Wow. Biden just improved his chances and EC vote Consensus again
[QUOTE=EihTooms;2930316]This week's 538 Consensus of Polls update.
The No Toss-Up States Electoral College Map remains the same with Biden's best chance to win still being to add WI, MI and PA to his tally in order to capture the 270 EVs needed to win re-election.
At this writing, Biden has improved his lead over Trump vs last week regarding the consensus on his Chances of Winning (52 times out of 100 vs Trump's 47), his Electoral College Vote win (now at 274 vs Trump's 264) along with an expansion of his Consensus Popular Vote advantage to 2.5 points:
[URL]https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/[/URL][/QUOTE]Just since I posted the above, Biden has increased his chances of winning on that site's Consensus to 53 out of 100 and his Electoral College take to 276 vs Trump's 262. See link in my previous post quoted above.
It might be hard to keep up with Biden's minute by minute improvement in his Consensus standing while the Republican National Convention is raging on.
Some will always try to gaslight Trump's History of Racism...Who knows why?
[QUOTE=The Cane;2930257] ...He brought this upon himself! [/QUOTE] Yes, quite right, indeed!
Not sure why it is, some others will always try to defend Trump's blatant racism, but it's always good to set the record straight.
For those not convinced, Trump bears a good deal of the responsibility and violence, associated in his unfortunate shooting incident, should take a good look at the following timeline of incited hatred spewed by the felon, con-man, charlatan, pussy-grabber, porn-star fucker and ex-Pres.
[LIST] VOX - [b]Donald Trump is the accelerant[/b] - A comprehensive timeline of Trump encouraging hate groups and political violence.
[i]On the very day that Congress counted the electoral votes that certified President-elect Joe Biden's victory, Trump opened up the US Capitol to an insurrection. He told a crowd rallying south of the White House to walk down to the Capitol, adding, You will never take back our country with weakness. ...
As far back as 2015, Trump has been connected to documented acts of violence, with perpetrators claiming that he was even their inspiration. In fact, dozens of people enacted violence in Trumps name in the years before the Capitol attack, according to a 2020 report from ABC News.
In 2016, a white man told officers Donald Trump will fix them while being arrested for threatening his Black neighbors with a knife. That same year, a Florida man threatened to burn down a house next to his because a Muslim family purchased it, claiming that Trumps Muslim ban made it a reason for concern. Then there are the more widely known examples, like Cesar Sayoc, who mailed 16 inoperative pipe bombs to Democratic leaders and referred to Trump as a surrogate father; and the mass shooting in El Paso, Texas, in 2019 that left 23 dead, where the shooters manifesto parroted Trumps rhetoric about immigrants.
In some cases, Trump [u]denounces the violence[/u], [b]but he often walks back such statements[/b], returning to a message of hate and harm. In August, he defended a teenage supporter who shot three people at a Black Lives Matter protest.And at the first presidential debate of the 2020 election, the president shocked many viewers when he was given an opportunity to condemn white supremacists, but declined.
In October, he equivocated on condemnation of the domestic terrorists who allegedly planned to kidnap Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, after Trump had stoked outrage over the states pandemic safety measures. He criticized Whitmer when the kidnapping plot was revealed and fished for compliments.
Trump has continually refused to recognize whats at the core of this violence: [b]hate nurtured under a tense national climate that he has helped cultivate.[/b]
[b]2015: Trump announces his presidential bid and quickly suggests violence is the answer to opposition.[/b]
Trump officially announced his candidacy for president of the United States in June 2015 and wasted little time inciting fear and hate in his first speech. That year, critics argued that his language led to attacks on bystanders, and in some cases, acts of violence were directly linked to Trumps words.
...
[URL]https://www.vox.com/21506029/trump-violence-tweets-racist-hate-speech[/URL][/i][/LIST]Still not convinced? Take a look here:
[B]Donald Trumps long history of racism, from the 1970s to 2020[/B] - Trump has repeatedly claimed he's "the least racist person. " His history suggests otherwise.
[URL]https://www.vox.com/2016/7/25/12270880/donald-trump-racist-racism-history[/URL]
The least racist candidate just chose a white male for his VP
[QUOTE=Spidy;2930396]Yes, quite right, indeed!
Not sure why it is, some others will always try to defend Trump's blatant racism, but it's always good to set the record straight.
For those not convinced, Trump bears a good deal of the responsibility and violence, associated in his unfortunate shooting incident, should take a good look at the following timeline of incited hatred spewed by the felon, con-man, charlatan, pussy-grabber, porn-star fucker and ex-Pres.
[LIST] VOX - [b]Donald Trump is the accelerant[/b] - A comprehensive timeline of Trump encouraging hate groups and political violence.
