administration must recognize the historic opportunity it faces. Today's international landscape echoes the latter stages of the Cold War, when President Ronald Reagan confronted a weakening Soviet Union and hastened its collapse by forcing Moscow to make costly resource allocation decisions that ultimately bankrupted it. This isn't to suggest America's goal with China should be regime change; rather, the United States should aim beyond mere coexistence. It should confidently wield the moral and economic strength of its democratic model until China's leaders and people recognize that their system is unsustainable and embrace a freer and less hostile path.
Advertisement.
SKIP ADVERTISEMENT.
But achieving lasting success will require more than pressuring China for pressure's sake. It will demand a wider peace-through-strength approach that combines American domestic renewal, enhanced military spending, entrepreneurial dynamism and, critically, the alliance network that Mr. Biden revitalized across Asia and Europe. The incoming administration needs to grasp that this is a crucial piece of the puzzle in confronting China and ensure that a renewed "America First" approach focuses on fair burden sharing among allies rather than excessive tariffs on allies or questioning American commitments to mutual defense arrangements. These would only undermine deterrence and create diplomatic rifts that China would be quick to exploit.
Mr. Trump's bold style isn't for the fainthearted. In a time of fierce global competition, he sees balance as weakness and coexistence as capitulation. Yet if he can draw from past lessons, engage with our allies and stay disciplined, he just might be crazy enough to confront China — and win.
[QUOTE=MarquisdeSade1;2967985]I don't support the war, I only support the Russians winning it!!
I am Anti-War unless it directly involves Xi Jinping.
[URL]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/provoked-long-train-abuses-culminated-ukraine-war[/URL]
[URL]https://www.rt.com/news/609361-trump-eu-nightmare-punishment/[/URL]
[URL]https://www.rt.com/russia/608809-trenin-russia-win-ukraine/[/URL]
I want you to send your sons when Macron conscripts them.[/QUOTE]Ukrainians are fully right to defend their country and freedom, and when I love Russia, but hate Putin, I will always support Ukrainians versus criminal Putin. Same like if China attacked USA, they would eat You with their 1,4 billions, when You lost in Vietnam, Afghanistan versus rats, when they will start eating You for economics strength, when senile Trump will fuck You.
[QUOTE=MarquisdeSade1;2967981]Donald Trump is a living GOD.[/QUOTE]When more difficult to shoot his ear than his senile big head, we could wonder if not organized just to make believing so many low brained in USA, who think they elected a lying god. They may experience how new god will fuck them, I would then laugh a lot.
[QUOTE=MarquisdeSade1;2968080][URL]https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/14/opinion/china-trump-us-rivalry.html[/URL]
Trump's Way Could Win the Contest With China Once and for All.
Nov. 14,2024.
An image shows the arms of then-president Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping extended for a handshake against a backdrop representing the Chinese and American flags.
Credit. Damir Sagolj / Reuters.
Share full article.
418.
By Craig Singleton.
Mr. Singleton is a China analyst and senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies in Washington.
Donald Trump's first term signaled a historic shift in USA Policy toward China. His strategic blend of economic pressure, unpredictability, sanctions and tariffs knocked Beijing off balance. It was a turning point: Washington moved from passive acceptance of China's revisionist ambitions to assertive opposition. The Biden administration has wisely maintained and in some cases expanded on this framework.
Mr. Trump's second term could help America to win this strategic contest altogether.
China faces an array of challenges, especially a stagnating economy, making it vulnerable to the president-elect's assertive tactics. If Mr. Trump can couple the blustery style of his first term with a more focused strategy and tighter discipline, the next four years are a golden opportunity to keep Beijing on the defensive and permanently transform the rivalry in America's favor.
For China, the ideal outcome in the USA Election would have been another four years of the Biden-Harris administration's cautious approach. Although President Biden maintained targeted pressure on Beijing, his emphasis on thetente and aversion to escalation would have afforded China's leader, Xi Jinping, the predictability he needs to address his domestic troubles and advance China's ambitions in critical areas such as technology, trade and the future of Taiwan.
But Mr. Trump isn't content with merely managing the competition with Beijing. He aims to win it. His zero-sum approach and unconventional tactics as well as an emerging cabinet of China hawks are likely to deny Mr. Xi the breathing room he desperately needs and push the Chinese leader into a high-stakes test of wills he cannot easily control or predict.
Advertisement.
SKIP ADVERTISEMENT.
