The Closing Argument on Covid (long, but bare bones)
Yet another topic that I should have previously listed in order to properly understand the Covid issues, probably next to the bell curve stuff, is of course p values and null hypotheses, basic stuff. I am certain I could come up with many more relevant topics if I put in the time and energy.
Assume for a moment you answered "yes" to all the topics I mentioned previously about what you needed to have for at least a working knowledge to understand the Covid issue. Then I would have to ask you, on what basis are your arguing your point? Do you have some secret inner knowledge or magic powers that enlightens only you and no one else in the world?
El Capo's story was the tip of the iceberg. Believable. That's not supposed to happen. Or let's say there is no utility in counting his outcome as a positive test result, because he wasn't sick. Or is there? Does he pass on the virus and make other people sick? And do they do the same? No one knows. People who tell you they know, don't know. That is the most common pitfall of people with above average intelligence, they don't know what they don't know.
There are significant enough errors in the totals of all the following data sets to render them unusable and corrupt:
People who didn't get "sick" but tested positive (Capo).
People who got sick and tested positive (this is the data set that needs the highest specificity) who lived or died (and highest positive predictive value).
People who got sick with Covid but tested negative, for numerous reasons, the least of which is not the unidentified mutations circulating in the population right now. Huge factor.
People who didn't get sick but tested negative and were still carrying and transmitting Covid with varying, unknown pathogenicity (significant, yet totally uncounted).
People who tested negative and died from Covid (you probably didn't even think of that one).
Not only are their significant numbers in each of these cohorts, except for perhaps the last one, the numbers are off by way more than a significant margin within each cohort. We have no idea of the accurate numbers in each cohort because of unreliability in testing, collecting data, and outcome measures. The exact mechanisms of those errors are many and beyond the scope of this answer. You could write a book about it and maybe I will.
That's what I am talking about when I tell you Covid is a giant clulsterfuck and shitshow. The train has left station. That ship has sailed. There is no valid data upon which we can draw useful conclusions about current state. If you happen to be right it is by intuition or dumb luck. That's why it is unnecessary for me to read all your posts about this because those of you who are arguing the loudest and the longest are the same ones who are the most clueless.
There is no giant conspiracy or any dominant force controlling anything with Covid other than nature, or God, or The Cosmic Blueberry Muffin, whichever you prefer. There may be groups that wish they could interject their control, but they can't, because you can't organize random mass chaos.
The reason everything is so unnatural right now is because this is the first major epidemic since the invention of the Internet, and just like assholes, everyone has an opinion and if they rant loud enough they can get heard.
We never should have intervened in the beginning, but now it's too late go back. No matter what we do, pretty much this virus is going to run a natural course. We may eventually get ahead of the eight ball with annual custom Covid vaccine shots. What does that remind you of? Fucking influenza A or flu shots for which we do exactly that already. Since everything I have predicted so far has come true with Covid, let me tell you how I believe it's going to end up.
You will get your annual Covid shot. They will mix it with flu vaccine to make it more convenient and you get protected from both Covid and flu each year with one stick. Somehow they will legislate it to be mandatory, which will be it's own separate clusterfuk. I don't know how many years it will take for this to happen, maybe 5-6? My guess is better than yours.
The Covid era will be history until the next new epidemic hits. And if we don't apply lessons learned from this pansy virus, and we get hit by a new virus with a seriously high attack and mortality rate, guess what kiddies? That's the end. The end of all of it. The end of mankind.
Every time someone on ISG says something Covid related like, "Oh, you did this so that happened" they are simply stroking their own ego by agreeing with themselves and their own preheld, biased, uninformed beliefs.
There is no good data to support any stance you take with Covid now. That is one reason why everyone gets so emotional because there is no valid data to back up their argument. There is no argument for current state. Intelligent and informed people should be discussing future state and lessons learned.
Maybe two or three of you have the intelligence and insight enough to understand this. I already admitted to my failure in being able to teach it. Oh, and BTW I did not look up one fucking thing on the Internet to write this. All on the fly. If a couple of you bend a little and realize the futility of your viewpoint then that will be the best for which I can hope, but for now, I am done. If you could grasp what I am teaching you then you would realize it doesn't matter what you believe or think about Covid up until now. Calm down. Relax. Move on or work on improving current state of Covid or the next public health debacle in the Internet Age. I am going back to concentrating on spreading love. Jajajjaja.
I told myself I would never get sucked into this argument, especially in a place like this, but you dragged me out of the piranha pool like a snarling, gnashing Pit Bull. Just like I solved your nagging Supply and Demand quandary, this one is also in the books. QED. Done.
Ostee Out, and as always, Keep On Keepin' On and obviously I love you guys or I wouldn't be doing this. I still owe you a treatise on why Intelligence is counterproductive in the mongering game, jajajajaa. Whut Whut? I might tidy this article up a bit and get it published in a more widespread, general venue. If that happens, I will let you know. But it needs to be professionally edited, first.
