China is a good friend if they have a good leader, otherwise, disaster!
China has involved in two main wars in the last 70 years or after they set up the new Republic of China. One is the the Korea war, back then the president Mao wants to lick the asshole of Stalin and let him trust him, so he lets his troops enter Korea and let more than 400 0000 soldiers died there although he knew clearly back then the USA will not attack China, the real enemy of USA back then is Russia. The second war is the war between China and Vietnam. Back then the President Deng has seen all countries who follow USA were getting richer, he wants to show some good signs to USA. So after USA left Vietnam, he attacked or invaded Vietnam, again, the Chinese President in fact was licking the asshole of another big power in the world. After that China and USA started their honeymoon, and only after that the economy in China is starting to develop, even to now. But more than 60 000 soldiers died during the invasion and the relation between Vietnam and China is completely broken, even now they cannot get along with each other.
Basically Chinese don't like war and, they are happy with their own land and they have some kind of 'middle' spirit in their blood, so you seldom see their troops in other countries, for example Syria, Irak or now in Ukraine. If they have a military goal, it will be to take and control Taiwan, but the current sanction to Russia almost completely destroys their hope of conquering Taiwan with troops or weapons.
Interesting discussion and analysis of power struggles within Russia
[URL]https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1503430216554795014.html[/URL]
It's a bit long, but worth a read (IMO). The author makes a few different points, but what I found most enlightening was the description of how the power struggle between elites close to the center of government (courtiers) vs elites with their power base in the regions (barons) is at the center of the dysfunction and corruption that plagues the Russian system. The failure of the Russian military in Ukraine is merely the most currently visible manifestation of that dysfunction, but it's everywhere and goes all the way down to the bone.
He also makes the point that, if Putin falls, whoever takes his place would probably come from the ranks of either the courtiers or barons. And, since both those groups are steeped in the prevailing culture of corruption, a new leader might not result in as much change as people hope. He also points out that "opposition" figures, like Navalny, may be nothing more than courtiers who have fallen out of favor. That being the case, those who believe such "opposition" figures are a key part of any long term solution had better do their homework first.
The impression I was left with is that there are no fully satisfactory answers. The shit has truly hit the fan and we don't yet know exactly where it will fall, or how widely it will spread.
Propaganda is a double-sided coin, and other observations
[QUOTE=PedroMorales;2674562]Lavrov has said Russia is finished with Western Europe. Western Europe must now get rid of the USA.[/QUOTE]Since the vast majority of countries are siding with Ukraine, with the exception of China, Belarus, and a few small countries, Russia is headed for an extended period of unprecedented isolation. Western Europe is ramping up defense budgets and figuring out ways to reduce or eliminate dependence on Russian gas and oil. It'll be interesting to see who comes away with the short end of the stick from that broken relationship. I'm pretty sure it's not going to be Western Europe.
Oh, but Russia can always count on their "good friend" China, right? Except for the fact that the Chinese never do anything free or against their own interests. So Putin should get ready to bend over and grab his ankles, because China will demand the best Russian natural resources at the deepest imaginable discounts. And it wouldn't surprise me if China used their unique leverage to gain even more concessions. Anyone who thinks China won't exploit their opportunities is living in a fantasy land.
About Western Europe getting rid of the USA, that's just not going to happen, no matter what you want, for the foreseeable future. As a direct result of Putin's actions, US-led NATO will be entrenched more firmly than ever, with more troops in more countries. And the icing on the (pushed into Putin's face) cake will be if Sweden, or Finland, or both, join NATO. So prepare to "get used to disappointment" as the saying goes.
[QUOTE] As regards the war, sorry to disappoint but Russia is winning it Russia's way.[/QUOTE]I haven't seen any credible military analyst who thinks Russia can't win the war, if they're prepared to endure the costs. The informed discussion centers around how much damage the Russian military and economy will incur, and whether any "victory" will be Pyrrhic in nature. If Putin's Plan A was to mount a quick "special operation" in which he captured Kyiv, deposed the Zelensky government, and was hailed as a liberator by a large portion of Ukraine's population, that's utterly failed. If the backup plan is to bombard Ukraine into submission, or until there's nothing left but scorched earth, he can certainly do that. Then, having turned almost the entire world against him, Putin can try to hold the smoldering husk of Ukraine in his hand and hope it doesn't burst into flame. No worries, the Russians are great when it comes to occupying hostile territory, right? Just look at their track record in Afghanistan.[QUOTE]Falsehood in War-time, Containing an Assortment of Lies Circulated Throughout the Nations During the Great War, was written by Arthur Ponsonby in 1928 lists and refutes pieces of propaganda used by the Allied Forces against the Central Powers. The Belgian historian Anne Morelli systematized the essential propaganda techniques of Ponsonby's classic in her book Principes lmentaires de propagande de guerre. Morelli explains how these principles not only worked during the First World War, but were also applied in wars into 2001:[/QUOTE]Everything about which you accuse Ukraine and the West of applies equally to Russia, if not more so. Within Russia, any media outlets that aren't willing to parrot the Kremlin are either directly shut down or "voluntarily" disband or suspend operations. I wonder if the recently passed law imposing a 15 year prison sentence for disseminating "disinformation" had anything to do with that?
[URL]https://niemanreports.org/articles/putin-ukraine-russia-media/[/URL]
I'm absolutely certain that both sides are engaging in propaganda and information warfare. Unfortunately for Russia, Ukraine is kicking their ass in that arena. But intelligent observers do their best to pierce the veil of manipulation, though it's not an easy task. But you've got it all figured out, right? All you need to do is listen to RT and that'll give you the pure, unadulterated, truth. Good luck with that.