Despite a decade of projecting outward strength, China is, in fact, a declining power, its rise having been undone by Mr. Xi's mismanagement, heavy-handed repression and strategic blunders. The country faces crippling debt, record-high youth unemployment and a shrinking, rapidly aging population. His ideology-driven approach, which places the Chinese Communist Party at the heart of economic decision making, has eroded business confidence, spurred capital flight and led to unprecedented drops in foreign investment. China's era of sky-high growth is giving way to a stagnation reminiscent of Japan's so-called lost decade, a period of deflation and economic inertia from which Japan has yet to fully recover. Even Mr. Xi cautioned citizens last year to be prepared to "eat bitterness," a Chinese phrase signaling hard times ahead.
Sign up for the Opinion Today newsletter Get expert analysis of the news and a guide to the big ideas shaping the world every weekday morning. Get it sent to your inbox.
The USA Economy, meanwhile, is gaining momentum, and Mr. Trump who views China's centrally planned, manufacturing-heavy model as predatory and harmful to American workers seems ready to aggressively leverage USA Strength, as he did in his first term. He has proposed tariffs as high as 60 percent on Chinese imports, which, according to some estimates, could shave up to two percentage points off China's gross domestic product.
The bluster and brinkmanship of Mr. Trump's first term could also prove invaluable regarding Taiwan. Mr. Xi's goal is to bring the democratically ruled island under Chinese rule, by force if necessary. Mr. Trump, however, is threatening tariffs as high as 200 percent on Chinese goods if China takes military action. The president-elect summed up the situation best when he noted last month that Mr. Xi wouldn't dare provoke him over Taiwan because the Chinese leader knows that he's "crazy. ".
Chinese anxiety over Mr. Trump's return is already surfacing. During the Biden administration, Beijing often struck a defiant tone, accusing the United States of encirclement and containment. But after Mr. Trump's decisive election victory, Chinese leaders quickly struck a more conciliatory tone, calling for peaceful coexistence and a new era of cooperation.
But America must build on today's momentum, especially in the high-stakes contest with China over critical technologies such as semiconductors, artificial intelligence, autonomous vehicles and quantum computing the engines of tomorrow's industrial revolution. Allowing China to seize the lead would dangerously tilt global power dynamics in its favor, undermining USA National security. Mr. Trump recognizes this risk and has signaled he would probably intensify tariffs, export controls and sanctions on China's tech and manufacturing sectors that have already hindered the country's economy and its potential for innovation. He may also champion tighter screening of USA Investments in China's tech sector, a strategy that has bipartisan support and could impede China's development and deployment of advanced military capabilities.
Editors' Picks.
What Is (or Was) 'Perks Culture'?
Superflares Erupt From Stars Like Our Sun Once Every 100 Years.
What 'Wicked' Has to Say About Our Current Political Moment.
SKIP ADVERTISEMENT.
Advertisement.
SKIP ADVERTISEMENT.
Mr. Xi is pinning China's economic hopes on an outdated, state-subsidized manufacturing-for-export model. But this strategy is highly vulnerable to USA Tariffs. Mr. Xi might appeal to Mr. Trump's deal-making instincts by offering selective concessions to blunt the impact of tariffs, but these are unlikely to sway Mr. Trump for long.
Mr. Xi has tools of his own that he can use, but nearly all of them are risky. He could shore up his economy by cutting interest rates, extending tax rebates or further subsidizing exporters. But these are short-term remedies that are likely to worsen long-term economic instability by inflating China's staggering debt, which is currently estimated to be nearly three times the size of the country's G. The. P. Striking back with his own tariffs could ignite a trade war that affects USA Consumers, but Mr. Trump has shown a readiness to absorb short-term political costs for strategic gain, and polls indicate that most Americans support his tariff threats.
Mr. Xi could retaliate by restricting USA Companies' access to Chinese markets, but that may further unsettle foreign investors already wary of China's economic trajectory. Curbing Chinese exports of minerals essential for high-tech manufacturing could also backfire by accelerating USA -led efforts to secure alternative sources. Devaluing the Chinese currency would make the country's exports cheaper, offsetting the impact of tariffs. But it is likely to accelerate capital flight and strain relations with other trade partners.
As a last resort, Mr. Xi could escalate tensions over Taiwan or in the South China Sea, but that risks galvanizing USA Alliances and inviting a stronger American military presence in the region.
To fully capitalize on China's current vulnerabilities and secure lasting American advantages, the next Trump administration must recognize the historic opportunity it faces. Today's international landscape echoes the latter stages of the Cold War, when President Ronald Reagan confronted a weakening Soviet Union and hastened its collapse by forcing Moscow to make costly resource allocation decisions that ultimately bankrupted it. This isn't to suggest America's goal with China should be regime change; rather, the United States should aim beyond mere coexistence. It should confidently wield the moral and economic strength of its democratic model until China's leaders and people recognize that their system is unsustainable and embrace a freer and less hostile path.
