American Politics

[EihTooms]

Since it's USG

What do you guys think about FBI defending beastiality? I thought it would have made sense during Democrat regime but MAGA regime truly leaped ahead of them.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/...icy-bestiality

Repub MAGAs rail against DEI hires while the only atrocious outcomes from diverse profile hires have been theirs.

Now they have finally broken that stubborn glass ceiling that made it so difficult for their bestiality proponents to produce atrocious results for the country.

[KeviKev68]

So you're just going to ignore the fact that Ben Carson was picked to be the Secretary of HUD by President Donald J Trump?

A Latino is a Latino, it's ridiculous to see you trying to belittle Cubans for not being Puerto Ricans as if it was better to be from Puerto Rico.

That's tokenism. You only have one black guy in the Senate. Tim Scott and only 4 in the House (I know that sounds a like a lot for folks like yourself LOL) All them (House) will be gone after this year.

[EihTooms]

Jimmy Carter's presidency (19771981) was defined by the 19801982 recession, the deepest and longest-lasting USA Economic downturn since the Great Depression, which began during his term and extended into the early Reagan years.

The only Recession that occurred under Jimmy Carter started in January 1980 and was over 6 months later in July 1980, with a peak unrmployment rate of 7. 8%. It was one of the shortest and least "destructive" Recessions in history, barely qualifying as a conventional Recession of 2 consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth. In fact, it was intentionally induced by Fed Chairman Paul Volcker raising Fed Funds rates in order to cool down an overheated economy:

List of recessions in the United States.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o..._United_States

NBER considers a very short recession to have occurred in 1980, followed by a short period of growth and then a deep recession.
...........
1980 Recession.

January 1980 - July 1980.

Duration 6 months.

Peak unemployment rate 7. 8% (July 1980).

GDP decline (peak to trough) -2. 2%

The deep Recession you or whoever else it was that doesn't know what they're talking about started in July 1981, under Repub Ronald Reagan, lasted 1 year and 4 months with a peak unemployment rate of 10.8%.

The National Bureau of Economic Research, NBER, the USA Government recognized arbitor for the beginning and ending dates of USA Recessions, is very clear about it.

[SubCmdr]

I am not all that interested in what stance political Parties take on Social issues. That's for suckers.

So why are you focused on racial issues while completely ignoring economic ones?

Interest Rates are as high as they were before the 2007 Global Financial Crisis

Conditions are not the same with problems of bank solvency. But the Dis United States of America has a dramatically higher Debt to GDP ratio.

Price of Oil

One of the main reasons is when Trump won the presidency he encouraged oil drilling and USA now is producing 13,500,000 barrels per day. Also reduced regulations for the oil companies now make it possible to make good money at $72 a barrel. Chevron said profits are good enough at $72 a barrel to drill, do exploration and to make capital improvements worldwide. I expect a glut of oil in next year and see prices in the $60-$65 range.

Yes, oil jumped higher after the Mullas were taken out in February and the IRCG began to block oil tankers from shipping in the straits. I mentioned the price of crude in my last post because it acts as a barometer for what is going on in this war and who is wining. Will crude go back up into the 80's in the short run? I don't know. Maybe. But it ain't going up to $150 a barrel and staying there and it ain't going to do any permanent damage the US Economy. I will bet on that because

The above posts did not age well.

Brent Spot: 103.37 WTI Spot: 99.53.

A rough rule of thumb from the Fed: every $10/ barrel increase raises headline inflation by 0. 2 percentage points. A permanent 10% rise in oil adds roughly 0. 4% to headline CPI over a year.

Crude oil is a key input for transportation, manufacturing, petrochemicals, and shipping. Higher costs get passed through to goods prices. The correlation between oil and the PPI is 0. 71, far stronger than the 0. 27 correlation with the CPI, meaning oil hits producer prices much more directly than consumer prices.

Might the current undeclared military action against Iran have something to do with increased Oil prices? What are democrats doing to stop this other than talk? Are they smart enough to capitalize on the economic pain me and my fellow citizens of the Dis United States are feeling for the midterms.

Key levels to watch are 105,110, 115 (max pain) before possible reversal.

Crypto Regulation in the Dis United States of America

Not a single Democratic Supporter posted here has addressed the Democratic Party opposition to crypto in the Dis United States of America. Why is that? What is the reasoning behind the opposition?

[DwayneJohnson]

What do you guys think about FBI defending beastiality? I thought it would have made sense during Democrat regime but MAGA regime truly leaped ahead of them.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/...icy-bestiality

[SubCmdr]

How is it possible to get inflation in check with diesel fuel at 6.44 USD / gal?

That is a 75% increase over last year!

