Thread: American Politics
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09-08-24 21:41 #15487
Posts: 6091Mmt
MMT sounds like some bullshit the Plutocracy of the United States of America came up with.
Stack Sats!
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09-08-24 21:04 #15486
Posts: 3431In your dreams but by all means please vote for her & let us know how that works out
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09-08-24 20:48 #15485
Posts: 1535MMT, a Dogs Ass and "Economic Mansplaining"?
Originally Posted by Goatscrot [View Original Post]
Originally Posted by Goatscrot [View Original Post]
Hey, I'm still waiting for the self-appointed ISG Repub economists, to tell me how, 50:1 million jobs created by Dems, since 1989 and the other 100 years of job creation have come with Democrats having been in at the helm of the American economy, here: http://www.internationalsexguide.nl/...=1#post2939183
So when it comes to matters of the economy, I'm NOT buying the Repub mantra and fallacy of "...we know best when it comes to the economy..." bullshit.
Those same self-appointed ISG Repub economists, like Elvis 2008, have been telling us and droning on, like dogs in heat, for almost four (4) years now, about how the markets, the economy, the job numbers, all are going into a recession type crush and how "the economy has been performing so very badly, even worse than when Trump was...blah, blah, blah". Basically, just parroting the latest QAnon/MAGA Foxy Muse economic, talking points.
Which we all know, the great Biden economy of almost four (4) solid years of growth, has proven them wrong.
A Dog's Ass:
So to be clear, I've always reminded Elvis 2008, of the following:
- "Even the sun shines up a dog's ass some days". But in YOUR case, you've been calling for a market crash and economic recession, for almost the last 4 years now. And you've been WRONG every time! So the sun hasn't exactly shone much up your ass for four (4) years.
But I'm sure, if you say it long enough and often enough...that sun will surely shine some day! (...kkkk!)
I too, like the MMT model, and I'm happy to see that Biden has adopted MMT, and has the record to prove it. So it does appear to be working IMHO and proving there's merit to the theory, despite its Republican detractors.
Now lets be crystal clear, markets go on cycles and runs, but ultimately are forced to follow the prevailing business cycles. And as such Elvis 2008, my very well get his market crash and/or economic recession. As it is all part of the business cycle.
No doubt, wherein, you'll get all the economic doomsayers, crawl out from their rocks and say "...told you so".
What they often fail to realize, is that when this happens, they better thank their lucky stars, if a Dem administration, happens to be at the helm, to weather the storm. Because if it isn't and it's the Repubs, their abysmal record, shows them only creating 1 million jobs in the last 35 years.
Economic Mansplaining:
So while the self-appointed ISG Repub economists, twist themselves into pretzels, rabbiting on about "economic mansplaining", most rational, common sense economists, meaning your average American, should be able to figure out such easy, "kitchen table" economic math, as to whose economic polices are REALLY WORKING.
- "Even the sun shines up a dog's ass some days". But in YOUR case, you've been calling for a market crash and economic recession, for almost the last 4 years now. And you've been WRONG every time! So the sun hasn't exactly shone much up your ass for four (4) years.
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09-08-24 19:54 #15484
Posts: 7020Unrequited Love is so heart-breaking.
Originally Posted by Tiny12 [View Original Post]
June 26, 2020
https://www.reuters.com/article/worl...idUSKBN23X09P/
WASHINGTON/SEOUL (Reuters) - Nearly one year after U.S. President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un last met, North Korea has returned to conducting short-range missile tests and issuing harsh rhetoric, while Washington shows little interest in easing sanctions.
The two leaders' last meeting - at the Demilitarised Zone between the two Koreas - did little to break the deadlock in denuclearisation talks.
This has led to bouts of increased tension, though Trump - who once derided Kim as Little Rocket Man - has largely downplayed Pyongyangs actions.
Here is a timeline of those developments:
June 12, 2018: A summit in Singapore represented the first time a sitting American president met with a North Korean leader, but the statement that came out of the meeting was light on specifics, opting instead for general commitments.
Since the summit, North Korea has shown no tangible signs of a willingness to abandon its nuclear weapons, and experts have said it is believed to have continued development of its arsenal. Washington, at the same time, has sought to keep sanctions intact, leading North Korea to accuse the United States of clinging to hostile policies.
Feb. 28, 2019: A second summit between Trump and Kim in Vietnam collapsed over sanctions relief, raising questions about the future of denuclearisation diplomacy.
(And more)
Maybe Kim's launches went "way, way down" later in 2020 at the height of Trump's Pandemic. If so, perhaps a Million American Deaths is a tad more "Ass-Kissing" to please our stated enemies than a Love-Sick so-called potus ought to engage in.
