Lack of Supply of Doable Girls
[QUOTE=NattyBumpo;1580142]I disagree with you about supply and demand. In the PI, Thailand, and Indonesia supply exceeds demand by a wide margin. There are so many women in the P4 P market that most can't lasso a customer every night. Now really good looking girls are always in demand. That is another story, but the average bar girl in AC or Subic is lucky to get 3 customers a week. And then there is low season when times are lean and an average girl is lucky to land one customer a week. Have you seen the dormitories these girls live in? They don't live this way because they want to and are frugal. They have no other economic choice than to live the way they do because of the over supply of available working girls results in their low income. The over supply is why prices are still relatively low.
.[/QUOTE]The determination of supply and demand, as in economics, is a complicated matter. In my last visit to AC in 2007 the place was abuzz with activity. If a head count was done though I would say there were more providers than mongers. Nevertheless, the quantifying of supply and demand is not necessarily a matter of numbers of visible partakers at any one time, the quantities vary. Remember, for all the mongers who are on the ground at a particular time there are many others who travel to the Philippines who are back home in the US and Europe awaiting their turn. My take is that a decision on either side is a matter of speculation in the absence of a study of which I am unaware. What I am certain about is that the demand for doable providers (which is only what I am interested in) outstrips the supply. As far as the cost is concerned, this is influenced by the standard and cost of living in the country. The US, Canada and Europe for example are more expensive for obvious reasons. In Brazil the standard and cost of living rose tremendously in the past ten years or so and so did the cost of P $P.
Supply and Demand in the bars
All I can say about supply and demand in PI bars is anecdotal based what I saw on the ground in AC, Subic, and Makati. The demand aggregate is seasonal. Supply is pretty constant except around holidays when many girls go home to be with their families. I was in the PI in late April 2014 which is a transition point from high to low season. In most of the bars I frequented at this time the ratio of girls to customers was at least 3 or 4 to 1. For example in Tao at around 10 pm there were at least 30 girls and maybe 10 customers. In Grand Pharaoh (Golden Nile) there were at least 40 girls and maybe 10 customers. In Club Asia there were at least 30 girls and maybe 10 customers. In Shipwrecked (One Eyed Wench) there were maybe 20 girls and probably 10 customers. Now my numbers are raw estimates, but they are good enough to make my point that supply far exceeds demand on any given night and that whenever I walked into an AC Fields bar there were literally scores of available girls to choose from. The question then becomes how many of these available girls were shagable IMHO. In a good bar like GP for example there were at least 10 very attractive girls and a couple of stunners. In a bad bar the number of shagable girls is zero. Tastes vary though on who is attractive.
Additionally I found even more skewed ratios is Subic and Makati. For example I went to Alaska bar one night around 9 pm. There had to be at least 25 girls there and I was the only punter! Now that is skewed. LOL. The girls swarmed me.
In Makati, I spent a lot of time in Stardust where there was at least a 4 to 1 ratio of girls to customers. And lastly, in Bottoms bar, my favorite bar in the PI this trip, there were at least 40 girls and maybe 10 customers while I was in the bar from 9pm to 11pm on more than one night. Now all this is anecdotal, but my rough numbers are accurate.
One final thought: I did not stick around the bars to see the final tallies of how many girls were eventually barfinned on a given evening. There is continual flow of punters entering and leaving bars all night long so the ratio may vary through the course of the evening and the cumulative number of potential customers rises while the number of girls lessens as girls are barfined, but all I care about is the number of bar girls and the available quality when I am on the hunt in prime time. Consistently I saw many, many more girls than punters in most bars and focusing in on say Grand Phaaoh (GN), the number of really attractive and available girls was 10 out of 40 girls total, in my opinion.
Thus I am still pretty sure that many girls do not get barfinned on any given night. Furthermore, as I walked up and down Fields Walking Street I was struck by the low number of punters out there. This is why I conclude it is a buyers market with supply vastly outnumbering demand.
Law of supply and demand is plain and simple at the given moment
[QUOTE=Manny51;1580768]The law of supply and demand assumes that the market is efficient. That means, the prices will rise or drop until the sweet spot is reached.
But the bar fine is fixed, isn't it? Or is the bar fine negotiable. If the bar fine is fixed, than the laws of supply and demand don't really work that well.[/QUOTE]The law works perfect. Willing seller. Willing buyer. The bar may have a fixed price just as the buyer may have a fixed price. You as buyer do not have to buy. The market is efficient with plenty of supply.
No need to over think this. You want poon? Plenty available. Price is within my target range.