To talk about your point number one.
[QUOTE=JjBee62;2466145]I'm going to disagree on these 2 points.
If testing was 100% random you would need to test roughly 30% of the population before you could have an increase in number of positive results due solely to the number of tests. Even then, the increase would be small.
Start with a control group of 100.33 are infected. For every 3 tests, you should average one positive. These are all completely random. As your pool of untested shrinks, sometimes you're finding more than 1 of every 3, sometimes less. So once you've got about a third tested, you've established a reasonable idea of what more tests will show. Assuming no new infections. Whether you test 15 or all 100 you'll get about the same answer.
However, testing isn't completely random. First priority, people with symptoms. Now let's go back to the 100.18 have symptoms, they get tested and with 18 tests you've found 18 of the 33.7 others have symptoms, but are negative. With 25 tests, you have 18 positive results, indicating 72 infected people. Another 15 get tested, because they've been around someone who was infected. You get 7 more positive results. Now you've identified 25 positive results with 40 tests, still giving you a potential 72 (72.5) infected people. Add in more testing and the numbers keep dropping, until, after 100 tests, you find only 33.
Testing more people, won't find more cases, unless there are more cases to be found.
As for the financial incentive, can someone please show me the money? I understand there have been claims that there's extra financial compensation for hospitals who are willing to claim every death is COVID-19, but I haven't seen anyone showing the money. If someone is paying huge bounties for falsifying death certificates, it should show up somewhere. And I say huge, because what happens when someone proves their family member didn't die from COVID-19? Not only is there a significant payout, but it opens the floodgates. Every COVID-19 death becomes a potential million dollar settlement. That's an enormous risk.
Where does the money come from? Of course the easily debunked conspiracy theory is that Medicare and Medicaid are paying it. There are 2 significant problems with that source. First, those payments would only apply to people who are on Medicare it Medicaid. It would be rather suspicious if every person on Medicare suddenly started dying from COVID-19.
The other, more significant problem is that means Trump's own people are, apparently with Trump's approval, spending money in order to make Trump look bad. I have trouble believing that.
Now to the debunking.
Back when COVID-19 started causing problems, the Kaiser Family Foundation was asked to estimate the cost of the disease. They went back through Medicare records to determine the average cost for treatment of diseases requiring similar treatment. What was the final bill? How much for ICU? How much for a ventilator? Then they published their findings.
On April 8, on the Fox News show "The Ingraham Angle", Sen. Scott Jensen (R-MN) was interviewed and made the claim of extra payments, using the KFF numbers. However, those aren't extra payments. Those are the estimated costs.
In addition, Medicare doesn't pay hospitals extra for deaths. "Patient didn't survive? Here's another $10,000 for your trouble. "
The number of positive cases can't double from increased random testing, unless the number of positive people has also doubled. The number of deaths is not because the Trump administration is trying to make the Trump administration look bad.[/QUOTE]According to data from Johns Hopkins University, Chile has recorded more than 317,000 cases since the beginning of pandemic, which puts its on the sixth place in the world by the number of registered cases.
To put things in perspective, the USA Population is roughly 331 million while Chile population is just 19 million. This means that about 1% of the USA Population has tested positive for the virus while in Chile about 1. 7% of population were registered as infected at some point. I also assume that the USA Is doing more tests due to its technological and financial advantage over Chile. So, while the USA Gets all the press, the situation in Chile is likely much worse.
The Tallman and buddies were out.
Saw the posse (The Tallman, PolloNegro, and 3rd guy) around 10:00 am. But only as they past by when I turned my head. It was Sunday with less chicks. I needed to get laid and get some numbers before lock down. They may start kicking people out early like 3 pm. Never know.
Saw The Tallman and the 3rd guy a few hours later in front of Museum. The Tallman you were just waving that phone around like you just don't care (haha. That if a verse in a song I can not remember). You were on a video call holding that phone at arms length away. You were talking to the 3rd guy, the person on the phone, all while trying to video the surroundings and yourselves. Not paying any attention to who or what was happening around you while holding your phone so far away from your body. Shocking.
About 40 minutes later pass by The Tallman and the 3rd guy near front of Premier Plaza Suite still on video call. So much time on the phone I think maybe you are a girl.
Is the 3rd guy equal meaning close buddies with the guy you were video conferencing? Hard to tell by just passing by and he does not strike me as a big talker. If the 3rd guy hardly knows the guy you were on video with, then you owe him an apology for being a jerk and ignoring him.
General social priority goes to the friend live and in person first, second to the phone call, and lastly to a text or email. Maybe I am wrong but appeared that the 3rd guy was not at the same level of friendship thus meaning you took the video call as a priority over him. Not cool.
SJobs Woes Getting Back To Medellin The Saga Continues
[QUOTE=SJobs;2466545]All jokes aside, I do have a business need to go to Medellin, I have consulted lawyers in both the US and Colombia, they all told me that in the short term, there is no way to get in while the travel ban is in place. S. Plus, I much rather talk about something interesting and potentially fruitful than shopping charts and ATM fees.[/QUOTE]What has been talked about in how you might return to Colombia (bribing officials, boat / motorcycle travel, and hitchhiking across different Countries) has been interesting for sure in that it has been so absurd, and yes is more fun reading about than the posts about ATM's.
The only way I can think of you getting back to Medellin quickly short of everything to date mentioned is that you would have to assume the identity of either a Colombian Citizen or perhaps a Colombian resident somewhere in the world who can return on a humanitarian flight approved by Colombian immigration. I am clueless as how you might go about doing this short of enlisting a CIA operative to assist you, and you might have to get a phony face like something out of a Tom Cruise movie.
I will say this, when you do return, I am looking forward to your posts when you finally pull off some good foursomes. I think when you left you had the threesomes perfected, but were still working on the foursomes.