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09-08-24 19:42 #15483
Posts: 6091The 5 Most Important Promises Trump Made At Bitcoin 2024
Originally Posted by SubCmdr [View Original Post]
Over the past three years, through some combination of incompetence and hostility, Chairman Gensler has used his power over the Securities and Exchange Commission to confuse investors, stymie innovation, and attack good-faith actors.
The eruption of cheers from the crowd when President Trump said he would fire Gensler spoke to the anger felt by the entire bitcoin industry about his poor leadership.
2. Operation Choke Point 2.0 Will Be Brought To An End.
Over the past few years, bitcoin companies have found it increasingly difficult to open bank accounts, process credit cards, and obtain licenses. This misguided effort to demonize an entire industry has damaged American competitiveness, driving software developers, industrial miners, and bitcoin financial service companies overseas.
With this episode finally behind us and bitcoin flourishing in the U.S., individual Americans will also benefit from downstream effects such as increased financial privacy, reduced inflation, and lower energy prices.
3. A Bitcoin Advisory Council To The President Will Be Established.
As was clear during todays keynote, President Trump still has much to learn about bitcoin. He was refreshingly deferential on this point rather than pretending to know more than he did, he acknowledged the expertise of the audience and pledged to include those who have a stake in the industry in the creation of bitcoin policy.
Digital assets will play an increasingly important role in the U.S. economy, touching everything from energy production to monetary policy to power projection. The chief executive will certainly benefit from a council of advisors who can help think through these complex issues.
4. The U.S. government Will Hodl Bitcoin.
Currently, the federal government is estimated to own over 200,000 bitcoins that it obtained during various law enforcement operations. Several times in the past, the federal government has sold bitcoin obtained in this way at auction. (Germany recently liquidated $3 billion worth of bitcoin, a move that may one day in retrospect prove catastrophic.)
President Trump has pledged to hold (or hodl in bitcoin parlance) this bitcoin as part of a new strategic bitcoin stockpile. A vocal contingent of bitcoin-friendly lawmakers, led by U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis, is coalescing, with a total of four U.S. Senators and three Senate candidates speaking at the conference. Today, Lummis announced a proposal to supercharge the U.S. dollar by establishing a program wherein the federal government would acquire one million bitcoins.
5. Ross Ulbricht Will Be Pardoned.
It has been eleven years since Ross Ulbricht was arrested for operating Silk Road, a website where drugs, fraudulent documents, and other illegal items (alongside legal ones) were freely bought and sold using bitcoin. Ulbricht received a double life sentence plus 40 years, which many feel was excessive. A commutation or pardon has long been a cause clbre for liberty activists. President Trump reaffirmed his intention to pardon Ulbricht, recognizing that the time he has already served is enough to ensure justice was done.
Whether President Trump carries out these promises remains to be seen. However, making them was a savvy political move that will pick up support from voters who view bitcoin as important and see only one viable candidate who recognizes its significance.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidbi...-bitcoin-2024/
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09-08-24 19:00 #15482
Posts: 7020No, not clairvoyance, hokus-pokus, wild coincidences, a witch's curse, etc.
Originally Posted by Tiny12 [View Original Post]
Was he wrong about Trump winning the Popular Vote in 2016? I have no idea since I did not read any of his books, including the one for the 2016 election.
But it is clear he (the Keys, actually) didn't only predict Trump would win the Popular Vote and not the Electoral College Vote, if that is what you or others are suggesting. His Keys predicted a Trump "win" in 2016, which is not something that can happen based solely on the Popular Vote.
Historians Prediction: Donald J. Trump to Win 2016 Election.
September 26, 2016
https://www.american.edu/media/news/...prediction.cfm
Editors Note: This story has been updated with a correction. It has been corrected to read that Prof. Lichtmans 13 Keys system predicts the winner of the presidential race, not the outcome of the popular vote.
Possible. But, again, I have no idea because I have not researched it that much.
However, it is obvious he predicted a Trump Electoral College win for 2016 before the election because before the election he also predicted Trump would be Impeached. Which, again, can not happen only if he wins the Popular Vote and not the EC vote, right? Without an EC Vote win, Trump could not become president and without becoming president he could not then be Impeached:
In 2016, this prof predicted Trump's presidency and his impeachment.
