High Quality Coconuts at Great Prices!
I assure you reduced demand for coconuts in Brazil will not mean higher prices for coconuts. The kiosko vendors on Copacabana Beach might be able to form a cartel and hold prices at 6 reais on the beach, but as always a short drive to other parts of the city and you will find good coconuts for much lower prices. Most likely prices will be soft and will not keep up with inflation. In fact, I'm also betting that for the same price you will get better quality coconuts. As demand for coconuts is squeezed in the second and third-tier cities, the best coconuts will have a propensity to be shipped to Sao Paulo and Rio de Janeiro. In fact, there are some amazing coconuts already in SP for very good prices with more being shipped to the coconut outlets there day by day. The Brazilian economy is also dependent on exporting natural resources. As the economic crisis persists, more of the top quality coconuts will be shipped abroad factoring in the cost of shipment and related expenses.
Anyone with even limited exposure to economics knows there is no escaping the laws of supply and demand. Local supply and demand conditions take precedence, but the local market will also be exposed to global supply and demand pressures. There can be temporary disruptions to the market like the City of Rio de Janiero limiting the sale of coconuts at the beach, but the market will adjust to this artificial geographic restriction. Barring the entire country of Brazil banning the sale of coconuts, I don't see there being a problem getting high quality coconuts in Brazil at very good prices for the foreseeable future.