American Politics

[HotDog666]

As we discussed earlier:

https://vm.tiktok.com/ZNdFTmJx3/

[HotDog666]

By definition he is a guest. Are you are guest in my country of origin also?

Or are you just another one of my fellow Americans talking your male bovine excrement about race showing your favorite colors for outerwear is a WHITE HODDIE?

https://www.alllaw.com/articles/nolo...ifference.html

Learn what the law says before trying to school me son. You have absolutely no idea what my background was serving my fellow Americans during most of my adult life under the OATH to protect and defend The Constitution of the United States of America from all enemies foreign and domestic. Guests such as yourself don't know the law nor understand what it means to take that OATH. If I was second class citizen I would have never been allowed to take it in the first place.

How you like me now?

Touched a soft spot there, hey Stephen? Four posts in quick succession, one on another thread with your characteristic inanity more relatable to a 16 year old than a 60+ year old- oh and if you want to know why you're an imbecile, ask on the right thread otherwise you err. Come across as an imbecile.

You know as well as I do that you're a second class citizen, and denial ain't no river, Homey. Don't ask the people here whether you're a second class citizen- do the mouthing off to a white American cop (or a black one for that matter, one which is a self loather like you) and see how it ends.

I'm not going to indulge your puerility about referring Mahmud Khalil to as a "guest", the only fact is he WAS a permanent resident. And the only other fact is that the executive has strong armed him- in violation OF YOUR CONSTITUTION- to deprive him of his liberty and his residency. The fact that the judiciary has caved in does not legitimise that issue. You demanded earlier evidence of the judiciary being usurped by the executive and I provided it to you referencing the El salvadorian and yet you continue bitching away- that's the thing with you- there is no serious conversation to be had with someone who is so disingenuous as you, Stephen.

[SubCmdr]

Does this idiot get the concept of supply and demand or is he another socialist that he thinks that he deserves better service because of his virtue signaling?

Facts do not go over well with a guy like SC. The disturbing fact in his foolish conspiracy theory

And what you will see from SC is the usual string of insults about his dick size, how everyone is racist, and this idiotic Trump conspiracy theory.

NVDA

But do not worry. SC swears it is going up so you should buy it. Maybe he can lecture everyone on these things after the racist comments and how big his dick is. And BTW, did he mention the killing he is making in gold?

First of all E2008 need to post the quote where I told anyone that NVDA was going up in value and that people should buy it. He also needs the quote the supposed racist comments I made. The only think E2008 has ever written about me is that I AM making a killing in Gold. Don't hate.

E2008 is the one that said it NVDA and GOLD were bad investments:

I have SC on ignore because I can predict what he is gong to say before he says it. All he wants is attention and to tell everyone how great he is. So I figured his response to me would be egotistical and it was. I would rather be lucky than good and then tells everyone how smart he is.

I invest based on value. Is something overpriced or not? The Amex platinum is a more prestigious card than Amex gold, and it has been because platinum had traditionally been higher in price, and it should be. Platinum is 30 X rarer than gold.

So I cannot even begin to value gold because the people buying are convinced the world is coming to an end. Why the fuck else would you buy gold that just sits there over an apartment complex or farm or bond which produces income on an annual basis? And why now? The world coming to an end is nothing new and IMO has always been a sucker's bet.

So if you think that, IMO you are an idiot. In fact, the only thing you can do at this point to convince me that you are a bigger idiot is if you think the world is coming to an end is to buy gold at $3000+ an ounce and shun platinum at $900+ an ounce.

And what does SC say about gold? I am buying it up right now and making huge bank. LOL.

E2008 has me on ignore. But yet mentions me in every other post he makes. Note how he never quotes me. That is because he lies about what I have written. It is simply his interpretation. His Republican Racist evaluation of his fellow American that he does not like because of the way I look. Otherwise why is he talking about how I don't pay any attention to facts while constantly engaging in ad hominem attacks about me on items unrelated to the subject matter.

