Thread: American Politics
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08-06-24 17:17 #15179Senior Member

Posts: 192Agree to some; disagree on others
1. Disagree: 9/11 may still have happened. Bin Laden planned the attacks for many years before it was executed. To say that this would not happen is a reach.
Originally Posted by EihTooms
[View Original Post]
2. Agree: I don't think that a Gore administration would have pushed into Iraq, as history unfold. My OPINION / Speculation is that Bush / Cheney wanted to go into Iraq, and this slim opening gave them their excuse to go in.
3. Disagree: At the end of the milennium, there were weaknesses in the financial markets, mainly dot com bubble that would still have happened. One can blame the previous administration for this situation to happen due to new technologies without guardrails. *catch-22* can't advance innovations without unleashing technology / to prevent fraud and implosion ("regulations") is needed. Same discussion as pertain to crypto today. It isn't whether we should have regulations or not, but rather how much.
4. One of the two would have happened. The second one (Housing) still may have happened. Although the Bush administration pushed for home ownership, I didn't see the push back from the other side either.
5. Agree: At the end of the Clinton era, there was a surplus that would have extended under Gore. Instead of maintaining it for a rainy day, it was given back to the market / tax cuts. By itself, it wasn't harmful, but with the bubble and unpaid wars, a perfect storm for deficit, and its continuation.
Disagree: No Inflation is a myth, in any era. Carter / Regan was the beginning of the hyper inflation era, Clinton administration / Feds masked the problem with the change in calculating inflation, taking out food and energy. Gingrich was the speaker at the time, so can't claim victory on any sides.
https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibr...sues/ci2-4.pdf
Like all sci-fi movies (time travel), yes it would be different, but not everything is rainbows and unicorns.
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08-06-24 15:18 #15178Senior Member

Posts: 4040WOW NOW you're completely off your rocker 555
No failed China trade war? Why is it failed? Because you are anti America and pro China?
Originally Posted by EihTooms
[View Original Post]
I see you are still upset we didn't get that 3rd and 4th term of Bubba, that wanted TPP would still be in effect if not for Our Lord and Savior.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/04/b...enophobia.html
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/asia-pacifi...attack/3246270
Yes the Chinese are livid because the jig is up.
Yes they are so angry because the trade war against them failed..
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08-06-24 14:22 #15177Senior Member

Posts: 4832These are the first two paragraphs of the article: Republican vice presidential nominee J. The. Vance has found himself yet again in hot water, after it was uncovered that he promoted a book decrying progressives as "unhuman," written by a far-right conspiracy theorist.
Originally Posted by FFlintstone69
[View Original Post]
Unhumans: The Secret History of Communist Revolutions (and How to Crush Them) was written by the Pizzagate guy, Jack Posobiec, and ghostwriter Joshua Lisec, with a foreword by the recently imprisoned MAGA movement architect Steve Bannon.
I stopped right there. This is another Democratic douche let's get offended trope. It is a fucking book. On the other hand, Democratic douches are cool with making up laws to criminally convict their opposition, throwing out the votes of their nominee, a literal coup in the party, machine gun wielding FBI agents at the house of the ex-president, and the made up Russiagate among others.
And the Democratic douche vax rhetoric may have been the worse. People who are not vaxxed should be denied medical care and allowed to die. That IS unhuman.
The whole thing reads like a Spidy post: insult after insult and no information. If Spidy does not write for the New Republic, he should. They would love him there.
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08-06-24 14:12 #15176Senior Member

Posts: 4832There are a lot of markers freaking people out with supposedly 100% accurate measures of recession: the surge in the unemployment percentage, the unwinding of the inverted yield curve, and on a practical level a guy on CNBC said consumer balance sheets were never worse. I did know the consumer is in more debt than ever. On the flip side, there was calm. Things are not as bad as 2008, and I think what was weird is everyone was bringing up different reasons for the fall.
Originally Posted by TheCane
[View Original Post]
I really did not understand the yen carry trade at first. Apparently, speculators are borrowing in yen at lower rates and then buying things with higher yields. That is fine unless the yen appreciates and I think it went up 12% so if you are levered at 10:1, that increase literally put you under water unless what you bought went way up in price. That is probably the best explanation for the sell off I have seen.
But yeah, I am not sure it is here either. Usually October is the worst month for crashes.
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08-06-24 13:01 #15175Senior Member

Posts: 4040Polling is a very valuable tool
Even (especially) to cheaters, like the CBS poll this week, they are trying to rig the outcome early by pretending it is already close.
Originally Posted by Elvis2008
[View Original Post]
So when "election day" rolls around they can try to make it more plausible that Harris won ala Scumbag Joe in 2020 or JFK in 1960.
Same thing with exit polls those are the easiest to rig, they can report any numbers they want ala Caracas last week.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cd1d10453zno
The balls of Scumbag Joe to call others cheaters, they truly are shameless scumbags!!
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08-06-24 10:05 #15174Senior Member

