JD Vance or QAnon Shaman? ... Desperation or Genius?
[QUOTE=EihTooms;2936931][b]OMG. It's a clean sweep for the Dems in these polls.[/b] For people who still enjoy considering the Polls, of course:
Three new Polling Services of enough credibility and quality for the 538 Site to post them and factor them into their Election Forecasts, Morning Consult, Big Village and The Bullfinch
Group, have Harris / Walz beating Trump / Vance across the board in the Head-to-Heads and 5-Ways, among Registered Voters, Likely Voters, All Americans, on Favorability (all positive for
Harris and Walz, all negative for Trump and Vance), etc in the General Election and in the critical Battlegound States of WI, MI and PA, along with every Senate race in those states going
to the Dem.
Amazing:
[B]Latest Polls, ending August 10, 2024.[/B]
[URL]https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/[/URL][/QUOTE]
With such terrific polling numbers trending well for the Harris/Walz campaign, I'm going to start a rumor, that many Repubs, are now are seriously considering, thinking and wondering, [b]if it's too late,[/b] to do what the Dems did [i](since Repubs haven't had an original thought, in over a 100 years)[/i] and swap out Trump for Nikki Haley and [b]JD Vance[/b] for [b]"QAnon Shaman"[/b] (Jacob Chansley), to run a real campaign, out of his halfway house (...kkkk!)
[QUOTE=Checkmate1;2937022][b]Still a lot of time left.[/b]
The convict doesn't know to fight back yet. Everything he's doing is geared toward Biden, which was successful. But now, the campaign just sounds like a Rick Roll meme. Jon Stewart pointed this out at the 12:12 minutes mark of the video: [URL]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-VW6tHIcGfc.[/url] [/QUOTE]
At 78 yrs of age, Trump has never had to truly fight for anything in this life. I'm not sure he has any REAL fight in him. Typically, men and women with REAL fight, know they are innocent of the injustice charged against them and they are more than willing (even eager) to go to trial and prove their innocence.
I think what you're now seeing is Trump, in [b]"desperation mode"[/b]. Now that the convict and felon, feels the election slipping away from him, desperation is starting to set in.
[u]Plan B:[/u]
By some accounts, I think Trump has already begun to execute [b]"Plan B."[/b] So what is "Plan B", you ask? Well, you guessed it:
[LIST] 1. more intensified verbal threats and gaslighting;
2. more accusations of other people cheating and committing fraudulent behavior;
3. throw yet another VP under the bus and blame JD Vance and other sycophants for his failures;
4. more accusations charging Biden...I mean Harris with election interference;
5. break glass in case of emergency and fire-up the 70+ pro-Trump election deniers in key battle ground states officiating the results, to muddy the election waters;
AND of course, last but not least:
6. proclaim everything else, is either fake, unfair, unconstitutional or stacked and rigged against him.[/LIST]Ergo "Plan B" in a nutshell, is just more Jan 6th type, criminal insurrection stuff.
[b]PS:[/b] Yes, there is "still a lot of time left" (as you've said), for Trumps lies, bullying, pretenses and QAnon/MAGA shenanigans of desperation!
Excellent Resumes and Compelling Reasons for the Harris/Walz ticket...
[QUOTE=Elvis 2008;2936884] Yes, she has accomplished so much you cannot name one damn thing she has done. Between Spidy's two posts and your one, you have no reason to vote for her outside of her being a Democrat ...[/QUOTE]
[QUOTE=EihTooms;2936952]The sad reality is, based on all Repub Administration policy and stewardship results for the past 100 years, as a Democrat, [B]EVEN I[/B] would be a better president than any or all of the Repubs combined!
And that is even if I governed from my apartment, the restaurants and entertainment venues in Bangkok for the entire 8 years of my presidency.
By stark contrast, what Biden-Harris accomplished in just 3 1/2 years is truly stellar.
Among them:
[B]23 of the Biden/Harris terms greatest accomplishments.
April 2, 2024[/B]
[URL]https://www.kanedems.org/2024/04/23-of-joe-bidens-greatest-accomplishments-as-president-of-the-united-states/[/URL]
Thanks again, Joe and Kamala.[/QUOTE]
Excellent Resumes for them both!
YES! What's not to like and love about the many, many, many accomplishments of the 14th Best President in US Presidential history. And the always supportive Veep Harris, doing her job as
the brilliant understudy.
