HIV Probabilty Assessment
[QUOTE=Giotto]Some basic statements reg. the questions:
In general the HIV virus is NOT EASY to transfer, it is a huge virus/DNS structure. Other viruses are much more infectious (eg. Hepatitis). For that there are SOME medical scientists who are stating that even unbroken mucous membrane is a sufficient barrier against the virus and does NOT ALLOW an infection, IF the partners are not infected with other STDs(!!).
Nevertheless: There are definitely many cases in which the infection happened in ONE SINGLE UNPROTECTED SEXUAL ACT.
Rule: The mucous membrane MUST BE PROTECTED during intercourse, and that can only be done with a condom (if you want to have intercourse).
A condom secures, if used correctly and if it does not break, a protection of close to 100 %.
[b]Oral sex:[/b]
Generally the risk is minimal, for the receiving person (that is you if you receive a BBBJ) close to zero. The only remaining risk here comes from the possibility that the giving person has blood in his mouth (wounds from toothrush etc. ).
[URL]http://www.sfaf.org/aids101/sexual.html#oral[/URL]
Remaining risk factors are:
- holes / microscopic cuts in the condom
- cuts / wounds in the penis root area
- cuts / wounds at other areas of the normal skin which come into contact with body fluids.
- and others (a long list).
All this remaining risks are so extremely small, that everybody must evaluate for himself whether it is possible and useful to implement measures for a protection against those cases. Those risks are statistically not measurable.
[b][u]Final Statement:[/u] The biggest risk factor are we ourselves, getting carried away during the sexual act and forgetting to use the condom. And afterwards, if the worst case scenario has happened, most of us will definitely NOT tell the truth and insist on the fact, that we always used a condom. Most of us will lie![/b]
Giotto[/QUOTE]
Giotto,
Thanks for cold clinical scientific data with risk probability assessment.
I get so sick of those who either wish to remain blissfully ignorant or the opposites who have wildly emotional reactions to some so called 'risks' not based on any science whatsoever.
Life is risky, its just about keeping the risks to sensible controlled levels and still enjoying life.
Micky like Licky