Posts: 7746How the President of the United States is Elected.
Pretty obvious you did not ask me. I return to the source document: The Constitution of the United States of America.
Originally Posted by Elvis2008
[View Original Post]
Amendment Twelve to the Constitution was ratified on June 15,1804. It revises and outlines the procedure of how Presidents and Vice Presidents are elected, specifically so that they are elected together.
The Electors shall meet in their respective states, and vote by ballot for President and Vice-President, one of whom, at least, shall not be an inhabitant of the same state with themselves; they shall name in their ballots the person voted for as President, and in distinct ballots the person voted for as Vice-President, and they shall make distinct lists of all persons voted for as President, and all persons voted for as Vice-President and of the number of votes for each, which lists they shall sign and certify, and transmit sealed to the seat of the government of the United States, directed to the President of the Senate;
The 43 president of the United States of America was inappropriately granted the presidency by the United States Supreme Court. They should have stayed out of it. Instead they decided to to pick the next head of the branch of the executive for the United States Government.
Originally Posted by SubCmdr
[View Original Post]
Separation of Powers Doctrine
Over the course of our history, the Supreme Court has elaborated on the separation-of-powers doctrine in several cases addressing the three branches of government. At times, the Court has determined that one branchs actions have infringed upon the core functions of another.
https://constitution.congress.gov/br...ALDE_00000031/
There is noting more core than the selection of the President of the United States of America. The Supreme Court violated the Separation of Powers Doctrine when they awarded the presidency to #43. The election was stolen from the American People.
I did not see any Republican outcry when #43 was elected.
Originally Posted by Elvis2008
[View Original Post]
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08-06-24 07:44 #15173Senior Member

Posts: 2741An opinion.
First, your personal opinion about an issue in general doesn't give you the right to accuse people. Your mockery of Khelif was mean-spirited and uncalled for.
Originally Posted by RamDavidson84
[View Original Post]
Second, up until recently I too held an opinion that trans athletes shouldn't be allowed to compete against women. However, I was presented with real-life facts by another member that changed my opinion. After digging into this some more, I do believe now that this is a non-issue blown way out of proportion by conservative ideologists who grabbed a chance to wind up the troops.
If you weren't lazy, you could find our dialogue somewhere in this thread. But alas.
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08-06-24 03:07 #15172Senior Member

Posts: 7971Stolen Again? You mean like in 2000 and 2016?
Just curious, what do you suppose Trump means when he tells people at his rallies that they don't have to vote because he will "win" anyway?
Originally Posted by Woodman09
[View Original Post]
Trump told his fans they 'don't have to vote' and should 'watch' other voters instead.
https://www.businessinsider.com/trum...o-vote-2023-10
Do you think it might have something to do with this:"You don't have to vote, don't worry about voting," he told his New Hampshire fans.
These Swing State Election Officials Are Pro-Trump Election Deniers.
Nearly 70 pro-Trump conspiracists are election officials in key battleground counties and they are poised to make a giant mess on Election Day.
July 29, 2024
https://www.rollingstone.com/politic...rs-1235069692/
You know, these are the same people who agreed with Trump that it is ok to assassinate his VP for not following his order to steal the 2020 election.
The same Felon Trump, that is, who was convicted 34 times for Conspiracy to Commit Election Fraud in a scheme to improperly influence (STEAL) the 2016 presidential election. And from the same Repub Party that was proven to have stood by and ignored enough blatantly obvious violations of the Voting Rights Act in Florida for GW Bush to steal the 2000 presidential election.
My god. Imagine what a different world we would all be living in if only those 2 elections had not been stolen:
No Attack on 9/11.
No 900+ lies by Bush-Cheney plunging us into 2 Repub counterproductive quagmire wars in the Middle East.
No Financial Crisis.
No two Bear Market Crashes in the broad USA Stock Market.
No $Trillions added to the deficit just to create 1 million fewer jobs with that Repub legislation than without it.
No failed China trade war that plunged the USA Manufacturing and Agriculture Industries into Recession so deep Trump had to issue emergency welfare checks just to keep them afloat.
No Trump's Pandemic.
No one million Americans Mass Murdered and millions more around the globe due to Trump's Pandemic Covid.
No business and school closures.
No Millions upon Millions of jobs wiped out.
No two more Bear Broad Market Crashes in the broad USA Stock Market.
No Inflation.
No skyrocketing costs of rent, food, gas, etc.
Yes, a very different world.
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08-06-24 02:25 #15171Senior Member