Diesel is used by the 3 Ts (trucks, trains and tractors).

These vehicles deliver everything!

[ShooBree]

That was quite some time ago with Condoleeza Rice and Colin Powell? Are they reflective of Trump's Republican Party of today? Of course not. I guess you know better than me but as black guy in a predominantly black family I can only find 2 who supported Trump.

It's bit more complicated with Latino's. Rubio is Cuban and they are more conservative than Puerto Rican's. Lot's of Latino Trump supporters being dumped obscure countries on the African continent. Perhaps this explains why Trump is underwater in the latest polls.

So you're just going to ignore the fact that Ben Carson was picked to be the Secretary of HUD by President Donald J Trump?

A Latino is a Latino, it's ridiculous to see you trying to belittle Cubans for not being Puerto Ricans as if it was better to be from Puerto Rico.

[SubCmdr]

Jimmy Carter's presidency (19771981) was defined by the 19801982 recession, the deepest and longest-lasting USA Economic downturn since the Great Depression, which began during his term and extended into the early Reagan years.

[EihTooms]

Probably when a majority of black people stop voting for the dems and start voting for the Republicans. Don't you understand that the politicians normally represent their voters?

BTW, when will the democrats appoint a Latino as Secretary of State? It's only in the Republican Party a Latino can rise to become secretary of state in USA. Powell was the first Afro American to become Secretary of State in the US, Condoleezza Rice was the second. Both Republicans, and this was before Obama and Kamala.

So Condoleeza "I didn't notice and did nothing about that August 2001 PDB about Osama bin Laden determined to attack in the USA, likely by aircraft" Rice, Colin "Tons of WMD hidden in Iraq!" Powell and Little Marco "War in Iran? What War in Iran?" Rubio are your high water mark standards for what turned out to he strictly Repub DEI appointments despite their utter crap contributions to their office?

Lolol. Perfect.

What's next, praise to Trump for appointing the first Indian as head of the FBI? LOLOL.

[Axel Heyst]

This is a pretty interesting clip:

https://www.instagram.com/reels/DceJY0TJ-s3/

Not only because it speaks to truth, but also because it shows Black American men are getting fed up with all insane Democrat BS. You hear me Abdul El-Sayed. Michigan ain't going to put you in the Senate.

[KeviKev68]

Probably when a majority of black people stop voting for the dems and start voting for the Republicans. Don't you understand that the politicians normally represent their voters?

BTW, when will the democrats appoint a Latino as Secretary of State? It's only in the Republican Party a Latino can rise to become secretary of state in USA. Powell was the first Afro American to become Secretary of State in the US, Condoleezza Rice was the second. Both Republicans, and this was before Obama and Kamala.

That was quite some time ago with Condoleeza Rice and Colin Powell? Are they reflective of Trump's Republican Party of today? Of course not. I guess you know better than me but as black guy in a predominantly black family I can only find 2 who supported Trump.

It's bit more complicated with Latino's. Rubio is Cuban and they are more conservative than Puerto Rican's. Lot's of Latino Trump supporters being dumped obscure countries on the African continent. Perhaps this explains why Trump is underwater in the latest polls.

[SubCmdr]

Do you think Obama and Harris would be acceptable as Republican nominees?

I will not comment on the lack of intelligence of this question. But I will answer it. The answer is no. Why? Because Obama and Harris are registered Democrats.

ROTFLMAO!

Probably when a majority of black people stop voting for the dems and start voting for the Republicans. Don't you understand that the politicians normally represent their voters?

BTW, when will the democrats appoint a Latino as Secretary of State? It's only in the Republican Party a Latino can rise to become secretary of state in USA. Powell was the first Afro American to become Secretary of State in the US, Condoleezza Rice was the second. Both Republicans, and this was before Obama and Kamala.

He has a good point. Since never party is mine, I will wait for a Democrat to answer the question.

[ShooBree]

They elected a black man as president and a black woman as vice president. Let me know when Republicans will do the same.

Probably when a majority of black people stop voting for the dems and start voting for the Republicans. Don't you understand that the politicians normally represent their voters?

BTW, when will the democrats appoint a Latino as Secretary of State? It's only in the Republican Party a Latino can rise to become secretary of state in USA. Powell was the first Afro American to become Secretary of State in the US, Condoleezza Rice was the second. Both Republicans, and this was before Obama and Kamala.

[SubCmdr]

I got a letter from the government the other day
I opened and read it, it said they were suckers
They wanted me for their army or whatever
Picture me giving a damn I said, "Never"

Here is a land that never gave a damn
About a brother like me and myself
Because they never did, I wasn't with it
But just that very minute, it
Occurred to me, the suckers had authority

Black Steel in the Hour of Chaos, Public Enemy.