All that fluff and not a single valid argument. I feel let down by JJBBJ.
[QUOTE=JjBee62;2657502]You would help your cause immensely if you took the time to read and understand what you respond to. If you had properly understood my post there would be no need to go back and forth.
"Last year my cash donations came up to almost 25% of my income (and none of that went to a church or other non-profit group). " Yet you respond " I have never met a dude who donates 25% of his hard earned cash to charity. "
I don't donate cash to charities. I help out people who, for whatever reason are in need. The reason is simple. Every non-profit organization uses some of the money for overhead, salaries, advertising, or political donations. If I wanted to pay people to decide which people deserve assistance, I'd start my own charity.
Someone's house burns down and they lose everything, I spend some money helping them recover. Someone has a legitimate need, if I can, I help.
You don't have to guess about what I do with my money. Although your guess is hilarious, since you label ISG as a "filthy sex mongering forum." There's some serious self-hate in that label. You obviously monger, but you consider mongering as filthy. Perhaps we've found the core of your anger.
If my posts are weird and they bother you, it appears the problem lies with you. You claim I'm here 24/7 writing dozens of posts, so I went and looked. That's part of the process of gaining knowledge. If you just blindly accept what you're told, you learn nothing and often end up looking like a fool.
Since I looked at my post history, it made sense to look at yours. At that point you only had 109 posts. It took 2 minutes to scan through and count how many were posted in this thread. Since you now post exclusively in this thread, you're making yourself look worse with every post.
Paulie has jumped in and attacked you many times? Go ask mommy to kiss it and make it better. Then, after you dry your tears, explain why you decided to include me in your response to Paulie. If you had left me out of your rant, we wouldn't be having this discussion..[/QUOTE]You are weird. I am not saying weird is bad either, but you are a very weird man 100%. You walk around and just hand money out to random people. Its strange man. It seems like you need to buy love and friends with money. You seem pathetic and sad. I actually feel bad for you, I hope you buy yourself some comfort. Still weird, but I honestly feel sad and I ll back off the donating money thing out of pity for a poor old soul. I don't believe in kicking a man when he is down and you have obviously fallen very low to have to give money to strangers to feel some type of love or worth or whatever it is your handing money out to strangers for.
You donating money doesn't bother me, what bothers me is you attack others all the time and can't back up your attacks with facts or logic.
If you must know about me helping people. When I was in my twenties, I did a lot of work related to my career that I wasn't directly paid for. I have grown up since and my time is important to me and I do not work for free anymore. That doesn't make me a bad person, my work is quite valuable and few have the skill, credentials, physical strength, mental strength, or determination to work at my level. My compensation is very fair for the work I do. That is how a free market works. Most men would never have made it through what I have to perform the job that I do and I certainly don't do it for free anymore and will never again. If your a bump on a log and you have never dedicated yourself to a skill or craft, that's a waste of talent in my eyes. If all of society acted like that, it doesn't make for a very productive society, think Cuba or Venezuela.
Look, again I will state that I didn't mean to shatter the feelings of the snowflakes here when I said old people die. Look, its a shitty reality of life. We can't base national policy off saving cancer patients in their 70's and 80's. Its not logical. It is funny to me, that people are so biased they actually can't see that or they know it and are so devoted to their cause they won't admit it publicly or even on an anonymous forum.
Don't blame people for the virus. The virus was spreading no matter what. That's what viruses do. Outside of a total 3 month 100% lockdown, you were not stopping the virus. Biden wasn't stopping it and nether was Trump. Like I have said before, all you can do is let people live their lives, make vaccines available, make masks available, social distance, and other things to slow it down a little, but we can't control it. Had the vaccines actually been close to 90% effective, maybe we could have controlled, but I "think", my "opinion", we were all lied to.
When did I say the US is the only country in the world? But whatever you need to vent and make shit up about again because you can't muster a solid argument.
As for the economy, I live in the real world, interact and work in an urban environment everyday. Look, the poorest people in the country got hit fucking hard from this. They got poorer with out a doubt. Inflation didn't help ether. Crime is bad and people are desperate like I have never seen them. Doing desperate things to make ends meet. Its fucking sad man. Maybe the economy did grow, but I guarantee you the lower class are not better off than before the pandemic. 100% I guarantee that.
I am referring to shaming people who oppose vaccine mandates when we have close to a million cases of covid a day. Some countries want to mandate vaccines for truckers who work by themselves and there is a supply chain shortage. Yea those people need to chill and not shame someone who doesn't support mandates and just wants to work and feed his or her family.
One last final thing, you wrote absolutely nothing valid to any of my arguments. Again, you just look like a sad old soul LOL. It is what it is I guess.