[QUOTE=Canary;2533021]I greatly appreciate the update from the German prospective.
I live in the UK which has been hit badly by the virus but the situation in the UK is improving rapidly every day. For some reason I always assume the German authorities are more in control and better organised than the UK and when things are improving in the UK I automatically assume Germany's situation is improving too. It appears I was wrong!
The British wave isn't as bad as some report, all the vaccines currently prevent serious illness, hospitalisations & death with this & other variants although it doesn't guarantee prevention from mild illness with some other mutations.
If the British variant was that bad the UK figures wouldn't be reducing very quickly in transmissions, hospitalisations and deaths.
Our Idiot Prime Minister Johnson is announcing on Monday the "road map back to normality" although foreign trips are not on the agenda yet it is being talked about how travel will recommence as 17 million Brits have already had their first vaccination, (having mine tomorrow!
As you correctly say FKK land will be way down the list of venues to reopen but I always appreciate the latest news in Germany as any positive news is a small step forward to their reopening so thank you for posting.
Personally I hope there will be some of the summer left to visit Sharks, Oase etc.[/QUOTE]Let's calibrate the definition of bad, good, and better.
I think we have to gauge the standards for each country. The Germans are making a big deal right now, but their threshold for action is much more strict than the UK or the US. At their peak, their case count was 25 per 100 K per day. The UK was sitting at about 90 per 100 K per day, the US at about 75. Currently the case counts are 8 per 100 K per day in Germany and 16 in the UK. Both put the US to shame as we are still sitting at 25. Worst, France and Sweden are sitting at 27 and 30 respectively. For perspective, the latter 3 countries, despite the recent improvement in numbers, are currently still seeing more cases than Germany at their peak!
That being said, the German poor vaccine rollout came as a huge surprise to me. Is it the logistics? Did they not pre-order enough doses? Are the Germans more reluctant to get vaccinated? Things I don't know. The entire EU is sitting at about 6% vaccinated with Germany not too far behind at around 5%. The UK is above 20 and the US is approaching 15%. We're currently vaccinating at 0.5% of the population per day. At that rate, the USA will be at half the population vaccinated by June. But that rate may even increase as the general public will soon be included into the list of eligible vaccines recipients and as more vaccines such as AZ and Johnson and Johnson will soon add to the total vaccine supply.
I fully endorse your observations regarding the British situations, vaccine efficacy, and effects of variants. UK was ground zero and they got through the worst of its effects. Same with South Africa. As such, I am cautiously optimistic that most western nations will control the effects of variants on potential surges. A little bump may be in the works but nothing near the magnitude of the Christmas surge. 2 steps forward with one step back is perfectly reasonable to expect as long as the trend continues to move in the right direction.
For all the rhetoric about mainstream media manipulation, it seems that people with certain agendas seem to pick and choose observations at their convenience in order to make their points. But if their predictions are right and we see the same case numbers with restrictions one year later, I'll commit to the revolution with my pitchfork and musket like they apparently would like to see.