I guess it good to have a boss who cares deeply for you and your career, and wants you to succeed. Verses one who brandishes you as a traitor, then tries to execute you, with an angry insurrectionist mob, brandishing a noose, flagpoles and sharp or blunt objects, to either have you hung, impaled or beaten to death.
Harris (in the article), has done some good work as VP, on things like immigration, voting rights, gun violence, maternal health care, abortion, broadband expansion, Juneteenth,
[URL]https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/07/26/kamala-harris-vice-president-accomplishments/74534954007/[/URL]
The tone deaf people, like Elvis 2008, that weirdly think Dems don't have strong and compelling reasons to vote for the Harris/Walz ticket, perhaps can explain why so many Repubs and Independents are now voting for Harris, under those same compelling reasons?
Harris/Walz are giving some red states pause and reasons enough for them to now be considered as new battle ground states that could fall. We are hearing from both Repubs and Dems, on the ground in states like Ohio, Texas and North Carolina, that Trump may not carry the day, in these states. And that they think these states are at worst, are "in-play" for Dems and at best are very much "up for grabs" and winnable".
Yes, Thanks again President Biden and Veep Harris, for giving Repubs and Independents, [b]99 reasons[/b], but [b]being a Dem[/b] by virtue, just ain't one!
[LIST][b]PS:[/b] Got to give Nikki Haley credit, as she maybe right about one thing, when she said:
[i][b]"Most Americans do not want a rematch between Biden and Trump. So the first party to retire its 80 year old candidate, is going to be the party that wins this election." [/b][/i]
We'll see in ROEvember! But it's a good thing Repubs, don't actually listen to their women and pay them lip service! (...kkkk!)[/LIST]
My education for you Elvis is gratis
[QUOTE=Elvis2008;2936890] I have never met anyone in my life who went into government by choice. People who go into it do so for security not excellence, and most cannot wait to get their pensions and get the hell out.[/QUOTE][B]With all due respect you do not know a thing about how things work in the US Government[/B] The idea is for individuals to rotate out of private industry and into the highest levels of government developing contacts with political figures and career government workers in order to further the salary and bonuses they get from their private employers. That is the revolving door of industry insiders.
Gary S. Gensler, is a former investment banker for Goldman Sachs. Can someone say [I]get the fuck[/I]! He is Chairman of the SEC now.
You think the president of Goldman Sachs cannot call the Chairman of the SEC and have a private off the record conversation with him?
Nobody points shit like that out. But that is how it happens. So if Trump wins, watch how in fills government positions with those from the highest levels in private industry that are still on his good side.
Trump's slurring, lies and incoherence will only get worse after this
Cook Political Report is one of the more highly respected polling services:
[URL]https://www.realclearpolling.com/latest-polls/election[/URL]
[B]Swing State Project: August 14, 2024 Toplines
August 14, 2024[/B]
[URL]https://www.cookpolitical.com/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/14Aug2024-toplines[/URL]
[QUOTE]The Swing State Project is a collaboration between The Cook Political Report and two pollsters, BSG and GS Strategy Group. Below are the toplines from the August 2024 poll. In total, 2,867 likely voters across seven swing states (Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin) completed the survey.
In the seven states combined, Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump in a head-to-head matchup 48% to 47%.[/QUOTE]Trump leads Harris only in Nevada in these polls, +3 in the Head-to-Head, +5 in the 5-Way. This was before the audio interview of him and Musk laughing about how much fun it is to fire the American Working Men and Women for daring to expect to be fairly paid and treated, especially union workers.
Trump should have canceled that Republican National Convention, promised to name a VP candidate "in two weeks" and remained silent and hidden in that last basement Men's Room stall he usually hides in when frightened.
Allan Lichtman 13 keys to winning the presidency
In 1991, Lichtman and coauthor Ken DeCell published The 13 Keys to the White House (Madison Books, 1991), a book laying out the 13-key forecasting system initially developed in 1981 by Lichtman and renowned mathematician Vladimir Keilis-Borok. They developed the keys based on their analysis of trends in presidential campaigns since 1860.
The 13 keys are simple to use: if 8 or more of the 13 keys are true for the incumbent party, its candidate will win the election—but if fewer than 8 are true, the challenger will win.
1. Party mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the US House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections. FALSE.
2. Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination. TRUE.
