never a shortage of rumors
One thing is certain, there is never a shortage of rumors about TJ.
Things there are always in a state of flux, and it doesn't take a rocket scientist to see a steady drift of less tourists since 9/11. I suspect times are pretty tight for many that used to be comfortable catering to tourists. Just look at all the places that have closed.
In the short term I believe whatever is going on is in response to pressures that are almost entirely local, that is to say Mexican. It's rare to find anyone on these types of boards that have accurate insight into what's really going on. Right now there is clearly some kind of political stress between the Feds (the newly elected president) and the Hank people (just announced for governor of baja). The different le organizations are their tools. Various groups (business, unions, drug cartels, etc.) are all jockeying for power/influence. I can't sort out all that means in my own country. How much of what goes on in the street is on orders, and how much is just individual opportunism is the result of forces us gringos just don't have any visiblity on.
Another thing that's certain, money talks. As long as we bring money, someone is going to want us to keep coming. Bad cops are bad for business.
This is what Homeland Security had to say...
Read the section under Border Cities.
[url]http://travel.state.gov/travel/cis_pa_tw/cis/cis_970.html[/url]