Again, you didn't prove anything
[QUOTE=Tiny12;2768331]OK, this should work. These are just my repeated posts trying to show you the error of your thinking. I guess you can lead a horse to water but you can't make him drink from the river of knowledge and truth.
[URL]http://www.internationalsexguide.nl/forum/showthread.php?2467-American-Politics&p=2743466&viewfull=1#post2743466[/URL]
[URL]http://www.internationalsexguide.nl/forum/showthread.php?2467-American-Politics&p=2744566&viewfull=1#post2744566[/URL]
[URL]http://www.internationalsexguide.nl/forum/showthread.php?2467-American-Politics&p=2747584&viewfull=1#post2747584[/URL].[/QUOTE]Sorry. 100 years of data and blatantly obvious results can not be argued away by nit picking irrelevant nonsense;.
Repub Presidents' favorite economic policies produce crap results while the Dem Presidents' favorite economic policies produce far superior results. Presidents are elected on their stated economic proposals. Once in office, they propose those policies to Congress and expect them to be included in budgets and other legislation. Or they find the veto pen.
If they fail at getting any of it done and the economy goes to shit then I guess they weren't up for the job. I don't know of any POTUS who didn't get any of the economic agenda he ran his campaign on done. And, sure enough, when the Repub gets his way the economy tanks and jobs creation suffers, often badly, but when the Dem gets his way the economy expands and historic numbers of jobs are created.
Name a Repub president of the past 100 years who didn't hand off seriously crap economic conditions to the incoming Dem, usually the country actually IN a verified Recession or Depression, elevated unemployment rates, having either wiped out millions of jobs or produced one of the worst jobs creation records in history.
Neither you nor any of your linked "economists" can. Not one.
Now name an outgoing Dem president of the past 100 years who did the same thing to an incoming Repub.
Nope. You can't.
No amount of tortured math or blind faith in voodoo economics can change the data and rewrite history for you.
BTW, what can I say about the NYT links that are sometimes blocked by Subscription Request pop ups and sometimes not? As I understand it, clearing your Google / Chrome cache allows you to get a certain amount of free views. Maybe that's what I had done recently when I posted those links. And I'll bet the vast majority of the time my NYT link was just one additional one reporting the same real news of other links I provided in order to prove my point, not just one. So those with cleared cache or subscriptions could read those too.
Now, generally when I provide a link to a source, even those NYT links, I will quote a meaningful amount of the text that applies to the point I am making. Hell, even the highlighted in bold titles and headlines I almost always take the trouble to include provide a wealth of information.
You know, like what you didn't do with that collection of URLs for entire pages of posts and entire articles, without even the titles of the articles and pdf files included, on the mistaken assumption that I or anyone else is going to plow through all of it to do all the work for you and make your case for you out of it.
Excellent, You Nailed it, indeed!...it's called the, "Two Santa Clauses Theory"
[QUOTE=PVMonger;2768060]Here's what really happens.
Part 1: A Dem president gets elected. Repubs spend 2 years throwing up roadblocks to every bit of legislation the Dems propose. The Repubs point to the "fact" that Dems haven't gotten anything done (they conveniently forget that Repubs were the ones blocking everything). Repubs gain a majority of House and-or Senate. Repubs spend the next 2 years (or up to 6 more years) complaining about how Dems want "open borders" and-or are communist and-or are socialist and-or want to take away your guns and-or a bunch of
other stuff.
Part 2: After 4 (or 8) years, a Repub gets elected president because they have convinced the voters that they know what they're doing re: the economy. Repubs have a majority in the House and-or Senate. Repubs pass another voodoo economics tax cut for the rich and spend money like drunken sailors. The economy goes into a tailspin. Repubs are thrown out (after 4 or 8 years) and a Dem is elected president and Dems have control of the House and-or Senate. Dems pass legislation that spends money to assist the economy to pull out of the tailspin. Repubs are now suddenly against spending any money at all even though Repubs just spend 4-to-8 years spending money like drunken sailors.
Go to Part 1.[/QUOTE]
Your assessment is spot on. What you've described (for the uninitiated in US right-wing Repubs/Bothsider politics to subvert democracy and progress), is called the[b] "Two Santa Clauses Theory".[/b]
[b]Thom Hartmann: How the GOP Used a Two Santa Clauses Tactic to Con America for Nearly 40 Years: [/b] [URL]https://www.alternet.org/2018/02/two-santa-clauses-or-how-gop-conned-america-nearly-40-years[/URL]
[QUOTE] ... And, hopefully, some of our media will begin to call the GOP out on the Two Santa Clauses program. Its about time that Americans realized the details of the scam that's been killing wages and enriching billionaires for nearly four decades. [b] --- Thom Hartmann[/b][/QUOTE]
Bravo, Excellent take!!!
Magical Bothsiderism Thinking now?
[QUOTE=Tiny12;2768466]You've got it backwards. Presidents who inherit weak economies go onto see better performance during their term, and vice versa. See the table in Riedl's paper, "Inherited Economy and Presidential Performance On Jobs", linked below. The party the president belongs to has little or nothing to do with performance of the economy during his term, except via coincidence.
It's called the business cycle.
But I'll play along with your game. My graph of employment and recessions just goes back to about 1948. During that time Truman, Carter and Clinton all left Republicans with recessions that started during the final fiscal year of government that was budgeted and began during the Democrat Presidents' terms. Johnson missed doing the same by about three months. But of course you're going to poo poo that. Given Tooms' rules, the Republicans end up with the blame for the recessions, that purportedly resulted from the policies and budgets set by the Democrats. Meanwhile the Democrats receive the credit for the better times that preceded them.
I say purportedly because, again, I believe the party of the President has little to do with economic performance.
You already wrote or read every one of the links. There's no need to read them. Just be aware we've about beat this horse to death. And you're still wrong.[/QUOTE]Truman, Carter and Clinton didn't leave anyone a recession. Stop making up stuff.
In the past century, Hoover, Eisenhower, Bush1, Bush2 and Trump did.
[B]List of recessions in the United States[/B]
[URL]https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_recessions_in_the_United_States[/URL]
Interesting highly partisan "business cycle" you've got stuck in your mind. The crap cycles, especially the spectacularly bad crap cycles, only occur at the end of Repub presidential terms when they come at the end and never at the end of Dem presidential terms whether the end of those terms come after 4 years, 8 years or in party sequential terms, 12 years or 20 years.
Which begs the question, how do those highly partisan "business cycles" know?!
Look, if it rankles you and your "economists" that the historical economic record favors Dems and punishes Repubs because those lucky Dems get to take over right when the outgoing Repub's economy is crashing down around our ears, millions of jobs are being wiped out and, goodness gracious, all the beautifully well-timed incoming POTUS of any party but always seems to be Dems needs to do is flip a magic light switch, go ride ponies or play golf and, as sure as night follows day, that miraculous "business cycle" will do all the work to recover the economy, instill confidence in brave free market Capitalists and business owners, create millions of jobs to recover the millions lost and all within just 2-3 months, here is the fix for what ails you:
Tell your beloved Repubs to stop promoting and enacting classic Repub policies and stewardship that produces those crap results that greet the incoming Dems over and over and over again in the first place.