American Politics

[MarquisdeSade1]

You know he immediately corrected himself and said, "I mean, if Trump loses", right?

He deliberately put it out there and then he later said, I mean if he loses, yeah right.

You can't take some things back and say that's not what I meant.

https://edition.cnn.com/2017/01/19/p...rch/index.html

Here are some baby butchers for you, making some money off their EVIL.

https://nypost.com/2024/08/08/us-new...thood-scandal/

Lets hear it from all you fans!!

[CheckMate1]

I am not even gonna try to make sense of that schizophrenic indignant rant, to Admin.

FYI, I believe Admin had initially censored correctly and deleted both our posts. Not sure why the initial posts were removed by Admin, I had just chalked it up to Admin just doing their job and administering however they see fit.

Look, no one likes their posts being removed or deleted, but most ISGers follow the guidelines of civil conduct and don't have too much of a problem when Admin steps in.

But too suggest Admin was picking sides or is some kind of DEI hire, I think, is just YOU BEING delusional with a side of order of schizophrenic paranoia.

Carry On!

Spidy,

Sad to see a person with so much piss and vinegar play the card. Maybe he should ask Elon to buy this and release his insightful rants.

[SubCmdr]

I will make it easy for everyone. If you are Republican, you are racist and sexist, Elvis.

Well you have stated the obvious and this is well know. Time for me to bet long shot or buy a lottery ticket. Because I actually agree with you.

[Elvis 2008]

I wonder how I managed to teach finance at the university level, be a federally registered investment advisor, a CPA for twenty years, and work on a currency futures trading desk without knowing that. My graduate level Investment Strategies and Portfolio Management, and in Fixed Income Investments probably just didn't cover yield curves, or expectations theory, or liquidity preference theory. I must be a real douche. I'm probably even more of a douche because I don't try to time or beat the market, or think that I can. So I don't care about short term noise like the yield curve, the business cycle, or whether we are or are not, or will or will not be, in a recession.

And? Why did you lock yourself up when a virus with a 0. 2% mortality came around? Because you were afraid and what you do not get is that is the time the real money is to be made when others are afraid. How many times have I said I cleaned up in the pussy market when you locked yourself away? So a guy like you is better off teaching shit like Efficient-market hypothesis and claiming all great investors are lucky. Big deal. Yes, by all means, someone with your emotional temperament should not try not to beat the market. The only that bugs me is professors like you telling people that anyone who does beat the market is lucky.

You're wrong. That's not what I said. I said that an inverted yield curve, and not reversal of an inverted yield curve, is what's considered by many to be a harbinger of recession. Your issues with reading comprehension really hold back your critical thinking skills (such as they are).

Just stop with the nonsense. I quoted what others were saying as to why the market came down, and you feel inferior, and you should after locking yourself up while I was out having the time of my life, you want to prove you are right and I was wrong. I was mentioning to Cane what I was reading and hearing. Hell, I did not even look at bond yields myself until now. https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/ra...nment-bonds/us.

The 3 months are paying 5. 22% yield and the 5 year is at 3. 85%. The yield curve is still inverted, so the person I quoted was getting ahead of himself.

My point on GDP being higher under Dems' regimes is not based on its effects on 'the market. ' It is based on its effects on society overall.

LOL. Well, teach, you could have made the point that one of Warren Buffet's indicators, the market cap to GDP ratio, was at an all time high. https://www.longtermtrends.net/marke...ett-indicator/

[EihTooms]

No love for the Presidential Betting Odds anymore?

They are still available and accessible for review. Don't worry, they can flip-flop from one extreme to the other on a dime, much like Shady Pants, I mean J.D. Vance's opinion of Donald Trump:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/

[EihTooms]

In his first interview since ending his re-election bid, President Biden expressed doubt Wednesday that there would be a peaceful transfer of power if former President Donald Trump wins the 2024 election.

"If Trump wins, no, I'm not confident at all," the 81-year-old president told "CBS News Sunday Morning".

You know he immediately corrected himself and said, "I mean, if Trump loses", right?

[MarquisdeSade1]

In his first interview since ending his re-election bid, President Biden expressed doubt Wednesday that there would be a peaceful transfer of power if former President Donald Trump wins the 2024 election.