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/15/nvid...-to-china.html

Nvidia shares have dropped 16% this year, largely due to President Donald Trump's announcement of widespread tariffs on top trading partners

https://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/news...p&noamp=mobile

And why was that? Let me guess. It is all Trump's fault.

Exactly!

Nvidia shares have dropped 16% this year, largely due to President Donald Trump's announcement of widespread tariffs on top trading partners

This is why I do not like growth stocks in general.

Look at how much bonds are paying? Then compare that to NVDA, AAPL or Au growth over the last two years. If buying bonds are smart and E2008 is going to say I was just lucky. The fact that he wants to ignore is that it has been better for me to be lucky than smart by his own definition using the King's English.

E2008 says the I am a idiot because he looks at me and does not like me. Because I don't invest as he does. Yet, I was able to live the American Dream (and nightmare because of the POLICE and Republican Racism in the workplace) all because of the US Stock Market.

I don't give a FUCK about the current leader of the Article II Branch of USGOV. What I care about is the RULE of LAW. Without that the Stock Market, Bond Market and as a mother of fucking fact NO MARKET will continue to work.

How you like me now?

[EihTooms]

Repub Trump is so unhappy that his Classic Repub utterly chaotic and incoherent economic policies, stewardship and Trump Tariff Taxes are only increasing costs to the American Working Men and Women Consumers a measly $250 Million per day, he keeps lying that, oh no, he is really really really increasing the costs to the American Working Men and Women Consumer a much more impressively damaging $2 BILLION per day.

CBP says latest tariffs have generated $500 million, below Trump estimate.

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/16/us-c...ndroidappshare

U.S. Customs and Border Protection told CNBC the department has collected more than $500 million under Trumps latest tariffs.

Trump has repeatedly said the United States is taking in $2 billion per day from tariffs.

CBP says the average $250 million a day was collected even during the glitch that impacted freight already on the water.

Trump has such a pathetic but certainly justified inferiority complex that drives his ambition to be the most wasteful, fraudulant, abusive and corrupt Repub president of all time, meaning the most of any party's president, there is no doubt he will pull all the stops to eventually get to that $2 BILLION per day increase in costs to the American Working Men and Women Consumers sooner or later.

But, sadly for his sense of real Repub Accomplishment, he just isn't quite there yet. We must give him a little more time, that's all.

[Sirioja]

When is your France going to put boots on the ground in Ukraine and Gaza. Or is having you as a fan boy enough?

ROTFLMAO!

When stupid Trump failed, but just able to suck Putin, now Rubio come to EU for Ukraine.

[Elvis 2008]

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/15/nvid...-to-china.html

Nvidia said Tuesday it will take a quarterly charge of about $5. 5 billion tied to exporting H20 graphics processing units to China and other destinations. The stock slid more than 6% in extended trading.

Huang warned that competition in China is growing, and for the second straight year, Nvidia listed Huawei as a competitor in its annual filing.

In addition to the existing Chinese export controls, Nvidia also faces new restrictions on what it can export starting next month, under "AI diffusion rules" first proposed by the Biden administration.

Nvidia shares have dropped 16% this year, largely due to President Donald Trump's announcement of widespread tariffs on top trading partners.

https://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/news...p&noamp=mobile

The global race for AI has put ASML at the forefront of the industry, as the maker of the world's most advanced chip circuitry engraving system, the EUV lithography machine, used to make chips designed by Nvidia (NVDA. O), opens new tab and Apple (AAPL. O).

Dutch semiconductor equipment firm ASML reported net bookings of 3. 94 billion euros ($4. 47 billion) for the first quarter, versus analysts' forecast of 4. 89 billion euros.

And why was that? Let me guess. It is all Trump's fault.

Global chip stocks have been fragile amid worries about how USA President Donald Trump's tariff plans will affect the semiconductor supply chain.

Ah, there we go. Of course, there were not any tariffs announced in Q1. In fact, there was a huge surge in shipping prior to tariffs being put into place. Ah well, why let facts get in the way of blaming Trump for everything. Point is if business is down at ASML then it will be with Nvidia as well.