Advertisement.
SKIP ADVERTISEMENT.
But achieving lasting success will require more than pressuring China for pressure's sake. It will demand a wider peace-through-strength approach that combines American domestic renewal, enhanced military spending, entrepreneurial dynamism and, critically, the alliance network that Mr. Biden revitalized across Asia and Europe. The incoming administration needs to grasp that this is a crucial piece of the puzzle in confronting China and ensure that a renewed "America First" approach focuses on fair burden sharing among allies rather than excessive tariffs on allies or questioning American commitments to mutual defense arrangements. These would only undermine deterrence and create diplomatic rifts that China would be quick to exploit.
Mr. Trump's bold style isn't for the fainthearted. In a time of fierce global competition, he sees balance as weakness and coexistence as capitulation. Yet if he can draw from past lessons, engage with our allies and stay disciplined, he just might be crazy enough to confront China and win.[/QUOTE][B]Trump's trade war on China was a failure in every possible way[/B]
[URL]https://www.axios.com/2021/02/01/trump-trade-war-china-failure[/URL]
[B]China bought none of the extra $200 billion of US exports in Trump's Trade Deal[/B]
[URL]https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2022/china-bought-none-extra-200-billion-us-exports-trumps-trade-deal[/URL]
[B]More pain than gain: How the US-China trade war hurt America[/B]
[URL]https://www.brookings.edu/articles/more-pain-than-gain-how-the-us-china-trade-war-hurt-america/[/URL]
[B]Trumps Trade War Was a Loser.
Tariffs destroyed jobs in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and made all Americans worse off.[/B]
[URL]https://www.wsj.com/articles/trumps-trade-war-was-a-loser-employment-manufacturing-international-economy-tariffs-unemployment-9d8a7c7c[/URL]
[B]Trump Advisor Admits Trade War Against China Failed.
In an interview, former National Security Advisor Robert O'Brien admitted that "the Chinese didnt honor" the terms of the deal, years after it was clear.[/B]
[URL]https://reason.com/2024/06/19/trump-advisor-admits-trade-war-against-china-failed/[/URL]
[B]Trumps trade war was a total flop[/B]
[URL]https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trumps-trade-war-was-a-total-flop-224150586.html[/URL]
[QUOTE=Sirioja;2968116]Ukrainians are fully right to defend their country and freedom, and when I love Russia, but hate Putin, I will always support Ukrainians versus criminal Putin. Same like if China attacked USA, they would eat You with their 1,4 billions, when You lost in Vietnam, Afghanistan versus rats, when they will start eating You for economics strength, when senile Trump will fuck You.[/QUOTE]But even for you this post is to much ROTFLMMFAO.
[URL]https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/prices-won-t-stop-falling-in-china-and-beijing-is-grasping-for-solutions/ar-AA1vQ2J2[/URL]
[URL]https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/14/opinion/china-trump-us-rivalry.html[/URL]
Trump's Way Could Win the Contest With China Once and for All.
Nov. 14,2024.
An image shows the arms of then-president Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping extended for a handshake against a backdrop representing the Chinese and American flags.
Credit. Damir Sagolj / Reuters.
Share full article.
418.
By Craig Singleton.
Mr. Singleton is a China analyst and senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies in Washington.
阅35835;31616;20307;20013;25991;29256;38321;35712;32321;39636;20013;25991;29256;.
Donald Trump's first term signaled a historic shift in USA Policy toward China. His strategic blend of economic pressure, unpredictability, sanctions and tariffs knocked Beijing off balance. It was a turning point: Washington moved from passive acceptance of China's revisionist ambitions to assertive opposition. The Biden administration has wisely maintained and in some cases expanded on this framework.
Mr. Trump's second term could help America to win this strategic contest altogether.
China faces an array of challenges, especially a stagnating economy, making it vulnerable to the president-elect's assertive tactics. If Mr. Trump can couple the blustery style of his first term with a more focused strategy and tighter discipline, the next four years are a golden opportunity to keep Beijing on the defensive and permanently transform the rivalry in America's favor.
For China, the ideal outcome in the USA Election would have been another four years of the Biden-Harris administration's cautious approach. Although President Biden maintained targeted pressure on Beijing, his emphasis on theétente and aversion to escalation would have afforded China's leader, Xi Jinping, the predictability he needs to address his domestic troubles and advance China's ambitions in critical areas such as technology, trade and the future of Taiwan.