Posts: 7971"It never made sense but what would trigger a selloff"?
Originally Posted by Elvis2008
[View Original Post]
Well, in this case with the solid, stable and improving economy we have under Biden, a mild sell-off like we have had so far is usually due to investors taking out some healthy profits from the multiple All Time Closing Highs we have had in the market recently. Not talking specifically about oil, of course.
Then they use those profits to buy more things. Later, when the market takes note of the good news about more things being bought, that triggers another All Time Closing High or ten in the market.
And so it goes. Been happening that way in good and healthy economies like this one since, well, since the stock market was invented.
But you will see it happening that way much, much more often during Dem economies than under Repub economies. For fairly obvious reasons.
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08-06-24 02:04 #15170Senior Member

Posts: 8335Overvalued
The market is overvalued, and it's been so for a long, long time. We've been overdue for a major correction, but I'm not sure this is actually it. All I know is that my retirement fund is safe!
Originally Posted by Elvis2008
[View Original Post]
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08-06-24 01:25 #15169Senior Member

Posts: 283Is this man the heir apparent to the MAGA throne in 2028
https://newrepublic.com/post/184271/...-book-unhumans
Originally Posted by RamDavidson84
[View Original Post]
This looks like a must read for all the great eruditus men on this board ASAP.
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08-05-24 23:49 #15168Senior Member

Posts: 4832MDS, I quizzed someone on another forum about this, and he repeated the same "2020 was the safest election there ever was" nonsense. The election being stolen is a theory. I asked him what the facts were to support that theory. He could not give one. All he could do was launch personal comments about me.
Originally Posted by MarquisdeSade1
[View Original Post]
You would hope all Americans would care if this election were rigged, but what I have seen from Democrats is we won so who cares? Given that attitude, it is gong to be up to Republicans to make sure the election is fair. Democrats do not care about having fair elections; they only care if they win.
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08-05-24 19:47 #15167Senior Member

Posts: 4832Market is finally tanking
Back when I shorted oil, it took a long time for the market to get it right. The term peak oil has been erased from minds like the ridiculous Covid measures. I argued with the peak oil nuts about increasing USA oil production and most of them said it was fake. I looked at the oil workers making a bundle with the new trucks and the like. They knew it was not fake. Eventually, oil went from $100 to $20, and I made huge money but it took a long time.
So the lie is peak oil never happened, and the even bigger one is Biden's astute economic management made up for the economy being shut down 2 years. All that was done was the printing of money, and when you do that, you pay back the debt first via inflation. This recent rally made zero sense to me. How can you rally when the consumer is so much poorer? The answer that was given was AI. AI was going to make things so much more efficient. And that is literally what drove the hype train.
If Treasuries yield 5% market, fair market value is less than that as stocks are riskier. That means a yield at minimum in the stock market should be 6 to 8%, and I would say 8% given the weaker consumer and the likelihood earnings are going down. The current market has a PE of 28 which corresponds to a high 3% yield. The market should be half of what it is right now and probably less than that.
It never made sense but what would trigger a selloff? With oil, the peak oil nuts were shocked when the price of oil went down and Saudi Arabia did not cut production. In this market, I am not sure what the trigger is. Maybe it is Buffett selling so much stock. Maybe it is Nvidia not performing when it came to a delay in releasing the latest AI chip. You never know.
What I told people is you know your going to cause deaths when you shut down the economy and make everyone poorer. You have no clue whether the Covid measures are going to work. If you are a Democratic douche, you think your brilliant monetary management saved the day. You see, Elvis, we could implement the Covid measures and have no economic downturn. No, you douches just have not paid the bill and thank God that bill is coming due now.
We went $10 trillion further in debt due to a virus with 0. 2% mortality and lost trillions more due to decreased economic activity. The Covid plan ranks up there with the worst economic fuckups in our country's history.
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08-05-24 18:42 #15166Senior Member

Posts: 1326If election Stolen Again-- we are in Deep Shit
The Biden-KaMaLaaaaahhh recession Shall become a depression if the election is stolen again. A fake president KaMaLaaaahhhh will mean a world economic downturn-- Donald J Trump is our only hope-- We are in the 3rd Act.
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08-05-24 16:40 #15165Senior Member

Posts: 4832This shows how warped you are. A person posts facts to counter Democratic lies / propaganda and you do not like and so it is QAnon / conspiracy theory. This is why you are a douche. You do not have a single objective cell in you body. Democrats good, Republicans evil.
Originally Posted by Spidy
[View Original Post]
Democrats angels, Republicans evil. Orange man bad.
Originally Posted by Spidy
[View Original Post]
And now you go off the deep end. You are changing the subject which is an admission you lost. And taking this to its logical conclusion. So Trump is not American? Republicans are not? I am not American?
Originally Posted by Spidy
[View Original Post]
If you feel that way, and obviously you do, YOU are not American! Why not go live in a country with one party? You would be so much happier.

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