This is why I do not like growth stocks in general. The assumption is that the growth will continue forever, and I never saw how that was possible with Nvidia. Nvidia went from being worth $360 billion at the end of 2022 to $3. 2 trillion by the end of 2024 and on November 6, 2024, Nvidia briefly surpassed Apple to become the world's most valuable company by market capitalization, reaching a market cap of $3. 52 trillion. How the hell was it supposed to double from there?

Even today, NVIDIA is valued more than Google, Berkshire Hathaway, and Saudi Aramco. https://companiesmarketcap.com/. Yeah, that makes sense. / sarc.

But do not worry. SC swears it is going up so you should buy it. I must have missed where he mentioned and explained AI diffusion rules, tariffs, and Huawei as a potential competitor. Maybe he can lecture everyone on these things after the racist comments and how big his dick is. And BTW, did he mention the killing he is making in gold?

[EihTooms]

LOL. Markets are wrong all the time. There has been a huge sell off in bonds as China and other nations dump not just treasury bonds and mortgage backed securities. If China and other countries are doing this to manipulate markets versus making money, they can go fuck themselves. They will end up losing money. Higher interest rates means you can buy bonds more cheaply, and I and others will be happy to buy what they are selling. That you cheer on currency manipulation which fucks over Americans as you live in Asia is no shock to me. Hell, Spidy should live in China given how he drools over the CCCP and China with its "clean" air.

The other reason bonds are up is all you Democratic douches screaming about higher prices. Your tag line reads Trump raised prices 20% and his supporters cheered. That is the kind of stupid sentiment I like to invest against. https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/01/trum...conomists.html.

One model constructed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston suggests that in an "extreme" scenario, heightened taxes on USA Imports could result in a 1. 4 percentage point to 2. 2 percentage point increase to core inflation. This scenario assumes 60% tariff rates on Chinese imports and 10% tariff rates on imports from all other countries. And that is all short term stuff. Tariffs do not cause long term inflation.

Last month, the CPI was down 0. 1% and the PPI which leads the CPI was down 0. 4%. In other words, prices last month were down. Normally, with a declining stock market and those inflation numbers, the Fed cuts rates which is great for bonds, but they have not done it yet because they are unsure of the effect on tariffs.

The problem with the Fed model is it assumes constant demand, and I do not see that. Apple thought they could sell VR glasses called Vision Pro for $3500. They projected to sell 3 million the first year. They sold 400,000, so the notion that people will anything for high end Apple products is bunk. If the Iphone is pushed higher in price, I see consumers not ponying up the cash but balking at buying them. And in China, the reason the CCP is coming to the negotiating table is the trade war has already scared the Chinese consumer so badly that they are not willing to spend either.

This is a good piece overall. I disagree with a few things in it and I do not think he gets what Trump is trying to accomplish but he has insights. https://www.molsonhart.com/blog/amer...facturing-back.

This was the big one that matters here: People are predicting inflation in the cost of goods, but we can just as easily have deflation from economic turmoil.

Wait, what? Deflation? Yeah, that is what we have now. When prices are down 0. 4% in a quarter, that is deflation. Lower prices are a good thing if demand is constant. They are horrible, and indicate a depression like scenario if prices fall and demand falls.

So yeah, if you see the consumer willing to spend $1500 or $3000 on an Iphone, then keep your inflation projections where they are, but I do not see that happening. I see people going without which is a decrease in demand.

And what gets me with you Democratic douches is you all assume Trump is crazy and do not understand the end game. The goal is not to return all manufacturing from China and elsewhere back to the USA. It is to get the high end work that can be done here, to allow the essentials like rare earths and drug production back in the USA for strategic purposes, and to allow what we do make cheaply like farm goods to be allowed to be sold without being taxed to the hilt by other nations.

So this idiotic scenario you and the Democratic douche media are projecting as happening, 20% inflation forever, would mean bond yields SHOULD go up.