"If Trump wins, no, I'm not confident at all," the 81-year-old president told "CBS News Sunday Morning".

[MarquisdeSade1]

You might be right...you may very well be right!

As you've told us on many occasions, that you were taught by the good catholic nuns, I can only assume, you would definitely know more about "special places in hell", than I. So I will have to defer to you on this one?

But as the saying goes, "The road to hell is paved with good intentions, but the road to heaven is full of good deeds"

Under the Harris/Walz campaign, consider some of the following "heavenly good deeds", making better lives for Americans and their families:

--freedom from abortion bans, IVF or contraception bans
--freedom and control over your own body and government interference
--freedom to equality of Human, WOMEN and LBGTQ rights
--affordable health care
--affordable prescription drugs
--affordable housing
--affordable child care/Rearing
--affordable school tuition
--help/assistance with cost of living (for those who need it)
--right to a living wage
--paid leave

AND

--better border security
--no tax cuts or tax reform for the rich and wealthy billionaire elites and companies
--continued support for Ukraine
--sustained jobs in manufacturing, tech, AI, auto, renewable energy ...etc

These are some of the important issues that the Dems are tackling and confronting, that Americans want addressed from their elected government.

But what the hell issues, important to Americans are Repubs talking about?
--More tax cuts for the billionaires?
--Is Veep Harris 50% Black or 70% Indian?
--OMG, Why isn't Usha Chilukuri Vance, JD Vance's wife, white?

Just one culture war issue after another. The majority of Americans don't want another Repub administration hell bent on, 4 more years of culture war nonsense. And that is why Repubs will lose the popular vote (again) and why Repubs, will come to lose in "ROEvember"

So which "road" do you think the Repubs are on?

You still want to list the butchering of babies under "heavenly good deeds".

I believe moral people everywhere, believe stopping the butchering of innocent babies supersedes anything else you listed!!

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldT...87108527191005

But you want to still Cheerlead for more of it with your ROEvember phrase?

https://nrlc.org/uploads/factsheets/...ionintheUS.pdf

BTW not incidentally I am an ardent atheist.

https://www.newsmax.com/newsmax-tv/a...07/id/1175608/

The Democratic party is the party of hate, they hate whites they hate Jews they hate Christians they hate anyone hetero.

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2024-...o-mormon-story

And "better border security" more full of shit double speak WTF you're a joke!!

Your sophistry is quite unimpressive I see you wouldn't correct your making up the JDV Hitler quote, COWARD!!

Now you want to intentionally conflate his wife being Indian and not white? Really who said she's white? Who said she's black? She says what she is, and that's what she is, not a fake race grifter / race hustler / race con artist like Harris.

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldT...87108527191005

https://www.google.com/search?q=rachel+dolez&rlz=1 CAZJQH_enID1051&oq=rachel+&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUqBggAEEUYOzIGCAAQRRg7 MgYIARBFGDkyBggCEEUYPNIBCDQzNzRqMGo3 qAIAsAIA&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8.

[Spidy]

There is a special place in hell for those that Cheerlead for the butchering of babies.

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2...-tone-it-down/
...

You might be right...you may very well be right!

As you've told us on many occasions, that you were taught by the good catholic nuns, I can only assume, you would definitely know more about "special places in hell", than I. So I will have to defer to you on this one?

But as the saying goes, "The road to hell is paved with good intentions, but the road to heaven is full of good deeds"

Under the Harris/Walz campaign, consider some of the following "heavenly good deeds", making better lives for Americans and their families:

--freedom from abortion bans, IVF or contraception bans
--freedom and control over your own body and government interference
--freedom to equality of Human, WOMEN and LBGTQ rights
--affordable health care
--affordable prescription drugs
--affordable housing
--affordable child care/Rearing
--affordable school tuition
--help/assistance with cost of living (for those who need it)
--right to a living wage
--paid leave

AND

--better border security
--no tax cuts or tax reform for the rich and wealthy billionaire elites and companies
--continued support for Ukraine
--sustained jobs in manufacturing, tech, AI, auto, renewable energy ...etc

These are some of the important issues that the Dems are tackling and confronting, that Americans want addressed from their elected government.

