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  1. #486
    Quote Originally Posted by EihTooms  [View Original Post]
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/chuckjones/2019/07/05/trump-is-falling-almost-1-million-jobs-short-vs-obama/#648d27b98caa

    "Trump Is Falling Almost 1 Million Jobs Short Vs. Obama"

    "Job growth is slowing down"
    (see chart)

    "Not the best economy ever

    The underlying economy is weaker than perceived when you look at March quarters GDP numbers and railroad traffic taking a significant downward move over the past month."

    Fake news?
    My two cents.

    I am not a doom and gloom merchant. I have around 50% of the portfolio in Thai equities down from 65% a week or so ago and now moving to overweight in cash and corporate bonds. Crashes are never expected yet they continuously happen. Last December was a scary reminder but thankfully was contained. I would say US markets now are either fully priced or perhaps 5% to 10% overpriced as they respond to expected cuts by the FED.

    I don't foresee a market crash on the scale of '08 '09 which was caused by reckless US subprime property lending followed by mispricing of that lending but there are a number of signals out there that all is not well, not the least of which is the $13 trillion in negative yielding government debt a phenomenon Japan notwithstanding never seen before alongside the level of US debt over 100% and heading to 110%. A greater danger may be the irrational behavior of Trump who will do whatever it takes to get reelected and could bring about a collapse of the dollar in the process.

    My point is nobody knows with any degree of certainty what's around the corner.

    But what the hell, the sun is shining and the girls are waiting.

  2. #485
    Quote Originally Posted by Smoothy  [View Original Post]
    That's the most depressing post I've ever read on this forum.
    Sad but true Smoothy.

    It's the number 1 reason why those guys seeking to re-locate to SE Asia because of their current libido levels need to have a good think about it because you definitely need something else to keep you amused.

  3. #484
    Quote Originally Posted by RedKilt  [View Original Post]
    Don't forget that you have to also add on 5 to 10 years to your own age and shape when you're trying to predict the future.

    For DCups, he will be 73 when she is 55.

    She may well also be menopausal by that age.

    Remember that there is a tipping point where no amount or type of ED meds will make much difference, so you just have to hope that you can defy statistics and will still be "performing" well into your 70's.
    Yes, RK. I am hoping super Viagra will be invented by then! Cheers, mate.

  4. #483
    Quote Originally Posted by Syzygies  [View Original Post]
    The Cups,So your age 63 is about right for her, but her age is borderline. She maybe in good shape now, but consider in 5 to 10 years. Normal rule for ideal age is your_age /2 + 7, so approx. 40 years is perfect. The main thing is, you can try, but it takes at least 2 years to really know the person if you are with them nearly every day. Most ladies are after a guy, fully or at least partially for economic reasons. Takes time to find out if she is really single, for example. Takes time to find out if she gets angry and bad moods a lot and for no reason. Takes time to reveal Psycho elements. My Mrs has her blow ups, when I need to stay away a bit, but fortunately not too often. No point trying to reason with an angry woman. I have decided I can tolerate the odd blow up. Just pretend nothing happened.

    Next question, is do you want a partner at all, and if so, what are you looking for. Most women do not act exactly how we dream they might, especially after the first year. My Mrs has improved a lot in recent years, but early days were somewhat difficult, once we got past just being casual..
    Syz,

    I greatly appreciate your insights and questions. Truth is I am a sex maniac and I have never been married so maybe it's not for me but glad to hear you (and others) have figured out the marriage thing. The equation for right age makes sense to me. I am also dating an extremely sexy and beautiful 28 year old singer in the Dominican Republic who has never hooked. But her English is sparse. Nevertheless, if I could manage to rotate between that one and another exceptional, educated and busty woman in the Philippines or Thailand (with an occasional discreet fling) that would probably work for me. But that is a big "IF". Even though I am 63 I could easily pass for 53 with my long hair, healthy libido and youthful, guitar-playing, basically carefree existence. Cheers, buddy. If our paths cross the beer's on me. I'll be in PI and Thailand all of September. I'll PM you.

  5. #482

    The meaning of This Thai Word

    Please help if you are well-versed in the Thai language.

    Thank you.

    http://www.internationalsexguide.nl/...826&viewfull=1#post2345826.

  6. #481
    Quote Originally Posted by RedKilt  [View Original Post]
    Don't forget that you have to also add on 5 to 10 years to your own age and shape when you're trying to predict the future.

    For DCups, he will be 73 when she is 55.

    She may well also be menopausal by that age.

    Remember that there is a tipping point where no amount or type of ED meds will make much difference, so you just have to hope that you can defy statistics and will still be "performing" well into your 70's.
    That's the most depressing post I've ever read on this forum.