What I see is Trump negotiating deals, which will probably take longer than expected, and the Fed lowering rates either because inflation is not as high as anticipated and / or the end of this tariff war.

But even if I am wrong and the Fed projections come true, and we have literally 2% versus the less than zero inflation we had last month, treasury bonds or MBS yielding 4 and 5% are a screaming buy right now. That they are getting cheaper is something investors should smile about.

The funniest part:

The other reason bonds are up is all you Democratic douches screaming about higher prices.

Lololol. Oh, yes, all of this "Democratic" screaming about higher prices. A totally new American experience. For the past 4 years there has not been one political partisan peep about higher prices, right?

Lololol.

I just did an advanced search for posts from you explaining and excusing in the same excruciating detail as this post from you for how and why prices increased during Biden's historic economic recovery from the unprecedented global economic disaster of Trump's Pandemic, but there was no result.

Now that you have become more familiar with the concept of links, can you help us out with a link to your post of the past 4 years explaining and excusing in even half as much excrutiating detail the higher prices that happened during that phenomenal Envy of the World economic recovery?

Thanks in advance.

[EihTooms]

Repub so-called president Trump, er, I mean Repub so-called president TrumpMusk, will likely surpass Repub Nixon / Ford in producing policies and stewardship to ignite dreaded Stagflation.

If we're lucky, that is:

Why stagflation now seems like America's "optimistic scenario".
Investors have gone into tariff shock, and stagflation could now be the optimistic scenario for the US economy.

https://moneyweek.com/economy/us-eco...-trump-tariffs

The tariffs amount to a $600 billion tax hike on the cost of living that will hurt consumers, says Bill Dudley on Bloomberg. In the past, the Federal Reserve has ridden to the rescue of a weaker economy. Dont expect a repeat this time. Annualised US inflation is likely to reach nearly 5% over the coming months, reducing the space for interest-rate cuts. All told, stagflation is the optimistic scenario. More likely, the US will end up in a full-blown recession.

Harris voters knew this and warned America about it.

But worries about immigrants eating the cats and eating the dogs along with greater worries about trannies peeking over toilet stall barriers to ask for their social network contact info took precedence among Repub MAGA and a few stray Third Party voters.

Oh well.

[Elvis 2008]

Here we go again.

Why do Repubs and especially Repub Trump hate the American Working Men and Women so much they can't wait do destroy their Great American Dream as soon as possible after the electorate foolishly gives them another chance to do it.

Repub Trump has just done it in record time. Less than 90 days!

Homebuyers rush to riskier loans, as tariff turmoil pushes interest rates higher.

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/16/home...ndroidappshare

BTW, seriously, where did all the "This is what winning looks like"! MAGA posters go?

LOL. Markets are wrong all the time. There has been a huge sell off in bonds as China and other nations dump not just treasury bonds and mortgage backed securities. If China and other countries are doing this to manipulate markets versus making money, they can go fuck themselves. They will end up losing money. Higher interest rates means you can buy bonds more cheaply, and I and others will be happy to buy what they are selling. That you cheer on currency manipulation which fucks over Americans as you live in Asia is no shock to me. Hell, Spidy should live in China given how he drools over the CCCP and China with its "clean" air.

The other reason bonds are up is all you Democratic douches screaming about higher prices. Your tag line reads Trump raised prices 20% and his supporters cheered. That is the kind of stupid sentiment I like to invest against. https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/01/trum...conomists.html.

One model constructed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston suggests that in an "extreme" scenario, heightened taxes on USA Imports could result in a 1. 4 percentage point to 2. 2 percentage point increase to core inflation. This scenario assumes 60% tariff rates on Chinese imports and 10% tariff rates on imports from all other countries. And that is all short term stuff. Tariffs do not cause long term inflation.

Last month, the CPI was down 0. 1% and the PPI which leads the CPI was down 0. 4%. In other words, prices last month were down. Normally, with a declining stock market and those inflation numbers, the Fed cuts rates which is great for bonds, but they have not done it yet because they are unsure of the effect on tariffs.