[i]On the very day that Congress counted the electoral votes that certified President-elect Joe Biden's victory, Trump opened up the US Capitol to an insurrection. He told a crowd rallying south of the White House to walk down to the Capitol, adding, You will never take back our country with weakness. ...
As far back as 2015, Trump has been connected to documented acts of violence, with perpetrators claiming that he was even their inspiration. In fact, dozens of people enacted violence in Trumps name in the years before the Capitol attack, according to a 2020 report from ABC News.
In 2016, a white man told officers Donald Trump will fix them while being arrested for threatening his Black neighbors with a knife. That same year, a Florida man threatened to burn down a house next to his because a Muslim family purchased it, claiming that Trumps Muslim ban made it a reason for concern. Then there are the more widely known examples, like Cesar Sayoc, who mailed 16 inoperative pipe bombs to Democratic leaders and referred to Trump as a surrogate father; and the mass shooting in El Paso, Texas, in 2019 that left 23 dead, where the shooters manifesto parroted Trumps rhetoric about immigrants.
In some cases, Trump [u]denounces the violence[/u], [b]but he often walks back such statements[/b], returning to a message of hate and harm. In August, he defended a teenage supporter who shot three people at a Black Lives Matter protest.And at the first presidential debate of the 2020 election, the president shocked many viewers when he was given an opportunity to condemn white supremacists, but declined.
In October, he equivocated on condemnation of the domestic terrorists who allegedly planned to kidnap Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, after Trump had stoked outrage over the states pandemic safety measures. He criticized Whitmer when the kidnapping plot was revealed and fished for compliments.
Trump has continually refused to recognize whats at the core of this violence: [b]hate nurtured under a tense national climate that he has helped cultivate.[/b]
[b]2015: Trump announces his presidential bid and quickly suggests violence is the answer to opposition.[/b]
Trump officially announced his candidacy for president of the United States in June 2015 and wasted little time inciting fear and hate in his first speech. That year, critics argued that his language led to attacks on bystanders, and in some cases, acts of violence were directly linked to Trumps words.
...
[URL]https://www.vox.com/21506029/trump-violence-tweets-racist-hate-speech[/URL][/i][/LIST]Still not convinced? Take a look here:
[B]Donald Trumps long history of racism, from the 1970s to 2020[/B] - Trump has repeatedly claimed he's "the least racist person. " His history suggests otherwise.
[URL]https://www.vox.com/2016/7/25/12270880/donald-trump-racist-racism-history[/URL][/QUOTE]Apparently, it was not possible for Trump to find a non white male or a woman who would absolutely and without hesitation agree to violate whatever silly Oath of Office he / she took or the USA Constitution and instead follow Trump's criminal orders explicitly at any and all times.
But Vance did.
Everyone kniws that was the #1 requirement to be Trump's running mate in 2024.
But that doesn't prove Trump is a racist. We have his long history of racist moves since the 1970's for that, as you cited and linked above.
It really only further proves he is an America-hating, democracy-hating wannabe authoritarian dictator. Vance used to point that out about him too. But now he keeps his mouth shut about it.
Oh, I do see that at the end of the day Trump might have gotten a 1 point assassination attempt bump, a 1 point RNC nomination bump or perhaps it was a 1 point Judge Marjorie Taylor Cannon decision to create the ultimate delay on his "critical classified document retaining despite being requested to return them" trial.
This is a fluid contest, nobody is "kicking" anyone's ass at this point, least of all Trump "kicking" Biden's ass in the Consensus of Polls lately.
Meanwhile, it was hilarious to see the Repub Squeaker of the Pink Tinkle and Getting Smaller All the Time House, ChristoFacist Mike, totally lose it and not know wtf to say about whoever it was he was "honored" to introduce at the Dumb Repub Hillbilly (now literally) Rally today:
[B]Watch: Mike Johnson Freaks Out as RNC Teleprompter Breaks Down.
The Republican National Convention, which convened to nominate Donald Trump, is off to a shaky start.[/B]
[URL]https://newrepublic.com/post/183853/mike-johnson-rnc-teleprompter-trump[/URL]
[QUOTE]An apparent teleprompter malfunction, which sent House Speaker Mike Johnson scurrying off-stage at the Republican National Convention Monday afternoon, launched the high-stakes political event into a welcome new phase: cover band concert.
It is now my honor to introduce the attorney general, Johnson began haltingly. And there goes the teleprompter.
Johnson awkwardly made his exit. Meanwhile, Sixwire, a country-rock band based out of Nashville, Tennessee, performed a rendition of Steely Dans Reelin In the Years. A livestream of the main room showed clumps of blonde women dressed in bright red and waving their Trump signs, and white guys nodding their heads to the beat.