But Mr. Trump isn't content with merely managing the competition with Beijing. He aims to win it. His zero-sum approach and unconventional tactics — as well as an emerging cabinet of China hawks — are likely to deny Mr. Xi the breathing room he desperately needs and push the Chinese leader into a high-stakes test of wills he cannot easily control or predict.
Advertisement.
SKIP ADVERTISEMENT.
Despite a decade of projecting outward strength, China is, in fact, a declining power, its rise having been undone by Mr. Xi's mismanagement, heavy-handed repression and strategic blunders. The country faces crippling debt, record-high youth unemployment and a shrinking, rapidly aging population. His ideology-driven approach, which places the Chinese Communist Party at the heart of economic decision making, has eroded business confidence, spurred capital flight and led to unprecedented drops in foreign investment. China's era of sky-high growth is giving way to a stagnation reminiscent of Japan's so-called lost decade, a period of deflation and economic inertia from which Japan has yet to fully recover. Even Mr. Xi cautioned citizens last year to be prepared to "eat bitterness," a Chinese phrase signaling hard times ahead.
Sign up for the Opinion Today newsletter Get expert analysis of the news and a guide to the big ideas shaping the world every weekday morning. Get it sent to your inbox.
The USA Economy, meanwhile, is gaining momentum, and Mr. Trump — who views China's centrally planned, manufacturing-heavy model as predatory and harmful to American workers — seems ready to aggressively leverage USA Strength, as he did in his first term. He has proposed tariffs as high as 60 percent on Chinese imports, which, according to some estimates, could shave up to two percentage points off China's gross domestic product.
The bluster and brinkmanship of Mr. Trump's first term could also prove invaluable regarding Taiwan. Mr. Xi's goal is to bring the democratically ruled island under Chinese rule, by force if necessary. Mr. Trump, however, is threatening tariffs as high as 200 percent on Chinese goods if China takes military action. The president-elect summed up the situation best when he noted last month that Mr. Xi wouldn't dare provoke him over Taiwan because the Chinese leader knows that he's "crazy. ".
Chinese anxiety over Mr. Trump's return is already surfacing. During the Biden administration, Beijing often struck a defiant tone, accusing the United States of encirclement and containment. But after Mr. Trump's decisive election victory, Chinese leaders quickly struck a more conciliatory tone, calling for peaceful coexistence and a new era of cooperation.
But America must build on today's momentum, especially in the high-stakes contest with China over critical technologies such as semiconductors, artificial intelligence, autonomous vehicles and quantum computing — the engines of tomorrow's industrial revolution. Allowing China to seize the lead would dangerously tilt global power dynamics in its favor, undermining USA National security. Mr. Trump recognizes this risk and has signaled he would probably intensify tariffs, export controls and sanctions on China's tech and manufacturing sectors that have already hindered the country's economy and its potential for innovation. He may also champion tighter screening of USA Investments in China's tech sector, a strategy that has bipartisan support and could impede China's development and deployment of advanced military capabilities.
Editors' Picks.
How Christian Slater Went From Bad Boy to Good Dad.
This Chef's Stunning Christmas Spread Is Unexpectedly Effortless.
'September 5' Review: When the Munich Games Changed Our News.
SKIP ADVERTISEMENT.
Advertisement.
SKIP ADVERTISEMENT.
Mr. Xi is pinning China's economic hopes on an outdated, state-subsidized manufacturing-for-export model. But this strategy is highly vulnerable to USA Tariffs. Mr. Xi might appeal to Mr. Trump's deal-making instincts by offering selective concessions to blunt the impact of tariffs, but these are unlikely to sway Mr. Trump for long.
Mr. Xi has tools of his own that he can use, but nearly all of them are risky. He could shore up his economy by cutting interest rates, extending tax rebates or further subsidizing exporters. But these are short-term remedies that are likely to worsen long-term economic instability by inflating China's staggering debt, which is currently estimated to be nearly three times the size of the country's G. The. P. Striking back with his own tariffs could ignite a trade war that affects USA Consumers, but Mr. Trump has shown a readiness to absorb short-term political costs for strategic gain, and polls indicate that most Americans support his tariff threats.
Mr. Xi could retaliate by restricting USA Companies' access to Chinese markets, but that may further unsettle foreign investors already wary of China's economic trajectory. Curbing Chinese exports of minerals essential for high-tech manufacturing could also backfire by accelerating USA -led efforts to secure alternative sources. Devaluing the Chinese currency would make the country's exports cheaper, offsetting the impact of tariffs. But it is likely to accelerate capital flight and strain relations with other trade partners.
As a last resort, Mr. Xi could escalate tensions over Taiwan or in the South China Sea, but that risks galvanizing USA Alliances and inviting a stronger American military presence in the region.