3. Incumbency: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president. FALSE.
4. Third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign. TRUE.
5. Short term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign. TRUE.
6. Long term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms. TRUE.
7. Policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy. TRUE.
8. Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term. TRUE.
9. Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal. TRUE.
10. Foreign / military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs. TRUE.
11. Foreign / military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs. FALSE.
12. Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero. TRUE.
13. Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero. FALSE.
9 out of 13 by mine count.
Corporate Welfare is very much alive...
[QUOTE=SubCmdr;2937221][B]With all due respect you do not know a thing about how things work in the US Government[/B] The idea is for individuals to rotate out of private industry and into the highest levels of government developing contacts with political figures and career government workers in order to further the salary and bonuses they get from their private employers. That is the revolving door of industry insiders.
Gary S. Gensler, is a former investment banker for Goldman Sachs. Can someone say [I]get the fuck[/I]! He is Chairman of the SEC now.
You think the president of Goldman Sachs cannot call the Chairman of the SEC and have a private off the record conversation with him?
Nobody points shit like that out. But that is how it happens. So if Trump wins, watch how in fills government positions with those from the highest levels in private industry that are still on his good side.[/QUOTE]W/R to the miseducation of Elvis 2008, that is certainly a topic for conversation for another day. A day, I hope I never have to see!
Your point is well made and I would add, that many of those titans, captains and lieutenants of industry, often also personally benefit immensely by moving into government jobs, even after very successful private industrial careers.
One of the most egregious and indelible examples of this, was Hank Paulson the chairman and CEO of Goldman Sachs, who IMHO, took the gov't job (Sec. of the Treasury under George W. Bush), simply to avoid paying taxes. Boat loads of taxes! The irony in 2008 was that, then George W. Bush, was "paying-off/out" his banker donors, with lucrative tax breaks, to the very people who caused the sub-prime crash of 2008.
In July 2006, Paulson, was able to [b]dodge a tax hit of $200 million[/b], in state and Federal capital gains taxes. By taking advantage of a (George H. W. Bush) 1989 one-time loophole, that gave candidates, in a handful of high level positions, the ability to liquidate his or her entire portfolio without paying a dime in capital gains taxes. Naturally, this was just another corporate welfare tax pretense, dress up to supposedly "attract talent" to gov't jobs.
Needless to say, despite any Repub, right-wing rhetoric or propaganda, about only one class of people receiving gov't welfare, is all bunk. Rest assured corporate welfare is alive, well and kicking (as shown in a previous post of mine, w/r to educating Elvis 2008).
IMHO, much like Trump, there are many men and women, that are less interested in servicing their country and more interested in benefiting and enriching themselves or their cronies (as you've made abundantly clear), off the backs of hard working Americans, they care nothing to very little about.
This casual like disdain, that billionaires and corporate welfare have for American workers, was clearly on display a couple days ago, during the glitchy, strange, rambling and cringy bromance "interview" between Trump & Musk.
Elvis is WRONG, WRONG, WRONG
[QUOTE=Elvis2008;2936884]
Yes, she has accomplished so much you cannot name one damn thing she has done. [/QUOTE]Au contraire. She's largely responsible for FOSTA and SESTA and shutting down Back Page. She's done a lot for illegal Latin American immigrants, looking to come to the USA to start a new life. She vastly improved Willie Brown's sex life.
[QUOTE=Elvis2008;2936881]...it is okay to call the 75 million people who voted for Trump stupid, that it is okay to see hookers, and that abortion is the most important issue in the world. Your group must be giving you some pussy to be pushing this mind numbing agenda.[/QUOTE]How are you supposed to feel smart if there aren't people out there you think are stupider than you? That's important to build self esteem and achieve life satisfaction. And there's nothing wrong with seeing hookers. What are you doing on this board anyway? Finally any red blooded American male will lie his ass off to get pussy. Are you gay or something?
[QUOTE=Elvis2008;2936881]Elvis, you are stupid. Trump is stupid, and Democrats are American.[/QUOTE]Don't begrudge him Elvis. While not true, this is a good way for him to build his self esteem.