I will not take a break from voting because a International Trick living in Bangkok, Thailand on the taxes I pay to fund his Social Security Check (so he can pay for his prostitutes) tells me to do so.

I am already well versed on the The Constitution of the United States of America and the Declaration of Independence. I am always reading it because I want to make sure I principles I quote to others as a citizen of the Dis United States of America are correct. If the suggestion made by the OP was in paper memo form. I would immediately put in the circular file. A very outdated expression (before the internet age / AI age) for sure. But the sentiment expresses my thoughts about the entirety of his response to me and his posting history here on ISG.

I have to wonder out loud if his suggestion is related to my race or to the fact that I choose not to tow the party line and instead choose to think independently. That right to think for myself is provided for me in the very document he suggests I spend more time reading. So maybe he should act on his own suggestion and brush up on The Constitution of the United States of America as it does not mention needing to be a member of a political party in order to express a political opinion or vote.

I stipulate to the information contained in the link below:

https://www.belfercenter.org/publica...vs-republicans

While economists like Alan Blinder and MarkWatson have confirmed this "nearly ubiquitous" advantage, they caution that the correlation does not prove causation, as factors like business cycle timing, global shocks, and luck also play significant roles.

Correlation does not prove causation

Why?*Because a statistical association between two variables merely indicates they change together, not that one directly causes the other.

This distinction is critical because observed relationships can arise from coincidence, reverse causality, or a third confounding variable influencing both factors.

To establish causation, researchers must go beyond simple correlation by employing controlled experiments or rigorous longitudinal studies that rule out alternative explanations.

While causation implies correlation (if A causes be, they will likely be correlated), the reverse is not true; many correlated events, such as ice cream sales and drowning deaths, are linked by a common cause (summer heat) rather than a direct causal link.

Not a single Democrat here has ever presented a study that included the mathematics that are needed in order to prove correlation. That is probably because most International Tricks cannot do the math needed to do so. The math is hard (at least it is for me). I know because my of background in Quantitative Sociology I learned at a top tier University in the Dis United States of America.

Correlation analysis draws primarily from statistics (a branch of applied mathematics), but the specific mathematical tools involved span a few areas:
Descriptive statistics: means, standard deviations, and covariance are the building blocks of the Pearson coefficient.
Linear algebra: Pearson's coefficient is equivalent to the cosine of the angle between two centered data vectors (a normalized dot product). Multivariate correlation uses correlation matrices, and methods like principal component analysis and canonical correlation rely heavily on eigenvalue decomposition. Probability theory
Calculus appears in derivations (e.g., least-squares fitting) and in non-parametric variants like Spearman's rank correlation.
So in short: the core is statistics + linear algebra, underpinned by probability theory.

So the reality is much of what Democrats are saying amount their opinions and no amount of reading The Constitution of the United States of America is going to change that. They need to do the math. But they cannot. So instead they respond to me with their ideas that there is some kind of causation factor involved and there is not.

Neither Party is mine!

There are Republicans posting here, but the Democrat supporters do not address them. They are responding to me. Why is that? Republicans are responding to me. Why is that? Let me tell you why.

It is because it is easy Easy to attack the individual who thinks for himself. Easy to call out the strong man who stands alone and will not bow down to the tyranny of the majority that consists of Democrats and Republicans that are posting in this thread. I point out the problems in each groups think mob (otherwise known as a political party). Only by calling attention to the problems in each party will those members have a opportunity to return to their group think organizations and improve them.

Crypto is a major issue that will help 70 million of my fellow citizens. Democrats are almost universally against any legislation that will improve the situation for crypto in the Dis United States of America. Why in the world should I register with a party that does not have my personal interests at heart? My vote is for me. It is not for some greater party interest.

[KeviKev68]

You make the statement as if it is a fact. But your statement is a logical fallacy.

Begging the question is a logical fallacy where an arguments premise already assumes the truth of its conclusion. Instead of offering independent support, the argument quietly builds the conclusion into its starting pointso the claim ends up propping itself up.

The skeleton is always the same: X is true because X is true, wearing different words..

Obama and Harris were registered Democrats (true) therefore democrats elected them (false). This is only true in primaries where registered Democrats are allowed to vote. In a general election every registered voter of every political party is allowed to vote.

Please note:

No member of the Communist Party USA (CPUSA) has ever been elected to federal office, including the USA House of Representatives or Senate. While the party has fielded candidates in federal elections since the 1920's, it has never secured a victory at the federal level.

Do you think Obama and Harris would be acceptable as Republican nominees? They would never make it to general election. The Republicans generally don't like black people.