To fully capitalize on China's current vulnerabilities and secure lasting American advantages, the next Trump administration must recognize the historic opportunity it faces. Today's international landscape echoes the latter stages of the Cold War, when President Ronald Reagan confronted a weakening Soviet Union and hastened its collapse by forcing Moscow to make costly resource allocation decisions that ultimately bankrupted it. This isn't to suggest America's goal with China should be regime change; rather, the United States should aim beyond mere coexistence. It should confidently wield the moral and economic strength of its democratic model until China's leaders and people recognize that their system is unsustainable and embrace a freer and less hostile path.
Advertisement.
SKIP ADVERTISEMENT.
But achieving lasting success will require more than pressuring China for pressure's sake. It will demand a wider peace-through-strength approach that combines American domestic renewal, enhanced military spending, entrepreneurial dynamism and, critically, the alliance network that Mr. Biden revitalized across Asia and Europe. The incoming administration needs to grasp that this is a crucial piece of the puzzle in confronting China and ensure that a renewed "America First" approach focuses on fair burden sharing among allies rather than excessive tariffs on allies or questioning American commitments to mutual defense arrangements. These would only undermine deterrence and create diplomatic rifts that China would be quick to exploit.
Mr. Trump's bold style isn't for the fainthearted. In a time of fierce global competition, he sees balance as weakness and coexistence as capitulation. Yet if he can draw from past lessons, engage with our allies and stay disciplined, he just might be crazy enough to confront China — and win.
[QUOTE=EihTooms;2967940]Mine were the only ones who actually produced historic economic recoveries and job gains.
Thank you.
Yours?
Margaret Thatcher:
Typical of the "conservative" Repub presidential results in the USA. Seems to the pattern of "conservative" economic philosophies and agendas worldwide and throughout history.
All of the others are a joke; fanciful, lazy academic theories that fail miserably in the Real World.[/QUOTE]In the Spirit of Christmas, I offered up the Ghost of Democrat Past (Jimmy Carter), Ghost of Democrat Present (Jared Bernstein who ramrodded Biden's economic program) and Ghost of Democrat Future (Stephanie Kelton, the "go to" economist for the Squad and other upcoming progressives.) Ebenezer Scrooge had no reason to freak out after visits from the ghosts of Christmas Past and Present. But he had an extreme change of outlook after he knew what was coming down the pike. And so should you dear Tooms. At such time as the new breed of Democrats come to control America for an extended period, there will be hell to pay. The Modern Monetary Theorists, like Stephanie Kelton, believe deficits and debt do not matter and the size of government should grow, grow, grow.
Using Zimbabwe as a model for monetary and fiscal policy is not wise.
[QUOTE=MarquisdeSade1;2968080][URL]https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/14/opinion/china-trump-us-rivalry.html[/URL]
Trump's Way Could Win the Contest With China Once and for All.
Nov. 14,2024.
An image shows the arms of then-president Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping extended for a handshake against a backdrop representing the Chinese and American flags.
Credit. Damir Sagolj / Reuters.
Share full article.
418.
By Craig Singleton.
Mr. Singleton is a China analyst and senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies in Washington.
Donald Trump's first term signaled a historic shift in USA Policy toward China. His strategic blend of economic pressure, unpredictability, sanctions and tariffs knocked Beijing off balance. It was a turning point: Washington moved from passive acceptance of China's revisionist ambitions to assertive opposition. The Biden administration has wisely maintained and in some cases expanded on this framework.
Mr. Trump's second term could help America to win this strategic contest altogether.
China faces an array of challenges, especially a stagnating economy, making it vulnerable to the president-elect's assertive tactics. If Mr. Trump can couple the blustery style of his first term with a more focused strategy and tighter discipline, the next four years are a golden opportunity to keep Beijing on the defensive and permanently transform the rivalry in America's favor.
For China, the ideal outcome in the USA Election would have been another four years of the Biden-Harris administration's cautious approach. Although President Biden maintained targeted pressure on Beijing, his emphasis on thetente and aversion to escalation would have afforded China's leader, Xi Jinping, the predictability he needs to address his domestic troubles and advance China's ambitions in critical areas such as technology, trade and the future of Taiwan.
But Mr. Trump isn't content with merely managing the competition with Beijing. He aims to win it. His zero-sum approach and unconventional tactics as well as an emerging cabinet of China hawks are likely to deny Mr. Xi the breathing room he desperately needs and push the Chinese leader into a high-stakes test of wills he cannot easily control or predict.
Advertisement.
SKIP ADVERTISEMENT.