The problem with the Fed model is it assumes constant demand, and I do not see that. Apple thought they could sell VR glasses called Vision Pro for $3500. They projected to sell 3 million the first year. They sold 400,000, so the notion that people will anything for high end Apple products is bunk. If the Iphone is pushed higher in price, I see consumers not ponying up the cash but balking at buying them. And in China, the reason the CCP is coming to the negotiating table is the trade war has already scared the Chinese consumer so badly that they are not willing to spend either.

This is a good piece overall. I disagree with a few things in it and I do not think he gets what Trump is trying to accomplish but he has insights. https://www.molsonhart.com/blog/amer...facturing-back.

This was the big one that matters here: People are predicting inflation in the cost of goods, but we can just as easily have deflation from economic turmoil.

Wait, what? Deflation? Yeah, that is what we have now. When prices are down 0. 4% in a quarter, that is deflation. Lower prices are a good thing if demand is constant. They are horrible, and indicate a depression like scenario if prices fall and demand falls.

So yeah, if you see the consumer willing to spend $1500 or $3000 on an Iphone, then keep your inflation projections where they are, but I do not see that happening. I see people going without which is a decrease in demand.

And what gets me with you Democratic douches is you all assume Trump is crazy and do not understand the end game. The goal is not to return all manufacturing from China and elsewhere back to the USA. It is to get the high end work that can be done here, to allow the essentials like rare earths and drug production back in the USA for strategic purposes, and to allow what we do make cheaply like farm goods to be allowed to be sold without being taxed to the hilt by other nations.

So this idiotic scenario you and the Democratic douche media are projecting as happening, 20% inflation forever, would mean bond yields SHOULD go up.

What I see is Trump negotiating deals, which will probably take longer than expected, and the Fed lowering rates either because inflation is not as high as anticipated and / or the end of this tariff war.

But even if I am wrong and the Fed projections come true, and we have literally 2% versus the less than zero inflation we had last month, treasury bonds or MBS yielding 4 and 5% are a screaming buy right now. That they are getting cheaper is something investors should smile about.

[Sirioja]

Inflation, recession, lost jobs, failure for Gaza and Ukraine, senile dangerous Trump looks like a loser making falling USA, at least for image and tourism, many cancelling to visit such country. My little France should stay number 1 for tourism and I would be proud if Gaza was given to Palestinians for their country, on next Summer. Fuck Netanyahou who wants never ending war.

Fortunately, USA justice refuse crazy Trump decisions. A real failure.

[Sirioja]

When is your France going to put boots on the ground in Ukraine and Gaza. Or is having you as a fan boy enough?

ROTFLMAO!

My France want a country for Palestinians versus criminal Netanyahou, not a beach resort, and keep on helping Ukraine, not sucking criminal dictator Putin like Trump gang.

[SubCmdr]

Gold prices today breached $3,200 an ounce for the first time. Prices are up more than 22 per cent so far this year. UBS and Commerzbank raised their gold price forecasts on Friday, joining other investment banks as investors drive the safe-haven metal to record highs amid the economic uncertainty sparked by U.S. President Donald Trump's trade policies, as per a report.

Trump's tariffs have roiled financial markets, stoking fears of inflation and a global recession. While he has paused most duties, he has hiked those on China to 145 per cent, prompting Beijing to lift its tariffs on U.S. goods to 125 per cent, Reuters reported.

"We expect gold's rally to extend into next year and for prices to stabilise at higher levels further out," UBS analysts said in a note

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com.../120207954.cms

[SubCmdr]

Dude, I do not have to be an all time great investor.

But you are very good at talking your pure unadulterated male bovine excrement about the investment strategies of others.

As for this latest idiotic rant about how great government is, let me put out one statistic to show you how full of it you are. Two out of every three paid tax dollars does not go to any government service whatsoever.

What is the actual budget for the Dis-United States of America?