  7. #480
    Quote Originally Posted by Syzygies  [View Original Post]
    She maybe in good shape now, but consider in 5 to 10 years.
    Don't forget that you have to also add on 5 to 10 years to your own age and shape when you're trying to predict the future.

    For DCups, he will be 73 when she is 55.

    She may well also be menopausal by that age.

    Remember that there is a tipping point where no amount or type of ED meds will make much difference, so you just have to hope that you can defy statistics and will still be "performing" well into your 70's.

  8. #479
    Quote Originally Posted by DCups  [View Original Post]
    Hi guys,

    An older (45) thai lady hit me up on Thai Cupid for a date. Actually she wants to marry but I said one thing at a time. Ordinarily I would ignore her based on age alone but she looks pretty good for 45 (I'm 63) and she showed me her gorgeous 40 Eee tits on skype. She owns some beach property in Prachaud and wants to know if I marry her am I interested in building a house there when I retire in three years. I swear I am not making this up. I will meet her in Bangkok where she works in September. Regular Thai ladies are very bossy though, aren't they? And like to control the money and everything. At least that's what I've seen on youtube testimonials. I think I prefer the more docile Filipinas which I know much more about because I go there more often. However J am curious if anyone has run into a situation like this and has any advice other than go slow and ask a lot of questions. Cheers.
    The Cups,

    Yes there are lots of middle aged Thai ladies available and looking for Farang husband. So your age 63 is about right for her, but her age is borderline. She maybe in good shape now, but consider in 5 to 10 years. Normal rule for ideal age is your_age /2 + 7, so approx. 40 years is perfect. Just so happens my Mrs is coming up to 40 next birthday. In 5 to 10 years I might start to find her a bit old. She is still easily hot enough for me now way above average looks, not quite skinny any more (filled out a bit). She does not have quite to E cups but big enough for me.

    The main thing is, you can try, but it takes at least 2 years to really know the person if you are with them nearly every day. Most ladies are after a guy, fully or at least partially for economic reasons, hardly for the sex, ha ha. So if you build a house on her land in Prajuap (I spell it how it sounds. Thais may strangely write ch in place of English J sound), does not matter to her if you split up later. Takes time to find out if she is really single, for example. Takes time to find out if she gets angry and bad moods a lot and for no reason. Takes time to reveal Psycho elements. My Mrs has her blow ups, when I need to stay away a bit, but fortunately not too often. No point trying to reason with an angry woman. I have decided I can tolerate the odd blow up. Just pretend nothing happened.

    Next question, is do you want a partner at all, and if so, what are you looking for. Most women do not act exactly how we dream they might, especially after the first year. My Mrs has improved a lot in recent years, but early days were somewhat difficult, once we got past just being casual.

    Most of us on here should be sex maniacs, so I think it is important that any prospective wife is a good fuck and is horny often enough. My Mrs has only started to become really horny enough in last 2 years assisted by alcohol and the bong, and freed up from a lot of former stresses. So that has meant I can cut back on mongering hugely.

    Thai women tell lies but hate men who lie. Ha Ha. If you need to be telling your woman loads of lies all the time, you are better off not to have one. I tend to omit information or say nothing more often than making direct lies, that could be detected, these days. I learned this technique from smart Thai girls. I. e. Tell the truth but not the whole truth.

    There has to be a development of a large degree of trust over time. My Mrs and I would be very confident that the other is not going to suddenly leave the relationship, and we can rely on each other. My Mrs needs to be fairly sure that I am not going to run off with some young floosy for example, and that she is the one that matters.

  9. #478

    TM 30 for extension of retirement visa

    Has anybody who owns their own residence been to Chjang Wattana recently for the 1 year extension of a retirement visa and if so may I ask if they required a completed TM 30 along with the usual documents.

    I have looked online e. G. Thai Visa without finding a definite answer. Even tried at Chang Wattana last week when doing a 90 day without success.

    Would be more than grateful for some help on this.

  10. #477
    Quote Originally Posted by Smoothy  [View Original Post]
    ...salaries are going up now over what they were prior to Trump.
    Yes, and particularly among lower wage workers. On the one hand because we entered the range of "Full Employment" generally considered to be in the area of a 6% Unemployment Rate or less by late 2014. If it remains there and improves, which it did steadily ever since and dipped into the upper 4% range by January 2016, wage inflation is bound to follow. But that rate didn't suddenly drop to the 4% range in January 2017. Not even in November 2016 for anyone who wants to go there.