Despite a decade of projecting outward strength, China is, in fact, a declining power, its rise having been undone by Mr. Xi's mismanagement, heavy-handed repression and strategic blunders. The country faces crippling debt, record-high youth unemployment and a shrinking, rapidly aging population. His ideology-driven approach, which places the Chinese Communist Party at the heart of economic decision making, has eroded business confidence, spurred capital flight and led to unprecedented drops in foreign investment. China's era of sky-high growth is giving way to a stagnation reminiscent of Japan's so-called lost decade, a period of deflation and economic inertia from which Japan has yet to fully recover. Even Mr. Xi cautioned citizens last year to be prepared to "eat bitterness," a Chinese phrase signaling hard times ahead.
Sign up for the Opinion Today newsletter Get expert analysis of the news and a guide to the big ideas shaping the world every weekday morning. Get it sent to your inbox.
The USA Economy, meanwhile, is gaining momentum, and Mr. Trump who views China's centrally planned, manufacturing-heavy model as predatory and harmful to American workers seems ready to aggressively leverage USA Strength, as he did in his first term. He has proposed tariffs as high as 60 percent on Chinese imports, which, according to some estimates, could shave up to two percentage points off China's gross domestic product.
The bluster and brinkmanship of Mr. Trump's first term could also prove invaluable regarding Taiwan. Mr. Xi's goal is to bring the democratically ruled island under Chinese rule, by force if necessary. Mr. Trump, however, is threatening tariffs as high as 200 percent on Chinese goods if China takes military action. The president-elect summed up the situation best when he noted last month that Mr. Xi wouldn't dare provoke him over Taiwan because the Chinese leader knows that he's "crazy. ".
Chinese anxiety over Mr. Trump's return is already surfacing. During the Biden administration, Beijing often struck a defiant tone, accusing the United States of encirclement and containment. But after Mr. Trump's decisive election victory, Chinese leaders quickly struck a more conciliatory tone, calling for peaceful coexistence and a new era of cooperation.
But America must build on today's momentum, especially in the high-stakes contest with China over critical technologies such as semiconductors, artificial intelligence, autonomous vehicles and quantum computing the engines of tomorrow's industrial revolution. Allowing China to seize the lead would dangerously tilt global power dynamics in its favor, undermining USA National security. Mr. Trump recognizes this risk and has signaled he would probably intensify tariffs, export controls and sanctions on China's tech and manufacturing sectors that have already hindered the country's economy and its potential for innovation. He may also champion tighter screening of USA Investments in China's tech sector, a strategy that has bipartisan support and could impede China's development and deployment of advanced military capabilities.
Editors' Picks.
What Is (or Was) 'Perks Culture'?
Superflares Erupt From Stars Like Our Sun Once Every 100 Years.
What 'Wicked' Has to Say About Our Current Political Moment.
SKIP ADVERTISEMENT.
Advertisement.
SKIP ADVERTISEMENT.
Mr. Xi is pinning China's economic hopes on an outdated, state-subsidized manufacturing-for-export model. But this strategy is highly vulnerable to USA Tariffs. Mr. Xi might appeal to Mr. Trump's deal-making instincts by offering selective concessions to blunt the impact of tariffs, but these are unlikely to sway Mr. Trump for long.
Mr. Xi has tools of his own that he can use, but nearly all of them are risky. He could shore up his economy by cutting interest rates, extending tax rebates or further subsidizing exporters. But these are short-term remedies that are likely to worsen long-term economic instability by inflating China's staggering debt, which is currently estimated to be nearly three times the size of the country's G. The. P. Striking back with his own tariffs could ignite a trade war that affects USA Consumers, but Mr. Trump has shown a readiness to absorb short-term political costs for strategic gain, and polls indicate that most Americans support his tariff threats.
Mr. Xi could retaliate by restricting USA Companies' access to Chinese markets, but that may further unsettle foreign investors already wary of China's economic trajectory. Curbing Chinese exports of minerals essential for high-tech manufacturing could also backfire by accelerating USA -led efforts to secure alternative sources. Devaluing the Chinese currency would make the country's exports cheaper, offsetting the impact of tariffs. But it is likely to accelerate capital flight and strain relations with other trade partners.
As a last resort, Mr. Xi could escalate tensions over Taiwan or in the South China Sea, but that risks galvanizing USA Alliances and inviting a stronger American military presence in the region.
To fully capitalize on China's current vulnerabilities and secure lasting American advantages, the next Trump administration must recognize the historic opportunity it faces. Today's international landscape echoes the latter stages of the Cold War, when President Ronald Reagan confronted a weakening Soviet Union and hastened its collapse by forcing Moscow to make costly resource allocation decisions that ultimately bankrupted it. This isn't to suggest America's goal with China should be regime change; rather, the United States should aim beyond mere coexistence. It should confidently wield the moral and economic strength of its democratic model until China's leaders and people recognize that their system is unsustainable and embrace a freer and less hostile path.