But what the hell issues, important to Americans are Repubs talking about?
--More tax cuts for the billionaires?
--Is Veep Harris 50% Black or 70% Indian?
--OMG, Why isn't Usha Chilukuri Vance, JD Vance's wife, white?

Just one culture war issue after another. The majority of Americans don't want another Repub administration hell bent on, 4 more years of culture war nonsense. And that is why Repubs will lose the popular vote (again) and why Repubs, will come to lose in "ROEvember"

So which "road" do you think the Repubs are on?

[Huacho]

You are douches because you do not understand what an inverted yield curve means.

I wonder how I managed to teach finance at the university level, be a federally registered investment advisor, a CPA for twenty years, and work on a currency futures trading desk without knowing that. My graduate level Investment Strategies and Portfolio Management, and in Fixed Income Investments probably just didn't cover yield curves, or expectations theory, or liquidity preference theory. I must be a real douche. I'm probably even more of a douche because I don't try to time or beat the market, or think that I can. So I don't care about short term noise like the yield curve, the business cycle, or whether we are or are not, or will or will not be, in a recession.

My point on GDP being higher under Dems' regimes is not based on its effects on 'the market. ' It is based on its effects on society overall.

[Huacho]

I want to make sure I have this right and where we are now in your opinion. So what you are saying, and correct me if I am wrong,

You're wrong. That's not what I said. I said that an inverted yield curve, and not reversal of an inverted yield curve, is what's considered by many to be a harbinger of recession. Your issues with reading comprehension really hold back your critical thinking skills (such as they are).

[EihTooms]

The demonstrably Winger-leaning RealClearPolitics polling site has now followed their painfully reluctant decision to move Michigan away from Trump's side and into Harris' side with another painfully reluctant decision to move Wisconsin away from Trump's side and into Harris' side on their No Toss-Up States Electoral College Map:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/

Can Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, etc be far behind? It is difficult to find a non +blue poll result on those Trump vs Harris polls these days.

BTW, why isn't Trump campaigning anywhere lately?

Covid?

Is he just too old and too tired?

Can't fill a stadium as fully as Harris does? (See photo below of the Philly arenas, Trump vs Harris. So many empty seats for Trump).

No more money to buy free hats, free beer and food for his rally attendees?

No reason to bother considering he is planning on his Fake Electors, Cheating State Election MAGAs mission to create chaos when certifying the votes and the always reliable Loony Repub MAGA 6 on the Supreme Court coming through for him to overthrow American democracy no matter what?

The perennial poor put-upon "victim" baby Donald "My Daddy Handed Me Billions and I Blew It" Trump is always coming up with some pathetic excuse.

[Elvis 2008]

An inverted yield curve often precedes a recession, and its unwinding does not. Hint: you lose!

I want to make sure I have this right and where we are now in your opinion. So what you are saying, and correct me if I am wrong, is that the inverted yield curve WAS a huge negative but now that it is no longer inverted, we have nothing but sunny skies in front of us.

Is that right?

Of course, there is another possibility right? That we are in a recession right now and you do not know that we are.

https://mishtalk.com/economics/all-h...cession-bites/

Again, this does not matter to me. An inverted yield curve preceding recession is a trend not a fact. It just means the big boys in the bond market have not been wrong when predicting recession. There is no guarantee their perfect record holds up.

[EihTooms]

An inverted yield curve often precedes a recession, and its unwinding does not. See, for example:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/mark...b72e4af4&ei=31

"The financial market's top recession warning, the inverted yield curve, looks ready to end its record stretch of flashing a warning signal. ".

Or: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_yield_curve.

"It has often been said that the inverted yield curve has been one of the most reliable leading indicators for economic recession during the postWorld War II era.

Exactly. The fact that more than 5% of any poll respondents could possibly conclude that Repubs are "better at handling the economy" than Dems, particularly Biden vs Trump, is simply a testament to how effective Mainstream Media's constant elevating of Repub failures vs denigrating Dem successes has been.

BTW, I highlighted in bold your accurate and fully substantiated point about R vs D economic growth because I have found that is the best way that I know of to override the auto-correct feature on this site when we use initials in that way.

[MarquisdeSade1]

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/07/o...antitrust.html