    And then there is this:

    States With $15 Minimum Wage Laws Doubled This Year
    Posted May 23, 2019
    https://news.bloomberglaw.com/daily-...bled-this-year

    That is definitely a factor in raising lower paying jobs wages overall as well. Btw, that is a policy that has been opposed by the Trump Administration, the now outgoing Secretary of Labor, Alex Acosta and their Party, even while they have been touting and taking credit for the inevitable overall wage increase stats results.

  11. #476
    Quote Originally Posted by Smoothy  [View Original Post]
    I think you may be off with that one. The job market now is better than it has ever been and salaries are going up now over what they were prior to Trump. Salaries were stagnating during the Obama years and the jobs he was "creating" were government funded and minimum wage jobs. Trump's policies are actually helping the private sector. Recent college graduates can now get a job fresh out of school much more easily than they could just a few years ago.

    If you seriously don't know what regulations where put in place, you might want to check that out. It was absurd. I think he may actually have been anti-American. His policies helped the rest of the world more than they helped the USA.
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/chuckjones/2019/07/05/trump-is-falling-almost-1-million-jobs-short-vs-obama/#648d27b98caa

    "Trump Is Falling Almost 1 Million Jobs Short Vs. Obama"

    "Job growth is slowing down"
    (see chart)

    "Not the best economy ever

    The underlying economy is weaker than perceived when you look at March quarters GDP numbers and railroad traffic taking a significant downward move over the past month."

    Fake news?

  12. #475
    Quote Originally Posted by EihTooms  [View Original Post]
    Not to downplay your company's plight, but I am sure some industries suffered as a result of the measures FDR took while pulling the rest of the country out of The Great Depression and setting up conditions that put markets back on track for gains rather than continued losses. That is not as dissimilar to the challenge Obama faced on January 20, 2009 as some seem to think. There will always be industries that suffer when drastic measures are called for.

    I don't know what kind of regulations were put in place, but I am guessing they were put in there for a reason having to do with a greater economc (or environmental?) goal and not just for the hell of it.

    And looking at it another way; now that your industry's regulations in question were eliminated (presumably by a Trump Executive Order) along with hundreds if not thousands of others, there is no evidence in the data that our overall economy is roaring along better and far surpassing what we were experiencing when those regulations were in place. If anything, the data show we are doing less well now on most economic fronts, jobs creation being one of them. Your industry being among the exceptions.
    I think you may be off with that one. The job market now is better than it has ever been and salaries are going up now over what they were prior to Trump. Salaries were stagnating during the Obama years and the jobs he was "creating" were government funded and minimum wage jobs. Trump's policies are actually helping the private sector. Recent college graduates can now get a job fresh out of school much more easily than they could just a few years ago.

    If you seriously don't know what regulations where put in place, you might want to check that out. It was absurd. I think he may actually have been anti-American. His policies helped the rest of the world more than they helped the USA.

  13. #474
    Quote Originally Posted by Smoothy  [View Original Post]
    The industry I am in suffered greatly during the Obama admin due to the superfluous regulations he instituted via executive order. Our company had to fire all non essential staff back then. Many of my buddies who worked as consultants were considering retirement back then. Now business is great.
    Not to downplay your company's plight, but I am sure some industries suffered as a result of the measures FDR took while pulling the rest of the country out of The Great Depression and setting up conditions that put markets back on track for gains rather than continued losses. That is not as dissimilar to the challenge Obama faced on January 20, 2009 as some seem to think. There will always be industries that suffer when drastic measures are called for.

    I don't know what kind of regulations were put in place, but I am guessing they were put in there for a reason having to do with a greater economc (or environmental?) goal and not just for the hell of it.

    And looking at it another way; now that your industry's regulations in question were eliminated (presumably by a Trump Executive Order) along with hundreds if not thousands of others, there is no evidence in the data that our overall economy is roaring along better and far surpassing what we were experiencing when those regulations were in place. If anything, the data show we are doing less well now on most economic fronts, jobs creation being one of them. Your industry being among the exceptions.

  14. #473
    Quote Originally Posted by EihTooms  [View Original Post]
    To have done crappy during the Obama years would have required serious effort in my opinion.
    The industry I am in suffered greatly during the Obama admin due to the superfluous regulations he instituted via executive order. Our company had to fire all non essential staff back then. Many of my buddies who worked as consultants were considering retirement back then. Now business is great.

  15. #472
    Quote Originally Posted by EihTooms  [View Original Post]
    No, I don't use a private banker or investment advisor for these things. But if I did I would keep it fee only, not commission based. To have done crappy during the Obama years would have required serious effort in my opinion.
    Well your opinion pales to the professional advice I receive and the results of said advice both now and then. But hey, lets just all Enjoy Thailand, some I reckon more extravagantly than others.

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