In fiscal year 2024, the federal government spent $6.9 trillion, amounting to 24 percent of the nations gross domestic product (GDP), according to the June 2024 estimates of the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). About nine-tenths of the total went toward federal programs; the remainder went toward interest payments on the federal debt. Of that $6.9 trillion, almost $4.9 trillion was financed by federal revenues. The remaining amount was financed by borrowing. (Note: In this analysis, the figures are adjusted for certain one- or two-day timing shifts in federal payments that distort the year-to-year paths.)

Three major areas of program spending make up the majority of the budget:

Health insurance: Four health insurance programs Medicare, Medicaid, the Childrens Health Insurance Program (CHIP), and Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplace health insurance subsidies together accounted for 24 percent of the budget in 2024, or $1.7 trillion. More than half of this amount, or $912 billion, went to Medicare, which in June 2024 provided health coverage to around 67 million people who are age 65 or older or have disabilities. The rest of this amount reflects the federal costs of Medicaid and CHIP ($626 billion) and ACA subsidy and marketplace costs ($125 billion). Both Medicaid and CHIP require states to pay some of their total costs.

In March 2023, Medicaid and CHIP provided health coverage or long-term care to 93.9 million low-income children, parents, older adults, and people with disabilities. That was significantly higher than the 70.9 million enrollees before the pandemic because of temporary pandemic-related coverage protection, which expired in April 2023. With its expiration, enrollment dropped to 82.8 million by March 2024 and is likely to fall further, though projections are highly uncertain.

In February 2024, 20.8 million people had enrolled in health insurance through ACA marketplaces, a significant increase over enrollment in 2023. Of the total enrolled, 19.3 million (or 93 percent) received subsidies that lowered their premiums and out-of-pocket costs.

Social Security: In 2024, 21 percent of the budget, or $1.5 trillion, was spent on Social Security, which provided monthly retirement benefits in September 2024 averaging $1,922 to 51.5 million retired workers. Social Security also provided benefits to 2.6 million spouses and children of retired workers, 5.8 million surviving children and spouses of deceased workers, and 8.4 million disabled workers and their eligible dependents.
Defense: Another 13 percent of the budget, or $872 billion, was spent on national defense activities. About 95 percent of the spending in this category reflects the underlying costs of the Defense Department, largely for operations and maintenance; military personnel; procurement of weapons; and research, development, testing, and evaluation.

https://www.cbpp.org/research/federa...tax-dollars-go

There is the link for your review E2008. The rich don't pay taxes. You know this. The current Administration has tasked Musk with cutting enough from the budget in order to pay for tax cuts to the rich. I am not saying the government cannot be smaller. President Clinton was the last sitting President to reduce the Federal Workforce. Studying the problem for six months then making the cuts. No one except the people who lost their jobs noticed.

Now E2008, please go on your rant about my personally and ignoring the facts that I present. That is your SOP.

[EihTooms]

Here we go again.

Why do Repubs and especially Repub Trump hate the American Working Men and Women so much they can't wait do destroy their Great American Dream as soon as possible after the electorate foolishly gives them another chance to do it.

Repub Trump has just done it in record time. Less than 90 days!

Homebuyers rush to riskier loans, as tariff turmoil pushes interest rates higher.

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/16/home...ndroidappshare

The share of borrowers applying for adjustable-rate loans jumped to the highest in over two years.

Mortgage rates jumped 20 basis points in one week.

Homebuyers pulled back, despite much higher inventory of homes for sale.

BTW, seriously, where did all the "This is what winning looks like"! MAGA posters go?

[SubCmdr]

Inflation, recession, lost jobs, failure for Gaza and Ukraine, senile dangerous Trump looks like a loser making falling USA, at least for image and tourism, many cancelling to visit such country. My little France should stay number 1 for tourism and I would be proud if Gaza was given to Palestinians for their country, on next Summer. Fuck Netanyahou who wants never ending war.

When is your France going to put boots on the ground in Ukraine and Gaza. Or is having you as a fan boy enough?

ROTFLMAO!