[QUOTE=Elvis2008;2936577]For black people, it needs to be said Kamala's black father disowned her. She was putting black men in jail right and left. Particularly with black men, she needs to be told she is not your friend. According to her birth certificate, she is 25% black, and the only reason she claims to be black is she wants your vote. For God's sake, her relatives owned slaves. I have not seen that point be made.[/QUOTE]What are you complaining about? You're not black. You lock up all the young black men like Kamala was doing and that means more ebony poontang for the rest of us! Thank you Kamala!
[QUOTE=Elvis2008;2936577] All she is doing is going around telling people what they want to hear....chameleon Kamala. [/QUOTE]Telling people like Willie Brown? What's so bad about that? If my lady tells me I have a large penis and fakes orgasms, that's just icing on the cake.
[QUOTE=Elvis2008;2936577]She kissed Willie Brown's ass. She kissed Biden's ass and now she is kissing the ass of the American people.[/QUOTE]Well by damn I hope she gets around to me soon. I can't wait to have that wench's tongue up my ass massaging my prostate.
[QUOTE=Elvis2008;2936220]So Matt Taibbi posts this about a woman who has a bat fly into her house and somehow find a way to blame Trump and somehow got her in story in the NYT:
The New York Times ran a guest editorial by Belle Boggs, a North Carolina author who had a bat fly in her house. It didn't bite her, but she needed a sheriff's deputy, a county health nurse, state animal control, the CDC, and an E. Are. Doctor to tell her what to do about that. Naturally, the episode led her to think of Donald Trump:
Now this is what she wrote: After our visit from the bat, our sheriff's department, public health department and university hospital all functioned exactly as designed. The see. The. See. , a huge federal agency that works to protect every one of us from infectious disease, food-borne illness and emerging threats like bird flu, pulled through. The see. The. See. Is part of what Mr. Trump's allies would call the administrative state and is in the cross hairs of Project 2025, which proposes breaking up the agency. I want to believe Kamala Harris is right when she says "we are not going back" to a time when every calamity leaves us on our own.
Back to Taibbi: The conundrum of the column is that the author, who wrote a book called The Art of Waiting: On Fertility, Medicine, and Motherhood, does not know if she and her husband need rabies shots. She's sure the bat "hadn't gotten near our daughters," but uncertainties reign elsewhere. "How deep a sleeper are you?" the county health nurse asks, reminding Boggs the window to act is short. Author and husband ultimately spend $600 in co-pays to get shots and realize they've lived through another experience reminding them of the need to vote blue, at which point the column is written.
And here is his point: The real-life decision tree is simpler. If you know you're too much of a compulsive thinker to get through days of wondering if a rabid bat bit you in your sleep, you don't need the CDC to tell you you need to pay the $600, get the shots, and buy peace of mind.
So this is how dumb Democrats have gotten. They cannot make decisions. They have to have government decide for that. The interesting thing is I would agree with her on the CDC "functioning as designed" but she thinks that means the CDC serves her, and I am like shaking my head and asking. Really? After Covid? So I did a deep dive on how the CDC is functioning with rabies.[/QUOTE]Well of course she thought of Trump. It's women's intuition. And the truth is a lot scarier than what she paints it to be. Trump not only is going to destroy democracy and lead us to nuclear Armageddon, but he's also the leader of a colony of vampire bats. They're turning our children into blood suckers and yes, spreading rabies and disease. Another reason not to vote for Trump!
[QUOTE=Elvis2008;2936217]So yeah, I do think there is a huge difference with Democrats and Republicans on this issue. Democrats want to be taken care of by government while Republicans want the government to leave us alone.[/QUOTE]And what's wrong with that? Who doesn't want to sit at home all day, watch television and eat bon bons and be taken care of by the State? Thank you Joe Biden and Kamala Harris!
[QUOTE=Elvis2008;2935969]LOL. Well, teach, you could have made the point that one of Warren Buffet's indicators, the market cap to GDP ratio, was at an all time high. [URL]https://www.longtermtrends.net/market-cap-to-gdp-the-buffett-indicator/[/URL][/QUOTE]Come on Elvis. Haven't you heard of tulip mania, the South Sea Bubble, Amway, and other classic money making schemes? There's still a lot laying on the table, ready to be scooped up. Warren's record cash holdings shouldn't be viewed as a bad omen by the way. That's the logical thing if you're in your 90's. Why hold on to a bunch of stocks when you can convert to cash and then use it to party, and bang lots of sugarbabies and high-dollar-hottie hookers?
I could go on, but I'm getting tired of this. Wise up Elvis.