After the song ended, the band just kept going, and going, and going, riffing on the songs iconic guitar melody. Some say theyre still vamping to this day.[/QUOTE]LOL. Add ChristoFacist Mike to the list of every other Repub who would not fare as well without a teleprompter as Joe Biden and, in fact, do not fare as well WITH notes and a teleprompter in terms of content, smoothness and obvious cognitive acuity and understanding of every nuance in the message.
Hilarious the gaslighter in chief is calling others gaslighters, project much?
[QUOTE=Spidy;2930396]Yes, quite right, indeed!
Not sure why it is, some others will always try to defend Trump's blatant racism, but it's always good to set the record straight.
For those not convinced, Trump bears a good deal of the responsibility and violence, associated in his unfortunate shooting incident, should take a good look at the following timeline of incited hatred spewed by the felon, con-man, charlatan, pussy-grabber, porn-star fucker and ex-Pres.
[LIST] VOX - [b]Donald Trump is the accelerant[/b] - A comprehensive timeline of Trump encouraging hate groups and political violence.
[i]On the very day that Congress counted the electoral votes that certified President-elect Joe Biden's victory, Trump opened up the US Capitol to an insurrection. He told a crowd rallying south of the White House to walk down to the Capitol, adding, You will never take back our country with weakness. ...
As far back as 2015, Trump has been connected to documented acts of violence, with perpetrators claiming that he was even their inspiration. In fact, dozens of people enacted violence in Trumps name in the years before the Capitol attack, according to a 2020 report from ABC News.
In 2016, a white man told officers Donald Trump will fix them while being arrested for threatening his Black neighbors with a knife. That same year, a Florida man threatened to burn down a house next to his because a Muslim family purchased it, claiming that Trumps Muslim ban made it a reason for concern. Then there are the more widely known examples, like Cesar Sayoc, who mailed 16 inoperative pipe bombs to Democratic leaders and referred to Trump as a surrogate father; and the mass shooting in El Paso, Texas, in 2019 that left 23 dead, where the shooters manifesto parroted Trumps rhetoric about immigrants.
In some cases, Trump [u]denounces the violence[/u], [b]but he often walks back such statements[/b], returning to a message of hate and harm. In August, he defended a teenage supporter who shot three people at a Black Lives Matter protest.And at the first presidential debate of the 2020 election, the president shocked many viewers when he was given an opportunity to condemn white supremacists, but declined.
In October, he equivocated on condemnation of the domestic terrorists who allegedly planned to kidnap Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, after Trump had stoked outrage over the states pandemic safety measures. He criticized Whitmer when the kidnapping plot was revealed and fished for compliments.
Trump has continually refused to recognize whats at the core of this violence: [b]hate nurtured under a tense national climate that he has helped cultivate.[/b]
[b]2015: Trump announces his presidential bid and quickly suggests violence is the answer to opposition.[/b]
Trump officially announced his candidacy for president of the United States in June 2015 and wasted little time inciting fear and hate in his first speech. That year, critics argued that his language led to attacks on bystanders, and in some cases, acts of violence were directly linked to Trumps words.
...
[URL]https://www.vox.com/21506029/trump-violence-tweets-racist-hate-speech[/URL][/i][/LIST]Still not convinced? Take a look here:
[B]Donald Trumps long history of racism, from the 1970s to 2020[/B] - Trump has repeatedly claimed he's "the least racist person. " His history suggests otherwise.
[URL]https://www.vox.com/2016/7/25/12270880/donald-trump-racist-racism-history[/URL][/QUOTE][URL]https://spectator.org/cartoon/what-could-have-caused-the-trump-shooting/[/URL]
Trump says he is rewiting his RNC speech
Well, somebody is supposedly rewiting it for him. They better have triple backup on those teleprompters that keep acting up or it'll be a long night of Electrified Shark Tales. Did they have to take the worst teleprompter service available after the more competent ones refused to get stiffed again on their payment by Trump and his fellow Repub Deadbeats?
Anyway, back to this supposedly "softening of the violent rhetoric" Trump speech somebody is writing for him.
It will prove to be just another of the tens of thousands of lies Trump has told just since 2015 unless the very first words out of Trump's piehole are something like:
"To President Joe Biden and the American people, I offer you my heartfelt apology and ask your forgiveness for my 3 1/2 years of lying about Joe Biden stealing the 2020 election. He did not. He won fair and square. I lied to you about that, encited a violent mob attack on cops, the USA Constitution, waged War Against America on American Soil, sat and did nothing but enjoy the show for 3+ hours while my VP, the Speaker of the House and other duly-elected officials were stalked and targeted for assassination, wrongly and dangerously praised, honored and glorified those bloody would-be assassins as "patriots", promised them pardons and further defined my War Against America on American Soil by mischaracterizing them as "hostages" after they were fairly tried, convicted and sent to prison for their and my unforgivable crimes against America and American democracy.