Allan Lichtman says President Trump has been 'on a path to impeachment' from day 1 of his campaign.
https://www.cbc.ca/radio/asithappens...ment-1.5307665
As It Happens first spoke to the American University professor during the 2016 election when he was sure that Donald Trump would win the presidency. It wasn't a fluke. Professor Lichtman has predicted the last nine U.S. presidential elections correctly.
And even before Donald Trump was elected, the professor came out with another prediction: that Donald Trump would be impeached.
However, he does not use clairvoyance in the same way some wannabe economic "historians" might use hokus-pokus notions of magical business and economic cycles, wild coincidences, a witch's curse and so on to explain away the remarkable 100 year long presidential pattern of Great Repub Crashes, Great Repub Depressions, Great Repub Recessions and Massive Repub Jobs Destruction (with no Great Repub Recoveries, Great Repub Expansions and Historic Repub Jobs Creation to their credit) vs Great Dem Recoveries, Great Dem Expansions and Historic Dem Jobs Creation (with no Great Dem Crashes, Great Dem Depressions, Great Dem Recessions and Historic Dem Jobs Destruction to their credit).
Oh, for BONUS MATERIAL, here are a couple of fairly well-known Conservatives who don't think it wise or prudent to rely on American Institutions to rush in and save the day, the republic or American democracy when it comes to determined enemies of America like Donald Trump and his Cult Followers:
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09-08-24 18:13 #15481
Posts: 2370Originally Posted by Elvis2008 [View Original Post]
I walked through the museum of the central bank of the Argentina some years ago and was astounded that decade after decade they weren't able to get inflation under control. This created real problems for people. My love interest at the time had an ice cream truck, and had to go to the supplier twice a day for milk and the like so her money wouldn't lose a lot of its value before she sold the product.
This is what intuitively worries me about MMT. In the pursuit of full employment, are the politicians and their appointees in the Fed really going to screw things up? All Argentina had to do was what Volcker did. Raise interest rates, keep them higher than inflation, induce a serious recession and in a few years the country would be in good shape again. But they wouldn't do it.
Now MMT may be different, given a couple of the considerations I threw out in my reply to Goatscrot. But I suspect there's no free lunch.
Originally Posted by Elvis 2008 [View Original Post]
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09-08-24 17:42 #15480
Posts: 2370Originally Posted by Goatscrot [View Original Post]
https://jacobin.com/2022/07/bernie-s...e-russia-putin
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09-08-24 17:34 #15479
Posts: 4322Originally Posted by Goatscrot [View Original Post]
And no, it has no function as a currency. Before the Federal reserve was created, money supply was based on gold and a lesser degree to silver. The problem with their use is supply of money was based on the random events of finding a huge gold or silver find. The resulting booms and busts were way worse when what we have now. There are issues with the Federal Reserve for sure but having a non-political entity making decision as to when to raise or lower money supply based on data is a much more rational alternative to gold and silver. Without money supply growth, you will choke off economic growth. If the Fed lets money supply grow too much though, you run into inflation, so it is a very delicate balance.
No one is controlling money supply with bitcoin, so using it as a currency to base an economy on is foolish.
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09-08-24 17:29 #15478
Posts: 2370Originally Posted by Goatscrot [View Original Post]
Originally Posted by Goatscrot [View Original Post]
I've followed a number of developing country economies through the years. Countries that continually run government budget deficits and run up national debt and set interest rates at low levels have problems. That's true of developed countries too. The only exception that comes to mind is Japan, and that may be because of the declining population. And its massive run up in the national debt hasn't been accompanied by good economic performance.
So what would the MMT proponents do differently? Two things that I'm aware of. First, they would only have governments borrowing in their own currency. And that's admittedly true of Japan, but not true of the other examples I've thrown out. I don't know if your example, Weimar Germany, borrowed in foreign currencies, but it certainly had a lot of foreign debt.
Second, they would jack up taxes to reduce demand.
Intuitively, I don't think this would work well. At some point people would get antsy about the debt and start moving to gold, crypto, stock, real estate, etc. , and abandon government debt. Interest rates go up, which makes it difficult for the private sector to raise capital. Or perhaps the central bank keeps rates at low levels, which results in high inflation. Foreign exchange controls are enacted to prevent money from leaving the country.
But that and $5 will buy you a cup of coffee at Starbucks. I need to take a look at the book and come back with you.