Advertisement.
SKIP ADVERTISEMENT.
But achieving lasting success will require more than pressuring China for pressure's sake. It will demand a wider peace-through-strength approach that combines American domestic renewal, enhanced military spending, entrepreneurial dynamism and, critically, the alliance network that Mr. Biden revitalized across Asia and Europe. The incoming administration needs to grasp that this is a crucial piece of the puzzle in confronting China and ensure that a renewed "America First" approach focuses on fair burden sharing among allies rather than excessive tariffs on allies or questioning American commitments to mutual defense arrangements. These would only undermine deterrence and create diplomatic rifts that China would be quick to exploit.
Mr. Trump's bold style isn't for the fainthearted. In a time of fierce global competition, he sees balance as weakness and coexistence as capitulation. Yet if he can draw from past lessons, engage with our allies and stay disciplined, he just might be crazy enough to confront China and win.[/QUOTE]The Chinese sent us clothes and cheap electronic items. And we sent them dollars which they invested in Treasury securities. Securities that became worth less because of high inflation, and negative real interest rates, during the Biden administration. It was a great deal! We got real stuff and they got paper! Now partly as a result of tariffs, the manufacture of clothes and cheap electronics is moving onto places like Bangladesh and Vietnam, and the Chinese are becoming higher value added manufacturers.
Meanwhile, as to products that really matter, like rare earth metals, neither Trump nor Biden did jack to try to make the USA more self sufficient. China still has us over a barrel.
BTW, other than tariffs and running up the national debt, I agree more with Trump on economic policy than you do.
[QUOTE=Sirioja;2968116]....Same like if China attacked USA, they would eat You with their 1,4 billions, when You lost in Vietnam, Afghanistan versus rats, when they will start eating You for economics strength, when senile Trump will fuck You.[/QUOTE]Yeah, right. How many times has the USA bailed out France? World War I, World War II, and the Indochina War come to mind. If not for the USA, France would have been eaten multiple times. Actually I guess Hitler and Germany did swallow France. However, the United States forced him to throw you up and spit you out. And afterwards the USA paid toward rebuilding your country with the Marshall Plan.
Please note you lost in Vietnam too. As well as Algeria, Rwanda, Mali, Chad, the Central African Republic, Niger, and others.
[QUOTE=Tiny12;2968294]The Chinese sent us clothes and cheap electronic items. And we sent them dollars which they invested in Treasury securities. Securities that became worth less because of high inflation, and negative real interest rates, during the Biden administration. It was a great deal! We got real stuff and they got paper! Now partly as a result of tariffs, the manufacture of clothes and cheap electronics is moving onto places like Bangladesh and Vietnam, and the Chinese are becoming higher value added manufacturers.
Meanwhile, as to products that really matter, like rare earth metals, neither Trump nor Biden did jack to try to make the USA more self sufficient. China still has us over a barrel.
BTW, other than tariffs and running up the national debt, I agree more with Trump on economic policy than you do.[/QUOTE]"And we sent them dollars which they invested in Treasury securities".
So what about the nukes they have pointed at the west coast where did they get the money for them?
[URL]https://www.defensenews.com/pentagon/2024/10/24/china-leading-rapid-expansion-of-nuclear-arsenal-pentagon-says/[/URL]
BTW, other than tariffs and running up the national debt, I agree more with Trump on economic policy than you do.
Seriously? But you still voted for this thing with the loaded GUN? I really hope you're ashamed of yourself.
[QUOTE=Tiny12;2968294]The Chinese sent us clothes and cheap electronic items. And we sent them dollars which they invested in Treasury securities. Securities that became worth less because of high inflation, and negative real interest rates, during the Biden administration. It was a great deal! We got real stuff and they got paper! Now partly as a result of tariffs, the manufacture of clothes and cheap electronics is moving onto places like Bangladesh and Vietnam, and the Chinese are becoming higher value added manufacturers.
Meanwhile, as to products that really matter, like rare earth metals, neither Trump nor Biden did jack to try to make the USA more self sufficient. China still has us over a barrel.
BTW, other than tariffs and running up the national debt, I agree more with Trump on economic policy than you do.[/QUOTE]Now, what are we to learn from that little Trump's Failed Trade War With China story you have spun there?