And for that I am very, very sorry. Please forgive me. ".
If we don't hear that coming out of Trump's piehole before the end of this RNC Lie Fest, then he has no intention of making America or American politics safer for the true American Patriots he targeted with violence for every hour of every day of the past 3 1/2 years that he repeated that Big Lie and praised his murderous would-be assassin Repub thugs.
1 photos
Harkens Back to Teddy Roosevelt
The Photos and video from Saturday are some of the most iconic in US political history--Of course Roosevelt was not set-up by the CIA and the Secret Service.
Attempted assassination of Theodore Roosevelt.
On October 14,1912, former saloonkeeper John Schrank (1876–1943) attempted to assassinate former USA President Theodore Roosevelt while he was campaigning for the presidency in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Schrank's bullet lodged in Roosevelt's chest after penetrating Roosevelt's steel eyeglass case and passing through a 50 page thick (single-folded) copy of his speech titled "Progressive Cause Greater Than Any Individual", which he was carrying in his jacket pocket. Schrank was immediately disarmed and captured; he might have been lynched had Roosevelt not shouted for Schrank to remain unharmed. Roosevelt assured the crowd he was all right, then ordered police to take charge of Schrank and to make sure no violence was done to him.
As an experienced hunter and anatomist, Roosevelt correctly concluded that since he was not coughing blood, the bullet had not reached his lung; he declined suggestions to go to the hospital immediately. Instead, he delivered his scheduled speech. His opening comments to the gathered crowd were, "Friends, I shall ask you to be as quiet as possible. I don't know whether you fully understand that I have just been shot—but it takes more than that to kill a Bull Moose.
[URL]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Attempted_assassination_of_Theodore_Roosevelt[/URL]
5 photos
At the end of Day One for the RNC Lie Fest
If this keeps up, Elon Musk and Marjorie Taylor Greene, the true King and Queen powers behind the Republican Party, might think about canceling the next couple of days and put Trump back into gag order hiding.
The day finished with Trump behind Biden in the 538 Favored To Win Consensus of Polls by 275 Electoral College Votes for Biden vs 263 for Trump, Biden having 53 Chances of Winning the Election out of 100 vs Trump's 47 in their credible polling mix and Biden 2. 5 points ahead of Trump in the Popular Vote:
[URL]https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/[/URL]
Oh well. Tomorrow is another day. Maybe Trump or somebody else in the Repub Party will finally say or do something that pulls them out of this up / down range for both Parties' candidates within the mid 40% range.
Nobody is "kicking" anybody's ass yet. I mean, unless you factor in the above Consensus and the rather notable shift toward Biden in the polls among Independents since he was the only candidate in that Presidential Debate Quiz Show who provided truthful, fact-based, substantive answers to every question vs the one who couldn't manage to blather out one.
"The least racist", is true to his historical form...
[QUOTE=EihTooms;2930420][b]The least racist candidate just chose a white male for his VP [/b]
Apparently, it was not possible for Trump to find a non white male or a woman who would absolutely and without hesitation agree to violate whatever silly Oath of Office he / she took or the USA Constitution and instead follow Trump's criminal orders explicitly at any and all times.
But Vance did.
Everyone kniws that was the #1 requirement to be Trump's running mate in 2024.
But that doesn't prove Trump is a racist. We have his long history of racist moves since the 1970's for that, as you cited and linked above.
It really only further proves he is an America-hating, democracy-hating wannabe authoritarian dictator. Vance used to point that out about him too. But now he keeps his mouth shut about it. ...[/QUOTE]Trump was NEVER going to select a "non-white male" candidate.
But it was fun to see, Vivek Ramaswamy, Tim Scott, Marco Rubio, Byron Donalds, Ben Carson and Elise Stefanik, all as the [I][b]"non-white male"[/b][/I] candidates, twist themselves into pretzels, parroting Trump's nonsense (even when Trump belittled them, made fun of them) and clone themselves as mini-me versions of the pussy-grabber.
Due to his racist and sexist tendencies, naturally Trump was NEVER and COULD NEVER be seen selecting a "non-white male" minority type candidate for Veep. (Look at how well that worked out for McCain!)
How else could he, the Repubs, FOXY Muse and right-wing MSM, justify and keep up, their [B]Project 2025 crusade on DEI hires?[/B] And still denounce, Veep Kamala Harris, as DEI?
After all, how would it look to the right-wing billionaire donor class, conservative elites, white supremacists and the QAnon/MAGA cult woke mob, if they had their very own Repub DEI Veep and deviated from Project 2025 doctrine mid-stream?