I actually am a believer in supply side economics. There's a correlation among developed countries between lower government revenues / expenditures and GDP per capita adjusted for purchasing power. The countries with smaller government as a % of GDP, like the USA, Switzerland, Singapore and Ireland, outperform the ones with larger government. That doesn't mean that there's no place for the Keynesians. I hope Tooms doesn't read this, but I'd give FDR the edge over Herbert Hoover in his willingness to pump lots of money into the economy when it needed it. And I think that's what we have had in recent years, without MMT, and we've even gone overboard at times, like with the American Rescue Plan and other excessive spending legislated during 2021/2022. The Fed has a dual mandate to maximize employment and minimize inflation, and our politicians are not shy at all at using fiscal stimulus. We've been at full employment since 2018, except when COVID intervened.
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09-08-24 17:13 #15477
Posts: 4322Originally Posted by Goatscrot [View Original Post]
The whole notion that the amount of money in the system can be doubled and not cause a doubling of prices on goods and services is batshit crazy. The notion that corporate greed caused inflation versus creating $10 trillion out of thin air with Covid is batshit crazy too. Why was inflation at 2% or less for decades? Corporations were not greedy back then?
Originally Posted by Goatscrot [View Original Post]
My favorite line from the Clinton White House was Bill Clinton saying, "You mean my whole financial package is based on what some fucking bond dealers think?" It showed he understood things.
Originally Posted by Goatscrot [View Original Post]
Originally Posted by Goatscrot [View Original Post]
Originally Posted by Goatscrot [View Original Post]
Like I just showed you, Starbucks is seeing a decline in demand as is McDonald's and they are lowering prices. Higher demand causes prices to go up. Lower demand causes them to fall. So what is going on? The consumer is stretched and they would rather make a cup of coffee at home for 50 cents than paying five bucks at Starbucks so Starbucks is seeing a decline in demand for its goods. Demand for food is about as inelastic a good as you can get, and it speaks volumes about how weak the economy is if restaurants are closing down and lowering prices.
If the government doubles the money supply or takes half my money, it is the same thing. If you think that the government can double money supply and buy things like bombs and it costs the taxpayer nothing. I am not going to change your mind on that so there is no point in debating. Yes, there are times you need to use money to buy things to blow shit up but for the most part, it is the worst use of tax dollars that there is.
That blurb on Venezuela is dead wrong. A lot of Arab countries are totally dependent on oil and gas and are filthy rich. The difference between those countries and Venezuela is in the Arab countries is if you steal, you get your hand cut off. In Venezuela, unlike any country I have ever been to, theft was applauded. What happened in Venezuela is Chavez filled the national oil company with his unproductive cronies and oil production went nowhere. He then started using foreign companies to produce and then he stole from them and they pulled out. His last resource after that was to print money and by over printing the money, he caused runaway inflation. Without a 4th amendment or other guarantee that your money is your money, a country's economy will go to shit for certain.
It is a lot easier to steal from your people by doubling the money supply than taking half of what they own, but the amount of theft is the same.
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09-08-24 16:52 #15476
Posts: 2370Originally Posted by SubCmdr [View Original Post]
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09-08-24 16:34 #15475
Posts: 2370Originally Posted by EihTooms [View Original Post]
As to the "Trump Pandemic," maybe we better throw in the towel, because you're not going to change my mind and vice versa.
Originally Posted by EihTooms [View Original Post]
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09-08-24 13:10 #15474
Posts: 3880Originally Posted by SubCmdr [View Original Post]
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09-08-24 12:57 #15473
Posts: 6091Originally Posted by Goatscrot [View Original Post]
It doesn't need to be accepted widely as currency. Gold and Silver are not longer accepted widely as a form of currency. Does not reduce its value. Besides mining asteroids might make gold like sand at the beach for all I know.
All over the world BTC is growing in adoption. No government can stop it. BTC is a store of value. And it is permission less. Try to send your USD sitting in a bank anywhere in the world without permission. You and many others do not understand that power. You and many others do not understand the DeFi infrastructure being built to serve the financial needs of crypto holders.
Crypto is going forward with or without the help of the United State of America. Ask China if a government can stop BTC?.
Holding USD is a bad investment. All the smart money puts USD into other assets in order to preserve value. The Plutocracy in the United States of America has had a monopoly on financial affairs for far too long. Crypto is the tool that breaks that. Anyone with an internet connection and smart phone can buy crypto in 10 minutes. And I can show them how they can use that crypto to become their own bank. There is no reason for anyone to use a credit card ever again. By cooperating with fellow crypto holders to cut out the middle man. You can save, loan and borrow among peers in a pool backed up with over collateralization. Not the fucked up fractional reserve system that powers fiat currency around the world.
Write off crypto at your own risk my man Same for the United States of America. And all the dumb ass politicians that do not recognize its value. Blackrock owns mother fucking BTC! The revolution is going on right now. And it is not being televised.