That Trump's crap 2018 and 2019 negotiations led him to give China something real and valuable in exchange for junk but then he "brilliantly" ushered in and exacerbated Trump's Pandemic with all of the Millions of Deaths, Massive Jobs Destruction, Global Supply-Chain Collapse and, most importantly, Global Inflation that followed and did all of that just so China would ultimately be stuck with as much junk as China dumped in Trump's lap?
Or is it that Biden was the "brilliant" one in producing the best, fastest and most effective Recovery from Trump's Pandemic, which unavoidably produces some transitional Inflation, pulled America First but also the rest of the World out of Trump's Economic Disaster, averted a Domestic AND Global Depression / Recession and, oh as a bonus, contributed to converting the highly valuable loot they snatched right from under blithering numbskull Trump's nose into junk?
Either one provides a fascinating moral of the story you have spun there. Or is it some combination of the two?
[QUOTE=Tiny12;2968300]Yeah, right. How many times has the USA bailed out France? World War I, World War II, and the Indochina War come to mind. If not for the USA, France would have been eaten multiple times. Actually I guess Hitler and Germany did swallow France. However, the United States forced him to throw you up and spit you out. And afterwards the USA paid toward rebuilding your country with the Marshall Plan.
Please note you lost in Vietnam too. As well as Algeria, Rwanda, Mali, Chad, the Central African Republic, Niger, and others.[/QUOTE]USA make business with wars. Even when they lose, killing many of their young, but they make good money. Wars are part of USA business, when nothing is for free. Only economics war versus China could make falling USA business, when so easy to control, just matter of education. When I know Chinese products like their electric cars are cheaper, but I don t buy shit, I refuse chinese made phones proposed by my operator. Just matter of brain. I m not afraid of China, because they are not on my standard for quality and USA are also not, I would worry to take a Boeing and won t buy a Tesla. I prefer to buy European product, even more expensive, but higher quality and for sure, bullshiting Trump won t improve quality, when only making fog, he would play good Indian.
[QUOTE=Tiny12;2968292]In the Spirit of Christmas, I offered up the Ghost of Democrat Past (Jimmy Carter), Ghost of Democrat Present (Jared Bernstein who ramrodded Biden's economic program) and Ghost of Democrat Future (Stephanie Kelton, the "go to" economist for the Squad and other upcoming progressives.) Ebenezer Scrooge had no reason to freak out after visits from the ghosts of Christmas Past and Present. But he had an extreme change of outlook after he knew what was coming down the pike. And so should you dear Tooms. At such time as the new breed of Democrats come to control America for an extended period, there will be hell to pay. The Modern Monetary Theorists, like Stephanie Kelton, believe deficits and debt do not matter and the size of government should grow, grow, grow.
Using Zimbabwe as a model for monetary and fiscal policy is not wise.[/QUOTE]Is this scary GOP foretelling of Certain Dem Christmas Future Economic Doom anything like their foretelling of Certain Economic Doom if FDR enacted The New Deal, if JFK / LBJ cut middle and lower income tax rates disprortionately greater than the top income margin rate, if Carter required employers to offer the same 401 K deferred tax investment deal to the rank and file employees as those in the Executive Offices, if Bill Clinton passed the 1993 Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act and raised the top marginal tax rate 2-3 percentage points, if Barack Obama passed the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act and The Affordable Care Act, if Joe Biden passed the American Rescue Plan Act and The Inflation Reduction Act?
Or will it be as truly historically scary and horrific as the Great Repub Hoover Depression, the three Recessions and Historically Bad Jobs Creation Record under Repub Eisenhower, another way below average jobs creation record along with gas lines and inflation under Nixon / Ford, the Great Recession and 10 whopping months of 10% plus Unemployment Rates across his 3rd and 4th year in office while tripling the National Debt under Reagan, the next historically low jobs creation under GHW Bush, the 1st Recession and 2nd Great Recession and Massive Job losses under GW Bush and the Trillions deficit-adding Economic "stimulus" Legislation producing a million fewer jobs with it than without it, the failed Trade War and Tariffs that required him to issue emergency welfare checks to our agriculture and manufacturing industry just to keep them afloat along with the worst economic and national security decisions of all time leading directly to ushering in and exacerbating Trump's Pandemic and the 1 million American deaths, so far, the millions upon millions of jobs wiped out, the global supply-chain collapse, the hyper-inflation and opportunistic corporate price gouging under Donald Trump?
Because if it is anything like ALL of the former combined, I know I can go right back to sleep on Christmas Eve without a worry in the world.
But if it is anything like any ONE of the latter than that is a truly scary foretelling indeed and I might just stay up all night worrying about it.
83 mil in gold. They can afford it. That gold just strengthened their dollar. Hes going to be different this time. Hes taking it serious and different. You can see it.